America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Jaksot(1930)

No day in court: Jacob Zuma’s jail sentence

No day in court: Jacob Zuma’s jail sentence

South Africa’s embattled former leader will be imprisoned for failing to show up to trial—a sign that, for all the rot in South Africa, its Constitutional Court still has teeth. Our environment editor...

30 Kesä 202120min

Bear necessities: learning to handle Russia

Bear necessities: learning to handle Russia

As both summitry and military near-misses proliferate, some want measured dialogue while others want markedly tougher talk. Our defence and Russia editors discuss world leaders’ diverging views on han...

29 Kesä 202121min

Third time’s the harm: Africa’s crippling covid-19 wave

Third time’s the harm: Africa’s crippling covid-19 wave

Hopes that the continent had escaped the worst of the pandemic have proved too hasty; our correspondent describes a slow-rolling tragedy with little hope of respite. Reading scores in America are shoc...

28 Kesä 202120min

Iraq to its foundations: a chance to remake the state

Iraq to its foundations: a chance to remake the state

With elections looming, there is an opportunity to remake a state ravaged by war and riven by power struggles. We ask how to take Iraq out of a hard place. Fires are raging again in the American West;...

25 Kesä 202121min

Bench marks: weighing recent SCOTUS rulings

Bench marks: weighing recent SCOTUS rulings

The court’s term is not quite over, with contentious rulings still pending. We examine the latest decisions to gauge how its new conservative justices have affected its ideological bent. As a former M...

24 Kesä 202122min

Hunger strikes: North Korea’s food shortages

Hunger strikes: North Korea’s food shortages

An admission that the country’s food situation is “tense” is a rare glimpse into the compounding effects of pandemic policies and crop failures. Adherents of wild conspiracy theories in America tend t...

23 Kesä 202119min

Drop it when it’s hot: the Fed’s consequential hint

Drop it when it’s hot: the Fed’s consequential hint

The merest mention of future interest-rate rises from America’s central bank sent markets into a tizzy. We consider the merits and the effects of signalling early and often. Europe’s drug use dipped w...

22 Kesä 202122min

A vote with no confidence: Ethiopia’s untimely election

A vote with no confidence: Ethiopia’s untimely election

The northern region of Tigray, consumed by war and facing famine, will not vote today. It is all a far cry from what Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed once promised. Italy has piles of cash and a new ministry...

21 Kesä 202121min

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