SI359: Trend Following in a World That Loves Bubbles ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI359: Trend Following in a World That Loves Bubbles ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Mark Rzepczynski joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation shaped by tension between surface calm and deeper dislocation. From copper’s sudden collapse to signs of stress in liquidity and leverage, they explore how market behavior is increasingly defined by fragility, not fundamentals. With Fed policy boxed in, equity optimism rising, and stablecoins quietly redrawing the contours of the monetary system, the challenge for investors isn’t prediction - it’s positioning. They also confront the limits of complexity in models and why, in uncertain regimes, the discipline of doing less may offer the most resilience. This is trend following in context.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Mark on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

01:15 - What has caught our attention recently?

09:08 - The tough situation of Fed independence

10:43 - Industry performance update

14:27 - Mark's analysis of the current trend following performance

21:01 - Are we picking up long term inflation trends?

23:04 - 2025 has given us something rare

26:05 - The core problem that trend followers face today

36:42 - The evolution of stablecoins

43:52 - The definition of financial bubbles is becoming diluted

53:11 - Risk - a feeling or a factor?

58:42 - The seductiveness of complexity

01:01:10 - Key observations from our conversation

01:07:17 - What is up for next week?

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All

Jaksot(859)

RT11: AHL 30 Year Anniversary ft. Michael Adam, David Harding & Marty Lueck – 1of3

RT11: AHL 30 Year Anniversary ft. Michael Adam, David Harding & Marty Lueck – 1of3

I was thrilled to be joined by the founders of AHL, to celebrate their 30 year anniversay of founding AHL: Michael Adam who later co-founded Aspect Capital, David Harding also known as founder and CEO of Winton Capital and Marty Lueck also one of the co-founders of Aspect Capital.We sat down in the famous Abbey Road Studios in London to talk about AHL’s beginnings, the revolutionary discoveries that AHL made, how MAN Group became the owner of AHL, as well as all the great things that Michael, David and Marty went on to create.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:How AHL got it’s startWhy Michael’s father was instrumental in the beginning of AHLWhat struck David when testing their early algorithmsWhy their “empiricist” outlook gave them an early advantageHow technology’s limits pushed their ideasThe breakthroughs of AHL’s early research and how it still applies todayWhy being a consultant gave AHL deep insight into trading the marketsThe crucial role the early clients had in AHL’s developmentThe power of finding the right people to work withWhy Michael preferred working with “unformed” employeesHow the original deal between MAN and MINT influenced AHLWhat the larger financial community initially thought about AHLHow AHL brought in investors in those early days-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Michael Adam and Mike Marlin and The MelomaniacsLearn more about David Harding and <a href="https://www.winton.com/en/" rel="noopener noreferrer"...

18 Elo 201744min

RT10: The challenge pension funds face with Risk Mitigation ft. Ryan Abrams, Ela Karahasanoglu & Carrie Lo – 2of2

RT10: The challenge pension funds face with Risk Mitigation ft. Ryan Abrams, Ela Karahasanoglu & Carrie Lo – 2of2

On this episode I continue my conversation Ryan Abrams, Portfolio Manager at Wisconsin Alumni Research Association, Ela Karahasanoglu, VP at Workplace Safety and Insurance Board, and Carrie Lo, Director of Hedge Strategies at CalSTRS.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:When do you stop adding more managers?Ela’s magic range of managersCarrie’s approach to choosing managersHow management fees should be structuredWhat advice Carrie would give to other pensions planning to start allocating to risk mitigation strategiesWhy Ela recommends a thorough preparation and vision for risk mitigation strategiesRyan’s thoughts on trends during dislocation periodsWhat challenges the guests had to overcome as part of their implementation processWhy CalPERS are leaving hedge funds when CalSTRS are adding them, even when some of the board members are the same-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Ryan Abrams and Wisconsin Alumni Research AssociationLearn more about Ela Karahasanoglu and Workplace Safety and Insurance BoardLearn more about Carrie Lo and CalSTRSCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key...

