Have the Recent Conflicts Transformed the Middle East?

Have the Recent Conflicts Transformed the Middle East?

Open warfare has crossed the Middle East, and in its wake came an erosion of the norms of statesmanship and the power of international law to avert conflict. What are the implications for deterrence, diplomacy, and the future of UK, US, and regional strategy?

In this episode of Global Security Briefing, host Neil Melvin is joined by RUSI experts Burcu Ozcelik and Michael Stephens to assess whether the Middle East is on the cusp of fundamental transformation or simply entering another volatile chapter. With the region rocked by Hamas' October 2023 attacks, a devastating war in Gaza, direct military strikes between Iran and Israel, and renewed US intervention, long-held assumptions about deterrence, regional power balances, and the limits of escalation have been upended.

As Prime Minister Netanyahu meets President Trump in Washington, the episode explores how far the region has shifted and whether latest confrontations mark the end of 'grey-zone' conflicts and the emergence of a new order shaped by overt state-to-state warfare. Has Iran's deterrence crumbled? Can Israel claim strategic success? Are Gulf states and the US recalibrating their roles? And what does all this mean for the future of Gaza, the Arab-Israeli process of diplomatic normalisation, and UK foreign policy?

Jaksot(100)

What is Driving Turkey's Foreign and Security Policy Agenda?

What is Driving Turkey's Foreign and Security Policy Agenda?

As the Middle East is facing grave uncertainty against the backdrop of what is being called the 'Third Gulf War', Ankara is managing an uneasy relationship with Iran. Turkey is projecting itself as a ...

25 Maalis 48min

The Regional and Global Significance of the US-Led Attack on Iran

The Regional and Global Significance of the US-Led Attack on Iran

The US and Israel have launched major strikes on Iran, triggering retaliation across the region and raising fears of wider war. As tensions escalate around the Strait of Hormuz and across the region, ...

4 Maalis 54min

Is Ukraine Any Closer to Peace After Four Years of War?

Is Ukraine Any Closer to Peace After Four Years of War?

Ukraine, its European backers and the United States have drawn closer to agreeing a blueprint for peace, but various questions remain.  Can anyone accept Russian sincerity? How to treat Moscow's deman...

25 Helmi 19min

Is the Trump Administration's 'Donroe' Doctrine Transforming Relations with Latin America?

Is the Trump Administration's 'Donroe' Doctrine Transforming Relations with Latin America?

Following Washington's emphasis on the Western Hemisphere in its 2025 National Security Strategy, this episode examines Cuba, Venezuela and the intensifying US-China competition in Latin America. In t...

18 Helmi 53min

Greenland: A Flashpoint in Transatlantic Relations

Greenland: A Flashpoint in Transatlantic Relations

The Greenland crisis has damaged goodwill and trust between the US and Europe and has undermined perceptions of US reliability and trustworthiness. Following the 2026 World Economic Forum Annual Meeti...

28 Tammi 14min

Can the Transatlantic Alliance Survive the Trump Presidency?

Can the Transatlantic Alliance Survive the Trump Presidency?

As US–European relations face renewed strain under President Trump, this episode explores what the crisis means for NATO, European security and the United Kingdom. In this episode, Neil Melvin is join...

21 Tammi 56min

How Will German Rearmament Shape European Security?

How Will German Rearmament Shape European Security?

Dr Claudia Major joins Neil Melvin to discuss Germany's rearmament drive and its implications for European and transatlantic security. Germany is undertaking the most significant overhaul of its defen...

14 Tammi 53min

The View from Doha 2025

The View from Doha 2025

Dr Burcu Ozcelik and Nicholas Hopton join Neil Melvin to discuss key insights from the Doha Forum and the shifting Middle East security landscape. In this episode, recorded at the Doha Forum 2025, Nei...

10 Joulu 202556min

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