US-China Trade Truce, Cooling CPI, and Crypto Legislation: PALvatar Market Recap, June 11 2025

Did you know the foreign exchange market is the largest in the world, with more than $5 trillion traded every single day? Brent Donnelly, the president of Spectra Markets, joins Real Vision's Ash Bennington to break down everything that’s happening in forex right now. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Elo 202251min

Natural gas prices in Europe and Asia surged to near-record highs Wednesday, as the worst energy crisis in decades intensifies amid increasingly desperate competition for supplies. And Europe’s fertilizer crunch tightened after a major manufacturer cut output due to soaring costs – driven by natural gas prices. With twin humanitarian crises looming, Tony Greer tweeted, “Does anyone in Europe have a plan?” Tony, the founder of TG Macro, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about energy, food, and what, if anything, all those central bankers gathering for the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium can do to stave off a global catastrophe. We also hear from Adrian Day about “Dr. Copper” and what its supply-and-demand dynamic can tell us about economic growth. Watch the full video featuring Adrian Day and Larry McDonald here: https://rvtv.io/3dZ9N9n. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Elo 202236min

Record-high temperatures and a severe drought in west-central China has crippled hydropower generation and prompted the shutdown of many factories in the latest blow to a Chinese economy already weighed down by stagnant consumer spending and a deeply troubled real estate market. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said Japan will re-start more idled nuclear plants and look at developing next-generation reactors to stabilize the island nation’s energy supply. Real Vision’s man on the ground in Asia, Weston Nakamura, joins Maggie Lake at the top of today’s Daily Briefing to talk about what trouble in the East means for the West and how it’s playing out in forex markets. Then, Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, joins Maggie to share a technical view of the market, including key levels for the S&P 500, energy commodities, and the U.S. dollar. We also hear from Michael Howell, the founder of CrossBorder Capital, on the dollar and what its movement tells us about global liquidity. Watch the full video featuring Michael Howell and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3POP7Oh. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Elo 202235min

The euro has broken below parity with the dollar, hitting a two-decade low on Tuesday amid multiple exigent crises that threaten not just growth but continental order. And the yuan has weakened to a two-year low against the buck, as Chinese authorities struggle to sustain growth amid a major housing market downturn. Traders see no bottom in sight for either currency, as China’s slowdown makes Europe’s troubles that much worse in a feedback loop with global implications. As we near the start of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Thursday, it’s fair to question what the Federal Reserve can do in a world where power prices in Germany reach the rough equivalent of crude oil at $1,000 per barrel. Darius Dale, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to talk about that as well as what a strong dollar means for financial markets and the global economy. We also hear from Michael Howell, the founder of CrossBorder Capital, on tightening liquidity and what it means for equity markets. Watch the full video featuring Michael Howell and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3POP7Oh. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Elo 202240min

U.S. equity indexes opened deep in the red and traded lower through the day, as investors price in “risk off” signals emerging everywhere from China to Germany and anticipate a big week of news from the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. As Weston Nakamura notes, today’s price action was foretold last Friday, when the Peoples Bank of China stepped in to defend the Chinese yuan. Prices of risk assets everywhere – including Bitcoin – began to retreat. Now we have more signs the European energy crisis is deepening, with natural gas prices surging on a new round of “maintenance” on the Nord Stream 1 pipeline that runs from Russia to Germany via the Baltic Sea. Weston joins Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about the seemingly rapid shift to a “risk off” tone, signals from the forex market, this energy crisis, and how to trade this kind of action. We also hear from Santiago Capital CEO Brent Johnson about the relationship between pegged and un-pegged currencies. Watch the full video featuring Francis "The Market Sniper" Hunt and Brent Johnson here: https://rvtv.io/3AeYC3F. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Elo 202239min

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, The Next Big Trade - be sure to subscribe. Aksel Kibar, the managing director of Tech Charts Research & Trading, is a Chartered Market Technician with more than 15 years of experience as a classical trader and global equity market analyst. Aksel joins Harry Melandri for this week’s episode of The Next Big Trade to talk about the power of technical analysis and how reading charts can help you find your next big trade. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Elo 202245min

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Harry Melandri’s life has been both unconventional and exhilarating. He’s worked at some of the world’s premier financial institutions, including UBS and Deutsche Bank, and he also spent time at the Bank of England. Harry joins Maggie Lake to share stories from his remarkable career and the lessons he learned a long the way. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Elo 202259min

St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard isn’t ready to say inflation has peaked and at this point leans toward a 75-basis-point rate hike when the Federal Open Market Committee meets next month. The central bank is fighting back against a market that’s already pricing in multiple rate cuts in 2023. But here’s the best way to think about when the Fed might “pivot,” according to Jared Dillian: “Remember, they don’t hike until things are cool. They hike until something breaks.” And there’s the political angle too: “Remember, the Fed still has to be seen doing something about inflation.” Jared joins Maggie Lake to talk about inflation in its domestic and global guises, what central banks can and will do to fight it, and whether we might be too bearish given all the bad news that’s already out there. We also hear from Rob Arnott about Wall Street inflation expectations and what, exactly, is fueling them. Watch the full video featuring Rob Arnott and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3QG02LO. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Elo 202239min