14 Heinä 201735min

RT09: Why & How CalSTERS mitigate Risk ft. Ryan Abrams, Ela Karahasanoglu & Carrie Lo – 1of2

RT09: Why & How CalSTERS mitigate Risk ft. Ryan Abrams, Ela Karahasanoglu & Carrie Lo – 1of2

On this episode my very special guests are Ryan Abrams, Portfolio Manager at Wisconsin Alumni Research Association, Ela Karahasanoglu, VP at Workplace Safety and Insurance Board, and Carrie Lo, Director of Hedge Strategies at CalSTRS, for a fun and insightful conversation about how to mitigate the Risk in a Portfolio using Managed Futures.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:How Carrie diligently prepared her new Risk Mitigation Strategies (RMS)How much CalSTRS will initially allocate to the RMS part for their $200bn+ portolioHow Ryan uses risk mitigation strategies in his organizationHow Ela is slowly restructuring her alternative portfolioThe risks of risk parity strategiesIs trend-following really an opportunity cost question?How Carrie has worked with the CalSTRS board on implementing this strategyWhy Ela has focused more on tail-risk strategiesCarrie’s manager selection process-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Ryan Abrams and Wisconsin Alumni Research AssociationLearn more about Ela Karahasanoglu and Workplace Safety and Insurance BoardLearn more about Carrie Lo and CalSTRSCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1....

25 Kesä 201740min

RT08: Two Turtles & their Mentor ft.  Richard Dennis, Brian Proctor & Jerry Parker – 2of2

RT08: Two Turtles & their Mentor ft. Richard Dennis, Brian Proctor & Jerry Parker – 2of2

On this episode my guests are Richard Dennis, creator of the Turtle program, Brian Proctor, managing director of EMC Capital Advices, and Jerry Parker, founder and president of Chesapeake Capital, for a rare conversation about the inner workings of the Turtle program, told for the first time by Richard himself.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:The good and bad of targeting volatilityHow Jerry and Brian used the rules they learned through the Turtle experienceWhy the Turtle program was just “another piece of risk” Rich took on his bookJerry’s experience during and after the programBrian’s two biggest takeaways from the Turtle programIf proper trading can be a real business?What Rich would do differently in 2017The state of trend following todayIf being a good trader is enough to run a successful business?About other passions of the Turtles outside of trend following and tradingRich’s secret “career” in baseballIf Rich has found any counter-trend strategies that workJerry’s views on changing and adapting too muchWhat academia thought of trend following 40 years ago-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Richard Dennis and the Turtle programLearn more about Brian Proctor and EMC Capital AdvisorsFollow Jerry on <a href="https://x.com/rjpjr12" rel="noopener noreferrer"...

9 Touko 201736min

RT07:  The Turtle Reunion ft. Richard Dennis, Brian Proctor & Jerry Parker – 1of2

RT07: The Turtle Reunion ft. Richard Dennis, Brian Proctor & Jerry Parker – 1of2

Today I'm joined by Richard Dennis, creator of the Turtle program, Brian Proctor, managing director of EMC Capital Advices, and Jerry Parker, founder and president of Chesapeake Capital, for a rare conversation about the inner workings of the Turtle program, told for the first time by Richard himself.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:Rich’s first introduction to trend followingJerry’s early days in the Turtle programHow Brian ended up as a TurtleThe TRUTH about where the Turtle name came fromThe surprising way Rich came up with the idea for the Turtle group…NOT what you expect!Why Jerry did not answer the first call from Rich when applying for the programThe preferred qualities of the Turtle recruitsWhy it was hard to predict which of the Turtles would succeedWhy persistence is important in trend followingThe relevance of the Turtle group in the past and todayIf diversification among markets is always the best practice?The right balance of financial futures markets and commodity futures marketsWhy more investors haven’t embraced trend following…yet?-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Richard Dennis and the Turtle programLearn more about Brian Proctor and EMC Capital AdvisorsFollow Jerry on Twitter.Copyright © 2025

