Nate Silver on AI, Politics, and Power
ChinaTalk18 Syys 2025

Nate Silver on AI, Politics, and Power

Nate Silver writes Silver Bulletin and is the author of On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything, now in paperback with a new foreword. In today’s conversation, we discuss… Honesty, reputation, and paying the bills with writing, Impact scenarios for the AI future, including how AI could impact elections and political decision-making, The emerging synergy between prediction markets and journalism, and how Nate would build a team of professional Polymarket traders, How to build a legacy, and strategies for balancing long-form and short-form projects, Nate’s hypothetical plan to reform US institutions, and how that compares with real-world prospects for creating political change over the long term. Outro Music: 動物園釘子戶 (Zoo Gazer) - 大大大大大象 (YouTube Link) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Iran: No Save Point

Iran: No Save Point

Two weeks into the US-Iran war, CENTCOM has struck 6,000 targets, but Hormuz is closed, oil is at $100 a barrel, the regime hasn’t fallen, and 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium sit somewhere un...

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Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Kevin Xu of http://interconnected.blog/ and I did a liveshow on substack! We chat about why working in Chinese AI looks so much tougher than building in the West: less compute, lower upside, more po...

12 Maalis 50min

Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

Russell Kaplan, co-founder of Cognition — the company behind Devin — and previously at Scale AI and Tesla, joins the podcast to discuss what “software abundance” could mean for government. Our conver...

9 Maalis 56min

Second Breakfast: Iran and the DIB with Fmr SECAF Frank Kendall

Second Breakfast: Iran and the DIB with Fmr SECAF Frank Kendall

Frank Kendall served as the 26th Secretary of the Air Force from 2021 to 2025. Before that he was Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics under Obama. His new book, Lethal...

6 Maalis 1h 15min

Autonomous Weapons 101 + Anthropic v DoW

Autonomous Weapons 101 + Anthropic v DoW

Mike Horowitz, Penn Professor and Biden DoD official who wrote 3000.09, clears up some autonomous weapons misconceptions! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Emergency Pod: Iran + Anthropic

Emergency Pod: Iran + Anthropic

An all-star cast today with: Emmy Probasco, a fellow at Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET) and former Navy officer with deep expertise in autonomous weapons and military ...

2 Maalis 1h 19min

Second Breakfast: Anthropic, SecDefs being weird

Second Breakfast: Anthropic, SecDefs being weird

what a mess! Wario Amodei's slow jam vibe: https://suno.com/s/cf3KDdVQ5F0KCjow Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

27 Helmi 1h 23min

Lawrence Freedman on Strategy and Nuclear War

Lawrence Freedman on Strategy and Nuclear War

Lawrence Freedman is the dean of strategic studies. He’s written books about the Falklands War, nuclear strategy, political-military relations, Kennedy’s foreign policy, the revolution of military aff...

25 Helmi 1h 34min

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