America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Jaksot(1935)

With the grain, assault: Ukraine’s iffy deal

With the grain, assault: Ukraine’s iffy deal

Missile strikes on the port of Odessa have dimmed hopes for a UN-brokered deal to get Ukraine’s grain on the move. We ask what chances it may still have. Tunisia's constitutional referendum looks dest...

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Duty unbound: the January 6th hearings

Duty unbound: the January 6th hearings

Last night, the committee investigating the events of January 6th 2021 said that Donald Trump’s failure to stop his supporters’ attack was a “dereliction of duty”. The evidence was strong; whether it ...

22 Heinä 202226min

Knock-down, Draghi-out fight: Italy in turmoil

Knock-down, Draghi-out fight: Italy in turmoil

For the second time in a week, Prime Minister Mario Draghi has tendered his resignation as his motley coalition government splintered further. The upheaval could not come at a worse time for the count...

21 Heinä 202222min

Variable-fate mortgage: China’s protests

Variable-fate mortgage: China’s protests

Property developers are going belly-up, home-buyers are not paying mortgages, protests after a banking scandal have been quashed. We ask about the instability still to come. Ukraine’s new HIMARS rocke...

20 Heinä 202223min

To a greater degree: widespread heatwaves

To a greater degree: widespread heatwaves

Vast stretches of the temperate world are baking or burning, and as climate change marches on widespread heatwaves will only grow more intense and more common. After a half-century of insurgency, some...

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Steal girders: Brazil’s fraught coming election

Steal girders: Brazil’s fraught coming election

President Jair Bolsonaro, an unabashed fan of Donald Trump, is telegraphing that he may not accept a loss in the October election—there is too much at stake for him and his family. The West has a deli...

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Jeddah mind trick: Joe Biden in Saudi Arabia

Jeddah mind trick: Joe Biden in Saudi Arabia

Joe Biden lands in Saudi Arabia this morning, having spent two unremarkable days in Israel and the West Bank. As president, he has been unusually disengaged from the Middle East, and will probably ret...

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A bird out of hand: Elon Musk and Twitter

A bird out of hand: Elon Musk and Twitter

Elon Musk wants out of his deal to buy Twitter for $44bn. Twitter wants the Delaware chancery court to hold him to the deal. But the company faces an uncertain future, whoever owns it. Why the pandemi...

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