#477 – Keyu Jin: China’s Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism

#477 – Keyu Jin: China’s Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism

Keyu Jin is an economist specializing in China’s economy, international macroeconomics, global trade imbalances, and financial policy. She is the author of The New China Playbook: Beyond Socialism and Capitalism.
Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep477-sc
See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc.

Transcript:
https://lexfridman.com/keyu-jin-transcript

CONTACT LEX:
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Other – other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact

EPISODE LINKS:
Keyu’s X: https://x.com/KeyuJin
Keyu’s Website: https://keyujin.com/
The New China Playbook (Book): https://amzn.to/4lpgmyK

SPONSORS:
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OUTLINE:
(00:00) – Introduction
(00:35) – Sponsors, Comments, and Reflections
(08:26) – Misconceptions about China
(12:57) – Education in China
(22:14) – Economic reforms of Deng Xiaoping
(27:33) – Mayor economy and GDP growth race
(41:20) – Growing up in China
(46:58) – First time in the US
(51:12) – China’s government vs business sector
(54:46) – Communism and capitalism
(58:25) – Jack Ma
(1:04:37) – China’s view on innovation and copying ideas
(1:11:15) – DeepSeek moment
(1:15:09) – CHIPS Act
(1:16:56) – Tariffs and Trade
(1:29:21) – Immigration
(1:34:08) – Taiwan
(1:39:54) – One-child policy
(1:47:51) – China’s economy collapse predictions
(1:52:34) – Advice for visiting China

PODCAST LINKS:
– Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast
– Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr
– Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8
– RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/
– Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4
– Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

Jaksot(490)

#345 – Coffeezilla: SBF, FTX, Fraud, Scams, Fake Gurus, Money, Fame, and Power

#345 – Coffeezilla: SBF, FTX, Fraud, Scams, Fake Gurus, Money, Fame, and Power

Coffeezilla is a journalist and investigator on YouTube who exposes financial frauds, scams, and fake gurus. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – Rocket Money: https://rocketmoney.com/lex – Eight Sleep: https://www.eightsleep.com/lex to get special savings – BetterHelp: https://betterhelp.com/lex to get 10% off – MasterClass: https://masterclass.com/lex to get 15% off EPISODE LINKS: Coffeezilla’s YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/Coffeezilla Coffeezilla’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/coffeebreak_YT Coffeezilla’s Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/coffeebreak_yt PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (06:04) – Coffee (08:13) – SBF and FTX (22:54) – $8 billion (32:01) – Evil vs incompetence (41:57) – Key lessons from FTX collapse (55:15) – Should SBF go to jail? (1:03:02) – Role of influencers and celebrities (1:07:30) – How FTX covered up fraud (1:11:26) – Interview with SBF (1:26:29) – SafeMoon fraud (1:32:41) – Bitcoin (1:43:20) – Psychology of investigating fraud (1:52:26) – Investigating politics and corruption (1:59:39) – Coffeezilla origin story (2:04:19) – MLM marketing scams (2:11:58) – Andrew Tate and Hustlers University (2:29:40) – Save the Kids crypto scandal (2:36:59) – Money and fame (2:44:03) – MrBeast (2:50:26) – Fake gurus and Get-Rich-Quick schemes (3:09:45) – Process of investigation (3:22:31) – Twitter Files release (3:31:36) – Time management and productivity (3:43:36) – Advice for young people

9 Joulu 20223h 51min

#344 – Noam Brown: AI vs Humans in Poker and Games of Strategic Negotiation

#344 – Noam Brown: AI vs Humans in Poker and Games of Strategic Negotiation

Noam Brown is a research scientist at FAIR, Meta AI, co-creator of AI that achieved superhuman level performance in games of No-Limit Texas Hold’em and Diplomacy. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – True Classic Tees: https://trueclassictees.com/lex and use code LEX to get 25% off – Audible: https://audible.com/lex to get 30-day free trial – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod to get 3 months free EPISODE LINKS: Noam’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/polynoamial Noam’s LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/noam-brown-8b785b62/ webDiplomacy: https://webdiplomacy.net/ Noam’s papers: Superhuman AI for multiplayer poker: https://par.nsf.gov/servlets/purl/10119653 Superhuman AI for heads-up no-limit poker: https://par.nsf.gov/servlets/purl/10077416 Human-level play in the game of Diplomacy: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ade9097 PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (05:37) – No Limit Texas Hold ’em (09:30) – Solving poker (22:40) – Poker vs Chess (29:18) – AI playing poker (1:02:46) – Heads-up vs Multi-way poker (1:13:37) – Greatest poker player of all time (1:17:10) – Diplomacy game (1:27:01) – AI negotiating with humans (2:09:26) – AI in geopolitics (2:14:11) – Human-like AI for games (2:20:12) – Ethics of AI (2:24:26) – AGI (2:28:25) – Advice to beginners

