America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Jaksot(1930)

Fission expedition: nuclear-site attack in Iran

Fission expedition: nuclear-site attack in Iran

An apparent act of sabotage at an Iranian nuclear site, blamed on Israel, has complicated the prospect of America returning to the 2015 nuclear deal; we ask what happens next. Many of Europe’s public-...

13 Huhti 202121min

Plagued by uncertainty: German politics

Plagued by uncertainty: German politics

As the country wrestles with another covid-19 wave, the battle to succeed Chancellor Angela Merkel is building. We look at the political and epidemiological races. Prince Philip was a loyal consort to...

12 Huhti 202121min

Like a tonne of bricks: violence in Northern Ireland

Like a tonne of bricks: violence in Northern Ireland

The ostensible reason for continuing clashes relates to a well-attended funeral. But the terms of Brexit have raised tempers, inflaming centuries-old tensions; we ask what might calm them. Alexei Nava...

9 Huhti 202122min

Clotting factors: the AstraZeneca vaccine

Clotting factors: the AstraZeneca vaccine

British and European regulators have addressed a possible link with blood clots. Expect more rare side-effects to emerge; what seems clear for now is that the vaccine’s benefits outweigh any risks. A ...

8 Huhti 202122min

Deaths spiral: America’s spike in murders

Deaths spiral: America’s spike in murders

Estimates suggest that last year’s rise in murder rates was the greatest in perhaps half a century, reversing a long decline; we ask what is behind it. Amid Europe’s woefully slow vaccine rollouts, Se...

7 Huhti 202119min

Crown and thorn: Jordan’s royal ruckus

Crown and thorn: Jordan’s royal ruckus

Pressure on the king’s half-brother may represent a mere family feud, but Prince Hamzah’s complaints resonate with the country’s people. We ask what will happen next. Study the fast-growing list of In...

6 Huhti 202121min

He said, Xi said: America-China ructions

He said, Xi said: America-China ructions

The Biden administration’s early moves suggest no “reset” in relations; we recall a time when the game of ping-pong brought the countries back to the table. Although economics has transformed in the p...

5 Huhti 202123min

Battle acts: France beefs up its forces

Battle acts: France beefs up its forces

After years of peacekeeping and counter-insurgency campaigns, the country is getting tooled up and trained up for serious military conflict. The “baby bust” brought on by the pandemic has changed glob...

2 Huhti 202121min

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