Trump’s Trade Threats, Eurozone Inflation Hits Target, and Bitcoin Breaks Records: PALvatar Market Recap, July 1 2025

David Andolfatto, economist and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joins Pedro da Costa, senior reporter at Market News International, to give a peek behind the curtain into the Fed’s monetary policy at this unique market juncture. Andolfatto analyzes the most recent economic data and estimates that we are headed towards a "W-shaped" recovery. He then describes the remaining tools the Fed still has at its disposal. Da Costa and Andolfatto also analyze the pandemic as an accelerant of secular trends, such as working from home and rapid adoption of technology, as well of the lasting impacts of this acceleration. They also explore helicopter money, the commoditization of consumer loans, as well as the looming threat of inflation. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Elo 202054min

Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision favorite Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisors. Mike Green gives a strategic update on the markets, and, through the lens of his renowned critique of passive investing, analyzes flow data on ETFs and mutual funds to conclude that the markets could be due for some turmoil in the coming months. Green and Bennington also discuss today’s interview with Green and Rob Arnott, one of the world’s leading quantitative investors. Green also shares his views on "volmaggedon" and the similarities between short-vol and bonds. In the intro, Jack reviews recent FAANG earnings and gives a preview of Jason Buck’s three-part “Ahead of the Curve,” a deep-dive into volatility featuring interviews with Chris Cole, Jerry Haworth, and Bastian Bolesta. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Heinä 202039min

Managing editor, Ed Harrison, hosts Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, to discuss currency markets, the dollar’s reserve status, and the world’s loosening grip on the goal of economic efficiency. Chandler and Harrison parse how a seemingly weaker US recovery is expressing itself through currency markets. Chandler also shares his thoughts on why the dollar losing reserve status and the loss of US hegemony are not as compelling by appealing to the dollar’s cyclical trends. Finally, they discuss how nations are reducing their dependency on economic efficiency as the end all, be all, what that looks like, and how the pandemic is catalyzing these trends. In the intro, Nick Correa reviews the latest GDP numbers for the U.S. economy and what implications it has over the next few months. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Heinä 202030min

Managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, come together to discuss the Fed in light of the FOMC’s announcement today. Ed and Ash drive home how the Fed, at this time, is the dominant agent in these markets and how investor’s feelings regarding Fed action can interfere with one’s ability to make money. Because of the Fed’s mandate, Ed and Ash discuss why they are “the only game in town” and how it’s led them to respond to the crisis with unprecedented force. They then consider the weight of the arguments concerning the dollar losing reserve currency status and examine the implications of the Fed’s latest announcement. In the intro, Nick Correa covers what’s happening in gold markets and whether the rally is “overhyped” as well as Santander’s and Barclays’ earnings announcements. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

29 Heinä 202036min

Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Max Wiethe to cover the types of U.S. stimulus that have been implemented so far, the battle happening in Congress, and the crypto space. Ash and Max do a deep-dive into the types of monetary policy the Fed can implement and the alphabet soup of facilities they have set up to respond to the crisis. They also discuss at length what the current negotiations could mean for the 2020 elections, how the robustness of the recovery is what matters at this stage, and how the dysfunction of Congress is on display. Finally, they talk about gold breaking its all-time highs, bitcoin nearing $11,000, and the long-term view of the crypto space. In the intro, Nick Correa talks about the newly-unveiled proposal from the Republicans for fiscal stimulus and the sources of tension as Congress races toward passing a relief bill. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Heinä 202038min

Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts managing editor, Ed Harrison, to break down the recent price action in gold and bitcoin, and to analyze the health of the U.S. economy as COVID-19 continues to spread. Ash and Ed also consider how the dollar continues to weaken and where rates are headed, as well as speculate on what the next iteration of US fiscal policy will shape up to be. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at the plumbing of the gold market. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Heinä 202032min

In many ways, China is at the center of the public health and economic crisis that has gripped the entire world for most of 2020, but recently more focus has been placed on the U.S. and Europe. George Magnus, research associate for the China Centre at Oxford University, helps viewers revert their gaze back towards the global superpower sized elephant in the room. Together with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, Magnus examines the current state of affairs for China from the perspective of the western countries left with a bad taste in their mouths after China's handling of the COVID-19 outbreak, but also from the internal perspective of a country looking to restart its growth engine and position itself for a world with fewer allies and a new economy with less reliance on traditional global trade partners. In addition, they examine the health of the Chinese banking system, the return of credit growth in China, and the potential for western sanctions and the outright weaponization of the U.S. dollar.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Heinä 202055min

Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy for an in-depth discussion on the fate of the world's most important currency: the U.S. dollar. Johnson gives a strategic update on his "Dollar Milkshake" thesis and explains his bullish long-term view of the dollar, based on the outstanding glut of dollar-denominated debt. Alden considers this analysis and introduces a less bullish view, which she bases on the U.S.'s high trade deficit and negative net international investment position (NIIP). Using many detailed charts, Alden and Johnson compare their ideas and reach something of a synthesis between their two views. The pair also reflect on the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, and they also explore whether a move to a multipolar currency world is possible. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Heinä 20201h 19min