6 Joulu 20222h 33min

#343 – Roger Gracie: Greatest Jiu Jitsu Competitor of All Time

#343 – Roger Gracie: Greatest Jiu Jitsu Competitor of All Time

Roger Gracie is a legendary jiu jitsu competitor and MMA fighter. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – Bambee: https://bambee.com and use code LEX to get free HR audit – Mizzen+Main: https://mizzenandmain.com and use code LEX to get $35 off – Blinkist: https://blinkist.com/lex to get 25% off premium – Athletic Greens: https://athleticgreens.com/lex to get 1 month of fish oil EPISODE LINKS: Roger’s Instagram: https://instagram.com/rogergracie/ Roger’s Website: https://rogergracie.com/ Roger’s Online Jiu Jitsu: https://rogergracietv.com/ Roger’s match against Marcus “Buchecha” Almeida: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_L-Ni7bFAHg Watch full matches at FloGrappling: https://flograppling.com PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (07:26) – The moments before a match (15:17) – Confidence (29:43) – Greatest jiu jitsu match of all time (51:04) – Renzo Gracie (1:03:21) – Braveheart (1:04:44) – Self-belief (1:18:50) – Cross-collar choke (1:22:53) – Mount position (1:39:07) – How to progress in jiu jitsu (1:41:22) – Best submission in jiu jitsu (1:45:55) – The greatest competitor of all time (1:48:01) – Roger’s statistics (1:55:57) – MMA vs jiu jitsu (2:04:25) – Gordon Ryan (2:16:51) – John Danaher (2:19:23) – Bear fight (2:22:21) – Tie (2:32:53) – Advice for beginners (2:42:13) – Drilling (2:50:09) – Roger vs Bear, Lion, Gorilla, and Anaconda (2:55:14) – Advice for young people (3:05:02) – Love

3 Joulu 20220s

#342 – Todd Howard: Skyrim, Elder Scrolls 6, Fallout, and Starfield

#342 – Todd Howard: Skyrim, Elder Scrolls 6, Fallout, and Starfield

Todd Howard is a legendary video game designer at Bethesda Game Studios. He led the development of the Elder Scrolls series and the Fallout series, and an upcoming game Starfield. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – Shopify: https://shopify.com/lex to get free trial – Eight Sleep: https://www.eightsleep.com/lex to get special savings – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – LMNT: https://drinkLMNT.com/lex to get free sample pack EPISODE LINKS: Bethesda: https://bethesda.net Bethesda Game Studios: https://bethesdagamestudios.com Creation Club: https://creationclub.bethesda.net PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (05:53) – Simulation (07:49) – NPCs (16:40) – Daggerfall and Arena (24:53) – Bethesda (33:18) – Video game graphics (39:37) – The essence of a video game (44:25) – Redguard (49:25) – Creating open worlds (57:04) – Superintelligent NPCs (1:01:58) – Starfield (1:21:40) – The Elder Scrolls 6 (1:41:01) – Fallout (1:48:09) – Character creation (1:53:11) – Quests & items (2:06:57) – Xbox (2:12:22) – Greatest game of all time (2:22:38) – Day in the life (2:30:32) – Advice for young people (2:34:00) – Fallout TV show (2:38:32) – Indiana Jones game (2:44:44) – Meaning of life

29 Marras 20222h 49min

#341 – Guido van Rossum: Python and the Future of Programming

#341 – Guido van Rossum: Python and the Future of Programming

Guido van Rossum is the creator of Python programming language. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – GiveDirectly: https://givedirectly.org/lex to get gift matched up to $1000 – Eight Sleep: https://www.eightsleep.com/lex to get special savings – Fundrise: https://fundrise.com/lex – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – Athletic Greens: https://athleticgreens.com/lex to get 1 month of fish oil EPISODE LINKS: Guido’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/gvanrossum Guido’s Website: https://gvanrossum.github.io/ Python’s Website: https://python.org PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (07:26) – CPython (12:38) – Code readability (17:00) – Indentation (33:36) – Bugs (45:04) – Programming fads (1:00:15) – Speed of Python 3.11 (1:25:09) – Type hinting (1:30:27) – mypy (1:35:43) – TypeScript vs JavaScript (1:51:42) – Best IDE for Python (2:01:43) – Parallelism (2:19:36) – Global Interpreter Lock (GIL) (2:29:14) – Python 4.0 (2:41:31) – Machine learning (2:51:13) – Benevolent Dictator for Life (BDFL) (3:02:49) – Advice for beginners (3:09:21) – GitHub Copilot (3:12:47) – Future of Python

