SI366: The Strategy Didn’t Fail. The Investors Did. ft. Rob Carver

SI366: The Strategy Didn’t Fail. The Investors Did. ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver is back from summer break for a conversation that moves between past and present through the lens of lived experience. Starting with the anniversary of Lehman’s collapse, Rob and Niels unpack why strong performance often coexists with poor investor outcomes - and how timing, not strategy, remains the silent killer. They question the recent push into trend by asset management giants, weigh whether CTA underperformance marks a structural shift or a familiar cycle, and examine what the data can and can’t tell us when conviction fades. If there’s a theme this week, it’s simple: knowing what works is not the same as using it well.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rob on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

01:14 - What has been on our radar recently?

12:09 - Industry performance update

19:23 - Q1, John: What are your recommendations for adapting a continuous forecast-based position sizing for a cash-only portfolio?

23:15 - Q2, Absolute: Is short/long symmetry optimal for a strategy in which the price of the traded instruments is measured in units (fiat currencies) that are inflated (devalued)?

30:19 - Q3, Lin: Got any ideas for trading a crypto portfolio?

32:04 - Why investors are losing money on 42% gain ETFs

39:50 - The difference between percentage return and cash return

43:24 - Debunking the persistent score card

46:19 - How the world has changed for CTAs

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights...

Jaksot(900)

TTU150: Scarcity, Security, and the Shift to Soil ft. Artem Milinchuk

TTU150: Scarcity, Security, and the Shift to Soil ft. Artem Milinchuk

What happens when an overlooked asset becomes essential? Artem Milinchuk returns to share how farmland, long seen as niche... is quietly stepping into the center of long-term portfolios. He and Niels ...

23 Heinä 20251h 6min

SI357: Liquidity, Leverage, and the Lie of Calm ft. Cem Karsan

SI357: Liquidity, Leverage, and the Lie of Calm ft. Cem Karsan

As summer sets in, Cem Karsan joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to trace the contours of a market that feels calm but isn’t. What looks like low vol masks a crowded hedge fund ecosystem and a structural vol...

19 Heinä 20251h 29min

UGO04: CNBC Legend on the Price of Losing Price ft. Rick Santelli

UGO04: CNBC Legend on the Price of Losing Price ft. Rick Santelli

Rick Santelli joins Cem Karsan for a conversation that cuts through the noise. From the floor of the Cboe to the era of central bank primacy, Santelli reflects on how markets have been reshaped... not...

16 Heinä 202544min

SI356: The Anatomy of a CTA Recovery ft. Katy Kaminski

SI356: The Anatomy of a CTA Recovery ft. Katy Kaminski

Katy Kaminski returns to examine a moment in trend following that feels familiar... but isn’t. Drawing on new research, she and Niels explore how drawdowns resolve, why recovery is faster when markets...

12 Heinä 20251h 3min

ALO30: The Quiet Rewire of Portfolio Construction ft. Cian Walsh

ALO30: The Quiet Rewire of Portfolio Construction ft. Cian Walsh

Cian Walsh, Head of Hedge Funds and Private Debt at Formue, joins Alan Dunne to explore what it means to allocate capital when the macro regime, client expectations, and the structure of markets are ...

9 Heinä 20251h 4min

SI355: Drawdowns Don’t Lie, But They May Mislead ft. Alan Dunne

SI355: Drawdowns Don’t Lie, But They May Mislead ft. Alan Dunne

Markets have recovered fast - maybe too fast. Alan and Niels unpack what sits beneath the surface: a bond market brushing off record deficits, volatility draining from asset prices, and trend follower...

5 Heinä 202545min

OI17: The End of the Bull Market: What’s Next for Equities? ft. Asim Ghaffar

OI17: The End of the Bull Market: What’s Next for Equities? ft. Asim Ghaffar

In this episode, Moritz Seibert speaks with Asim Ghaffar, the founder and CIO of AG Capital, a Boston-based macro hedge fund. Asim explains why he believes insourcing rather than outsourcing the organ...

2 Heinä 20251h 9min

SI354: Everyone’s Different. Until They’re Not ft. Rob Carver

SI354: Everyone’s Different. Until They’re Not ft. Rob Carver

With markets drifting and conviction thinning, Rob Carver joins Niels to take stock of a moment that feels suspended... not quite crisis, not quite calm. They discuss why recent rule changes around ba...

28 Kesä 20251h 13min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rss-rahamania
rahapuhetta
rss-h-asselmoilanen
taloudellinen-mielenrauha
rss-markkinointitrippi
rss-seuraava-potilas
van-elamaa
pomojen-suusta
rss-porssipuhetta
rss-lahtijat
rss-laakispodi
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-inderes