The Macro Trading Floor17 Huhti 2022

Jim Leitner: A Trade for the Commodity Supercycle

We are proud to present a brand new podcast launching on the Blockworks channel The Macro Trading Floor. Every week one of the best worldwide global macro investors will join Andreas Steno Larsen & Alfonso Peccatiello to discuss the economy, markets & provide an actionable trade idea. To kick off this exciting new series, Andreas & Alfonso are joined by Jim Leitner a market veteran who traded his way up on Wall Street, recording Billions in profits during the process. Now running his family office Falcon Management, Jim walks through some of the greatest opportunities in markets today from commodities to FX trades whilst simultaneously sharing his outlook for inflation & a possible recession on the horizon. -- Follow Jim: https://twitter.com/LeitnerJim Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alfonso: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/ Subscribe To Stenos Signals: https://andreassteno.substack.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:25) Worst Take Of The Week (05:45) Market Outlook (12:10) Feature Interview With Jim Leitner (12:52) Inflation & Financial Conditions (19:54) Forecasting A Recession (22:00) Are We In A Secular Commodity Bull Market (30:35) Investing In Brazil (39:26) Jim's Actionable Trade Idea (42:08) Post Interview: Final Thoughts

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On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY

In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro P...

9 Elo 37min

Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes

Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the...

31 Heinä 38min

The Orange Variable

Brent and Alf discuss the n-th injection of the Orange Variable in markets: Trump decided to escalate again with Iran, and even suggested the ceasefire might be over altogether. The duo discusses how ...

10 Heinä 35min

The Rebasement Trade

Alf and Brent discuss the major market shifts since the Warsh press conference. Is this a big macro shift or just a mini-trend that will ultimately slow down or even reverse?

26 Kesä 30min

The Inflation Ghost, Gold and Options

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com (or Alfonso Peccatiello on BBG) To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com (or Brent Donnelly on BBG) In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss the...

22 Touko 37min

Process, Process, Process

15 Touko 33min

Macro Investing In A Post-Hormuz World

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent refresh their macro and trading frameworks on the basis of new info: the Iran/US MoU ...

8 Touko 33min

New All-Time Highs Are Here: Now What?

To reach out to Alf: alf@palinurocapital.com To reach out to Brent: bdonnelly@spectramarkets.com Alf and Brent discuss the framework for an Iran-US deal, and how to approach rates, currencies and eq...

17 Huhti 37min