17 Huhti 201737min

RT06: The future of hedge funds ft. Chris Solarz, Adam Duncan & Freeman Wood – 2of2

RT06: The future of hedge funds ft. Chris Solarz, Adam Duncan & Freeman Wood – 2of2

We are back with another great conversation where my guests are Chris Solarz, Managing Director, Global Macro Hedge Fund Strategies at Cliffwater, Adam Duncan, Managing Director at Cambridge Associates as well as Freeman Wood, who is a Partner and Head of North America, at Mercer, for a deep dive into the world of Consultants in Alternative Investments.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:If there are there enough assets to go aroundWhat made 2015 such a weak year for hedge fundsWhy 2016 was such a strong year for hedge fundsThe future of hedge fund investingWhat Chris thinks hedge fund managers have done poorlyHow Adam looks at fees as a coin tossWhy Freeman thinks that fees must add value to both partiesThe guest’s biggest takeaways from 2016How the rise of the voter is providing opportunities to hedge fund managersThe coming possibility of an equity correction, and it’s effectsThe question everyone should be asking right nowWhy a client needs a goal and a timeline for their assets-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Chris Solarz and CliffwaterLearn more about Adam Duncan and Cambridge AssociatesLearn more about Freeman Wood and MercerCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment...

23 Maalis 201738min

RT05: What Consultants look for in a manager ft. Chris Solarz, Adam Duncan & Freeman Wood – 1of2

RT05: What Consultants look for in a manager ft. Chris Solarz, Adam Duncan & Freeman Wood – 1of2

My guests today are Chris Solarz, Managing Director, Global Macro Hedge Fund Strategies at Cliffwater, Adam Duncan, Managing Director at Cambridge Associates as well as Freeman Wood, who is a Partner and Head of North America, at Mercer, for a fun and insightful conversation into the world of Consultants and their role in Alternative Investments.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:How our guests got to where they are todayWhat challenges Adam sees institutional investors facingThe extra information Chris gives his clientsHow the role of the consultant has changedTwo issues that frustrate consultants, and how our guests solve themFreeman’s view of the role of the financial decision makersHow to bridge the gap between the managers and the investorsWhat your theoretical models can’t account forWhy past hedge fund managers were able to pursue a more “pure” strategyThe practical implications of having a larger fundThe pros and cons of smaller and larger managersHow Chris developed his key business strategiesWhat red flags new startups can avoid-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Chris Solarz and CliffwaterLearn more about Adam Duncan and Cambridge AssociatesLearn more about Freeman Wood and MercerCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready......

7 Maalis 201741min

RT04: What is the right fee structure? ft. Marty Bergin, Grant Jaffarian & Mike Boss – 2of2

RT04: What is the right fee structure? ft. Marty Bergin, Grant Jaffarian & Mike Boss – 2of2

On this episode I continue my conversation with Marty Bergin, the owner and President of DUNN Capital Management, Grant Jaffarian, Portfolio Manager of the Advanced Trend program at Crabel Capital Management, and Mike Boss, who is a Director within the Capital Introductions Team at Societe General, where we cover all things trend following and some of the differences to short-term trading.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HEREIn This Episode, You’ll Learn:How to use your management and incentive fees to competeGrants’s competitive strategy for his flat-fee productWhy a robust risk management system is extremely importantWho is winning the battle between the low-cost products and the traditional trend following offeringsIf the increased number of investors using trend following is impacting returns?How rising interest rates will affect long- and short-term trend followersThe guest’s biggest takeaways from 2016If machine learning is already being used by trend following firms?-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Learn more about Marty Bergin and DUNN Capital ManagementLearn more about Grant Jaffarian and Crabel Capital ManagementLearn more about Mike Boss and Societe GeneralCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS:...

19 Helmi 201731min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
puheenaihe
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rss-rahamania
pomojen-suusta
hyva-paha-johtaminen
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-startup-ministerio
oppimisen-psykologia
rss-lahtijat
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-paasipodi
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-wtf-markkinointi-by-dagmar
rahapuhetta
raharesepti
rss-myyntipodi