26 Marras 20223h 22min

#340 – Chris Tarbell: FBI Agent Who Took Down Silk Road

#340 – Chris Tarbell: FBI Agent Who Took Down Silk Road

Chris Tarbell is a former FBI special agent and cybercrime investigation specialist who brought down Ross Ulbricht and Silk Road, and Hector Monsegur (aka Sabu) of LulzSec and Anonymous. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – True Classic Tees: https://trueclassictees.com/lex and use code LEX to get 25% off – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod to get 3 months free – BetterHelp: https://betterhelp.com/lex to get 10% off – Blinkist: https://blinkist.com/lex to get 25% off premium EPISODE LINKS: Hacker And The Fed podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/hacker-and-the-fed/id1649541362 Naxo: https://naxo.com/who-we-are PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (08:05) – Silk Road (18:28) – Mass surveillance (22:40) – Operation Onion Peeler (27:56) – Hacker Avunit (38:45) – Ross Ulbricht and Silk Road (51:29) – Edward Snowden (53:33) – NSA surveillance (1:05:40) – Silk Road murders (1:14:26) – Dark web (1:18:28) – Ross Ulbricht’s arrest (1:26:27) – Aaron Swartz (1:29:45) – Donald Trump and the Mar-a-Lago raid (1:32:50) – Tech companies and censorship (1:41:49) – War in Ukraine (1:45:47) – Anonymous and LulzSec (1:55:59) – FBI (1:59:00) – Personal threats (2:04:47) – Hector Monsegur a.k.a Sabu (2:17:57) – Cyber attack threats against civilians (2:34:45) – Most secure operating system (2:38:33) – Cyber war (2:46:28) – Advice for young people (2:51:39) – FBI’s credibility (3:00:10) – Love

22 Marras 20223h 2min

#339 – Climate Change Debate: Bjørn Lomborg and Andrew Revkin

#339 – Climate Change Debate: Bjørn Lomborg and Andrew Revkin

Bjørn Lomborg is author of “False Alarm”. Andrew Revkin is a climate journalist (21 years at NY Times). Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – Eight Sleep: https://www.eightsleep.com/lex to get special savings – Linode: https://linode.com/lex to get $100 free credit – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – Onnit: https://lexfridman.com/onnit to get up to 10% off EPISODE LINKS: Andrew’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/Revkin Andrew’s Substack: https://revkin.substack.com Andrew’s Linktree: https://linktr.ee/revkin Bjørn’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg Bjørn’s Website: https://lomborg.com Andrew’s Books: The Human Planet: https://amzn.to/3MRuLUY The Burning Season: https://amzn.to/3Dmr5Hq Bjørn’s Books: False Alarm: https://amzn.to/3Sqt5D4 How to Spend $75 Billion to Make the World a Better Place: https://amzn.to/3gwoIJ7 PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (06:59) – Politics of climate change (24:01) – Greta Thunberg (30:31) – Electric cars (37:53) – Economy (45:30) – Journalism (59:32) – Human emissions (1:17:19) – Worst-case climate change scenario (1:37:40) – Hurricanes (1:56:29) – Climate change vs Global warming (2:00:35) – Climate alarmism (2:15:25) – Economic models (2:46:52) – Climate change policies (3:02:54) – Nuclear energy (3:09:30) – Alex Epstein (3:20:00) – Public opinion on climate change (3:41:57) – US presidents (3:52:35) – Advice for young people (4:06:10) – Meaning of life

18 Marras 20224h 16min

#338 – Chamath Palihapitiya: Money, Success, Startups, Energy, Poker & Happiness

#338 – Chamath Palihapitiya: Money, Success, Startups, Energy, Poker & Happiness

Chamath Palihapitiya is a venture capitalist, engineer, CEO of Social Capital, and co-host of the All-In Podcast. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: – Bambee: https://bambee.com and use code LEX to get free HR audit – InsideTracker: https://insidetracker.com/lex to get 20% off – NetSuite: http://netsuite.com/lex to get free product tour – SimpliSafe: https://simplisafe.com/lex – Indeed: https://indeed.com/lex to get $75 credit EPISODE LINKS: Chamath’s Twitter: https://twitter.com/chamath Chamath’s LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/in/chamath Chamath’s Substack: https://chamathreads.substack.com Social Capital (website): https://socialcapital.com All-In Podcast (podcast): https://youtube.com/channel/UCESLZhusAkFfsNsApnjF_Cg PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: – Check out the sponsors above, it’s the best way to support this podcast – Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman – Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman – Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman – LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman – Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman – Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here’s the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) – Introduction (07:55) – Childhood and forgiveness (21:39) – Money and happiness (28:29) – Poker (31:57) – Mistakes (42:47) – Early jobs (44:25) – Facebook (1:02:11) – Energy (1:09:51) – Cloud computation (1:14:06) – Fixing social media (1:23:58) – Trump’s Twitter ban (1:29:03) – Kanye West (1:40:15) – All-In Podcast (1:49:31) – Nuclear war (2:01:07) – Startups (2:09:38) – Work-life balance (2:20:47) – Teamwork (2:32:08) – Energy transition (2:42:41) – Silicon Valley culture (2:46:00) – Activism culture (2:50:21) – Advice for young people (2:56:56) – Meaning of life

15 Marras 20223h 4min

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