Bill Nelson on How the Fed Fell Behind the Curve

Bill Nelson on How the Fed Fell Behind the Curve

Bill Nelson is the Chief Economist and an Executive Vice President at the Bank Policy Institute. Bill previously was a deputy director at the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board where his responsibilities included monetary policy analysis, discount window policy analysis, and financial institution supervision. He also worked closely with the BIS on the design of liquidity regulation. Bill joins David on Macro Musings to discuss the Fed's balance sheet, its reduction plans and how the Fed fell behind the curve. Specifically, David and Bill get into whether the Fed regretted its premature tightening period from 2015 to 2018, how the Fed's focus on the baseline outlook left it not resilient to alternative developments, how concerns over another taper tantrum impacted the Fed's decision-making, the Fed's handling of its FAIT framework, and much more.

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Transcript for the episode can be found here.

Bill's Bank Policy Institute profile: https://bpi.com/people/bill-nelson/

Bill's American Banker archive: https://www.americanbanker.com/author/william-nelson-ab3618

Related Links:

"Plane Crashes and Falling Behind the Curve" by Bill Nelson

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/plane-crashes-falling-behind-curve-bill-nelson/?trk=articles_directory

"Guest post: A former Fed insider explains the internal debate over QE3" by Bill Nelson

https://www.ft.com/content/254befb7-10f8-3f2c-a9a8-bc6226a6f1db

"The Potential Ineffectiveness of Policy at the Zero Bound" (Memo to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors) by Bill Nelson and Brian Sack

https://www.dropbox.com/s/fv21og7vpx1izml/BillNelsonMemo.pdf?dl=0

"Interpreting the Significance of the Lagged Interest Rate in Estimated Monetary Policy Rules" by William B. English, William R. Nelson, and Brian P. Sack

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=314425

David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/

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02 - John Taylor on the Taylor Rule, the 2008 Crisis, and Fed Reform

02 - John Taylor on the Taylor Rule, the 2008 Crisis, and Fed Reform

John Taylor of Stanford University and the Hoover Institution joins host David Beckworth to discuss Taylor's famous monetary rule for central banks in setting interest rates in response to changes in inflation and output. They discuss how Taylor discovered the rule and how it has performed over time. Taylor also shares his thoughts for improving current Federal Reserve policy. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com John Taylor's blog: http://economicsone.com/ Links from today's conversation: http://web.stanford.edu/~johntayl/Papers/Discretion.PDF http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/yellen20120606a.htm http://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/research/docs/jmcb_lecture.pdf http://www.hoover.org/press-releases/hoover-press-getting-track-how-government-actions-and-interventions-caused-prolonged https://huizenga.house.gov/uploadedfiles/3189.fed.reform.section.by.section.pdf

18 Huhti 201656min

01 - Scott Sumner on *The Midas Paradox*, the Fed, and More

01 - Scott Sumner on *The Midas Paradox*, the Fed, and More

Welcome to Macro Musings, a new podcast exploring the important macroeconomic issues of the past, present, and future. In the inaugural episode, Scott Sumner joins host David Beckworth to talk about Scott's new book *The Midas Paradox*, which advances a bold new explanation of what caused the Great Depression. They also discuss Scott's path into macro and monetary economics as well as what the Fed got wrong in 2008. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com Scott's blog: http://www.themoneyillusion.com/ Links from today's conversation: http://www.amazon.com/The-Midas-Paradox-Government-Depression/dp/1598131508 http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/opinion/subprime-reasoning-on-housing.html?_r=0

31 Maalis 201655min

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