SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

This episode is all about understanding the nuances of trend-following and how current market dynamics are shaking things up. Together with Rob Carver, we discuss the turbulence that hit financial markets in April and how that affected Trend Followers, as well as how Rob navigated the last 12 months as a trend follower. Plus, we explore the intriguing topic of safe haven assets, questioning if traditional choices like U.S. treasury bonds still hold up under pressure. We also explore a paper that the discuss the pros and cons of simplicity over complexity in strategy design.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:40 - What has caught our attention recently?

06:59 - Society is going crazy

09:47 - Industry performance update

16:22 - How to capture the bounce in trailing stops

23:20 - Industry performance numbers

25:18 - Q1, Niall: What books would you recommend for a young quant entering the CTA space today?

29:05 - Reviewing Rob's annual trend following performance

36:26 - Should we start to rethink our approach to drawdowns?

40:45 - How do we stop investors from projecting market expectations to trend following performance

44:16 - How Rob defines slippage

50:12 - What if we base our trend system on one indicator?

54:18 - Does this trend following thing still work?

58:56 - Getting to know the founders of trend...

Jaksot(907)

SI365: Design or Luck: Why Trend Following Results Diverge ft. Katy Kaminski

SI365: Design or Luck: Why Trend Following Results Diverge ft. Katy Kaminski

Katy Kaminski returns to explore why results in trend following rarely look alike, even when the rules sound the same. Using fresh research from Man Group and Quantica, she and Niels trace the fingerp...

13 Syys 202555min

GM87: Who Really Sets Policy Now? ft. Anna Wong

GM87: Who Really Sets Policy Now? ft. Anna Wong

Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist at Bloomberg, joins Alan Dunne with a clear-eyed assessment of where policy and politics are headed. As markets bet on cuts and the Fed talks balance, she sees a differ...

10 Syys 20251h 4min

SI364: What makes an Alternative Investment Truly Valuable? ft. Moritz Seibert

SI364: What makes an Alternative Investment Truly Valuable? ft. Moritz Seibert

What makes an alternative investment truly valuable? In this episode, Moritz Siebert joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation that moves past market moves and into the core design of systematic ...

6 Syys 20251h 11min

IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz

IL41: They’re Not Just Reading You... They’re Rewriting You ft. Sandra Matz

What if knowing you isn’t the end goal... but shaping you is? In this episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with Columbia professor Sandra Matz about how algorithms trained on our clicks, searches, and faces...

3 Syys 20251h

SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas

SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas

As trend following begins to reassert itself, Niels and Nick Baltas dig beneath the surface of recent CTA performance - where the signals are working, why fixed income remains unresolved, and how spee...

30 Elo 20251h

OI18: The Carbon Trade, Without the Illusion ft. Mike Azlen

OI18: The Carbon Trade, Without the Illusion ft. Mike Azlen

Mike Azlen joins Moritz Seibert for a frank look at carbon markets, and why much of what passes for climate action may be making things worse. While offsets dominate headlines, it's the regulated mark...

27 Elo 202547min

SI362: The Alpha Most Systems Miss ft. Yoav Git

SI362: The Alpha Most Systems Miss ft. Yoav Git

Yoav Git and Alan Dunne sits down for a conversation that challenges familiar assumptions about curve trading, market structure, and the role of CTAs. They explore why dislocations across time horizon...

23 Elo 20251h 7min

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

Louis-Vincent Gave returns with a blunt assessment of a global order fraying at key seams. Construction is stalling. Trade policy is adrift. Capital is retreating from the U.S. And yet, markets hum al...

20 Elo 202559min

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