Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Stuart Kaiser & Brian Belski

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 17th, 2025Featuring:1) Bob Hormats, Vice Chairman of Kissinger Associates, talks about the history of the G7 and the significance of President Trump leaving early today to deal with the conflict in the Middle East. President Trump left the G7 meeting in Canada early to deal with the Israel-Iran conflict, but downplayed the chances of a ceasefire. Despite Trump's comments, top US officials said the president remains hopeful a peace deal can be achieved between Israel and Iran, with Trump's top Middle East envoy possibly meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi later this week.2) Stuart Kaiser, Head: US Equity Trading Strategy Citi, joins to discuss whether the equity rally in the US could face further headwinds or if there's just immediate headline risk. The market is gauging the risks of an escalation in hostilities and broader involvement, with a focus on oil prices, which could soar if Tehran disrupts shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.3) Jerome Schneider, Head: Short Term Portfolio Management & Funding at PIMCO, discusses the upcoming Fed meeting and why not all cash is king when it comes to defensive investing. The Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday will be closely watched, with policymakers signaling an extended hold on interest rates and investors looking for clues on what might eventually prompt the central bank to make a move.4) Meredith Whitney, CEO at Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, joins to talk about US economic risks and why the July 3rd jobs report could mark a breaking point in the US economy.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including Business Insider's story on Costco testing stand-alone gas stations for members and the NYT story on Americans watching streaming.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

17 Kesä 35min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Campbell Harvey & Ed Morse. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

16 Kesä 5min

- Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock- Aaron David Miller, Senior Fellow for Carnegie Endowment for International Peace- Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council- Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist for Mizuho Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, joins for a discussion on the bond market, corporate credit spreads, and whether bonds are indicating a slowdown in the US economy. Aaron David Miller, Senior Fellow for Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, discusses the latest on the conflict between Israel and Iran and the chances of escalation. Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, talks about the outlook for energy prices amid conflict in the Middle East. Steven Ricchiuto, Chief US Economist for Mizuho, offers his outlook for inflation, the Fed, and the US economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

16 Kesä 27min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 16th, 2025Featuring:1) Ed Morse, Senior Advisor at Hartree Partners and former Head of Global Commodities at Citi, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for global oil and commodities. The hostilities between Israel and Iran disrupted market momentum, but traders increasingly anticipate that the conflict will remain contained, leading to dip-buying on Monday. In the premarket, Brent crude dropped 0.4% after initially soaring as much as 5.5% following a weekend of attacks. Gold dropped 0.5% from Friday’s all-time high.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the latest DC headlines including President Trump's trip to the G7 in Canada and the US' role in the Israel-Iran conflict. The conflict has caused damage to the US consulate in Tel Aviv, and has led to a rise in global energy prices. Hostilities between Israel and Iran have entered a fourth day, with no sign of easing, and have resulted in hundreds of deaths.3) Cam Harvey, professor at Duke's Fuqua School of Business, looks ahead to this week's Fed meeting and talks about why gold is continuing to rise as a hedge. Markets are looking ahead to interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, as well as a meeting of the Group of Seven nations, later this week.4) Whitney Tilson, NYC mayoral candidate and former hedge fund manager, talks about his candidacy for NYC mayor ahead of the Democratic primary next week. Early voters are flocking to polls as leaders are emerging in the packed list of candidates: former NY Governor Andrew Cuomo and state assemblyman Zohran Mamdani.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including WSJ's story on the next big thing in luxury travel and Bloomberg Screentime's story on YouTube serving as a longform platform for videos.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

16 Kesä 43min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Tina Fordham. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Kesä 3min

- Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations- Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income- Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations- Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co.Danny Danon, Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations, discusses the latest developments in the Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Robert Tipp, Chief Investment Strategist at PGIM Fixed Income, joins to discuss the Treasury outlook after yesterday's auction and the spike in yields after Israel's strike on Iran. Steven Cook, Senior Fellow: Middle East at Council on Foreign Relations, joins to discuss the latest on Israeli strikes on Iran. Jim Farley, President & CEO at Ford Motor Co., talks about the latest updates from his company and how they're navigating a new geopolitical, tech, and economic environment.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Kesä 29min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 13th, 2025Featuring:1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for a discussion on the reshaped geopolitical landscape after Israel's strike on Iran. The conflict could impact oil prices, with scenarios ranging from a moderate increase to $75 per barrel if Iran's oil facilities are attacked, to a more extreme scenario of $130 per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz is closed. The US's role in the conflict is uncertain, with possible scenarios including Tehran trying to keep the US out of the war, symbolic attacks against the US, or Iran targeting US positions in the region.2) Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East, on Israel striking Iran and the consequences for the US and Middle East. The attacks risk plunging the Middle East into crisis, hitting the global economy, and escalating into a broader regional conflict, with the US and other nations calling for diplomatic de-escalation.3) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, discusses the potential for Treasuries and the Dollar becoming a safe haven amid Middle East tensions and whether US exceptionalism is fading. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve. 4) Gautam Mukunda, Professor at Yale School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses the US' role in the Israel-Iran conflict and how it could affect the upcoming Iran Nuclear Deal talks. President Trump urges Iran to accept a nuclear deal to avoid further attacks, after Israel bombed Iran's atomic facilities and killed top commanders. Israel struck around 100 targets across Iranian cities, causing oil prices to surge and investors to buy havens, and Iran responded with a wave of drones towards Israel.5) Matt Luzzetti, Chief Economist at Deutsche Bank, talks about the changing US economic outlook amid rising Middle East tensions. Treasuries rose due to escalating Israel-Iran tensions, strong auctions, and cooling inflation data, with yields falling 1-2 basis points across the curve. duropean government bonds initially jumped but then reversed gains as focus turned to the impact of higher oil prices on inflation.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Kesä 45min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Frances Donald & Richard Clarida. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Kesä 4min