SI368: Valuation Has Left the Room ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

SI368: Valuation Has Left the Room ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to chart a market running on more than just momentum. Beneath the surface: a structural liquidity engine, political incentives aligned with asset reflation, and a surge in non-correlated flows reshaping risk itself. As institutions scramble to catch up and volatility begins to rise with price, Cem draws on lessons from the late 90s to explain why the real story is not about valuation - but positioning. From AI’s misunderstood impact to the growing role of options, gold, and crypto, this is a portrait of a regime defined not by fundamentals, but by reflex and constraint.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

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And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:23 - What has been on our radar recently?

02:00 - Industry performance update

03:07 - Are current valuations a sign of a bubble?

12:13 - The importance of reflexivity

18:59 - The move towards non correlation is upon us

22:55 - What is driving up asset prices?

26:34 - When will the supply/demand imbalance normalize?

31:56 - Reaching an uncontrollable situation

35:47 - What are markets showing us about options?

39:38 - Precious metals is the place to be

42:26 - Is AI actually the game changer that we all expect it to be?

52:07 - Will better technology = better performance?

56:03 - A timeline for possible risk dates

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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GM11: The Billionaires Protocol ft. Dr. Ben Hunt

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SI188: Trading with Style ft. Jerry Parker

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Jerry Parker joins us in today’s episode, to discuss pros and cons of adding different trading styles to your strategy and how to react when bad periods occur, using borrowed money as part of a system...

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ALO08: Investing like the Rothschild's ft. Hugo Capel Cure

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Today, Alan Dunne is joined by Hugo Capel Cure, Managing Director of Rothschild & Co, to discuss how they build strong portfolios for their clients, how rising inflation can affect the markets in a su...

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SI187: Why Commodities & Why Now ft. Tim Pickering

SI187: Why Commodities & Why Now ft. Tim Pickering

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ALO07: CIOs on the Edge of Finance ft. Katherine Molnar & Andrew Spellar

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In today’s episode, Alan Dunne is joined by Katherine Molnar, CIO of Fairfax County Police Officers Retirement System, and Andrew Spellar, CIO of Fairfax County Employees Retirement System, to discuss...

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SI186: Crisis Alpha & My Trend Following Thesis ft. Richard Brennan

SI186: Crisis Alpha & My Trend Following Thesis ft. Richard Brennan

Today, Rich and I discuss the Q1 Trend Following performance and how it turned out to be one of the best calendar quarters for the SG Trend and SG CTA indices. We also dive into my own "thesis" about ...

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ALO06: Betting against Buffett ft. Ted Seides

ALO06: Betting against Buffett ft. Ted Seides

Today, Alan Dunne is joined by Ted Seides, host and creator of the Capital Allocators podcast, to discuss the investment approach and philosophy of David Swensen, the Yale Model and how Seides has use...

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SI185: Trend Following in a De-Globalised World

SI185: Trend Following in a De-Globalised World

Mark Rzepczynski joins me in this week’s episode, to discuss strategies for rebalancing your portfolio, the coming de-globalisation and its impact on Trend Following, especially in light of events in ...

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