SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas

SI363: The Misreading of Trend ft. Nick Baltas

As trend following begins to reassert itself, Niels and Nick Baltas dig beneath the surface of recent CTA performance - where the signals are working, why fixed income remains unresolved, and how speed is revealing deeper structural divides. But this episode goes beyond attribution. What if the industry has mistaken correlation shifts for changes in signal speed? What if the very idea of a “trend beta” is flawed? And what if compounding durable returns isn’t about chasing performance, but protecting against path? This is a conversation about design over style, clarity over convention, and the quiet decisions that shape real outcomes.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Nick on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:50 - Catching up

05:02 - Industry performance update

13:18 - How the speed of trend following strategies is changing

24:13 - Is there a way to define speed differently?

32:19 - Do we have the right definition of a trend index?

38:20 - Brainstorming ideas on how to improve trend following benchmarks

43:50 - The best car needs the best brakes

49:26 - Baltas framework for enhancing trend following performance

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the...

Jaksot(900)

GM89: When Credibility Becomes the Risk Premium ft. Maurice Obstfeld

GM89: When Credibility Becomes the Risk Premium ft. Maurice Obstfeld

Maurice Obstfeld joins Alan Dunne for a clear-eyed look at how the foundations of the global monetary system are shifting - and why much of the world is quietly preparing for a future without a stable...

15 Loka 20251h 1min

SI369: Liquidity, Leverage, and the End of Safety ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI369: Liquidity, Leverage, and the End of Safety ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Gold is ripping, but it’s not about inflation. It’s about trust - or the slow erosion of it. Mark Rzepczynski returns to map out the shifting terrain as central banks quietly step away from sovereign ...

11 Loka 20251h 16min

GM88: Cycles of Promise and Pain: Argentina’s Unfinished Lesson ft. Nicolas Dujovne

GM88: Cycles of Promise and Pain: Argentina’s Unfinished Lesson ft. Nicolas Dujovne

Argentina’s history is one of recurring promises and painful resets. Nicolas Dujovne has lived that cycle from the inside, serving as Finance Minister during a rare attempt at fiscal repair before mar...

8 Loka 202558min

SI368: Valuation Has Left the Room ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

SI368: Valuation Has Left the Room ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to chart a market running on more than just momentum. Beneath the surface: a structural liquidity engine, political incentives aligned with asset reflation, and a surge in ...

4 Loka 20251h 5min

IL42: Redefining Sovereignty in a Borderless Financial System ft. Zoe Liu

IL42: Redefining Sovereignty in a Borderless Financial System ft. Zoe Liu

China’s trade surplus with the US remains stubbornly large, but its appetite for Treasuries is fading. So where are the dollars going, and what does that say about the country’s evolving financial str...

1 Loka 20251h 3min

SI367: Portfolio Design in a Distorted World ft. Andrew Beer

SI367: Portfolio Design in a Distorted World ft. Andrew Beer

Equities are up more than 50% since the April lows, yet the world feels anything but stable. In this episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Andrew Beer examine the widening disconnect between market behav...

27 Syys 20251h 7min

UGO06: Democratizing the Asymmetric Trade ft. Vlad Tenev

UGO06: Democratizing the Asymmetric Trade ft. Vlad Tenev

Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood joins Cem Karsan at the Hood Summit in Las Vegas, for a timely conversation about the shifting edge in markets. From memories of hyperinflation in Bulgaria to unlocking t...

24 Syys 202541min

SI366: The Strategy Didn’t Fail. The Investors Did. ft. Rob Carver

SI366: The Strategy Didn’t Fail. The Investors Did. ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver is back from summer break for a conversation that moves between past and present through the lens of lived experience. Starting with the anniversary of Lehman’s collapse, Rob and Niels unpa...

20 Syys 20251h 2min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rahapuhetta
rss-rahamania
rss-h-asselmoilanen
pomojen-suusta
taloudellinen-mielenrauha
rss-markkinointitrippi
rss-seuraava-potilas
oppimisen-psykologia
sijoituspodi
rss-porssipuhetta
rss-lahtijat
rss-laakispodi
rss-sisalto-kuntoon