SI337: How Best to "Replicate" Managed Futures Returns ft. Katy Kaminski

SI337: How Best to "Replicate" Managed Futures Returns ft. Katy Kaminski

In this episode, Katy Kaminski helps us explore the latest trends in managed futures and how different approaches to replication can impact performance and correlation. We explore the pros and cons of index versus mechanical replication, highlighting how each method reacts differently in various market conditions. Plus, we touch on the most recent developments in the ETF space and how they're reshaping access to CTAs, but also question if all of the new products are truly worthy of the "CTA" label. Stick around as we break down these ideas and share insights that can help shape your investment strategies.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:50 - What has caught our attention recently?

06:09 - Industry performance update

13:06 - Q1, Rick: Has Katy done any work on Co-Movement Factor and "offsides" systems?

18:12 - Q1.2, Rick: Katy's work shows us the dispersion between "slow" and "fast" systems w/ an optimal window of 10mo: How does this "optimal window" differ by year?

25:54 - Q2, Brian: Are there more individual investors than institutional investors?

28:43 - Q2.2: Are investors holding the ETF “long term”, or do they “chase performance”?

32:25 - Q3, Niels: How should we think about future returns in trend following?

36:24 - The beta of trend following and how to access it

44:05 - Combing index- and mechanical replication

50:58 - The pitfalls of replication...

Jaksot(907)

SI365: Design or Luck: Why Trend Following Results Diverge ft. Katy Kaminski

SI365: Design or Luck: Why Trend Following Results Diverge ft. Katy Kaminski

Katy Kaminski returns to explore why results in trend following rarely look alike, even when the rules sound the same. Using fresh research from Man Group and Quantica, she and Niels trace the fingerp...

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GM87: Who Really Sets Policy Now? ft. Anna Wong

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Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist at Bloomberg, joins Alan Dunne with a clear-eyed assessment of where policy and politics are headed. As markets bet on cuts and the Fed talks balance, she sees a differ...

10 Syys 20251h 4min

SI364: What makes an Alternative Investment Truly Valuable? ft. Moritz Seibert

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What makes an alternative investment truly valuable? In this episode, Moritz Siebert joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation that moves past market moves and into the core design of systematic ...

6 Syys 20251h 11min

IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz

IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz

What if knowing you isn’t the end goal... but shaping you is? In this episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with Columbia professor Sandra Matz about how algorithms trained on our clicks, searches, and faces...

3 Syys 20251h

SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas

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As trend following begins to reassert itself, Niels and Nick Baltas dig beneath the surface of recent CTA performance - where the signals are working, why fixed income remains unresolved, and how spee...

30 Elo 20251h

OI18: The Carbon Trade, Without the Illusion ft. Mike Azlen

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Mike Azlen joins Moritz Seibert for a frank look at carbon markets, and why much of what passes for climate action may be making things worse. While offsets dominate headlines, it's the regulated mark...

27 Elo 202547min

SI362: The Alpha Most Systems Miss ft. Yoav Git

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Yoav Git and Alan Dunne sits down for a conversation that challenges familiar assumptions about curve trading, market structure, and the role of CTAs. They explore why dislocations across time horizon...

23 Elo 20251h 7min

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

Louis-Vincent Gave returns with a blunt assessment of a global order fraying at key seams. Construction is stalling. Trade policy is adrift. Capital is retreating from the U.S. And yet, markets hum al...

20 Elo 202559min

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