Big Take: Taylor Swift Wedding Predictions Are the Hottest New Trade
Gamblers on prediction sites like Polymarket and Kalshi are already trying to cash in on Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s engagement — betting on everything from their wedding timeline to her next sing...
31 Elo 202515min
Emi Nakamura on Central Bank Credibility and the Taylor Rule
The post-Covid inflation will prove to be a treasure trove for academic economists, as they study what drives inflation, and the power that central banks have to contain it once it gets going. At this...
29 Elo 202536min
Liz Truss on the 'Doom Loop' Engulfing the UK Economy
These days, everyone is talking about high interest rates across the rich, developed world, while warning of eventual fiscal disaster. But we may have gotten an early glimpse of this anxiety in Octobe...
28 Elo 202558min
Lev Menand on Trump's Attempt to Fire the Fed's Lisa Cook
Criticism and threats to Federal Reserve independence have been building for some time in this administration. But it was taken to a new height on August 25, when Trump posted that he intended to fire...
26 Elo 202528min
Adam Posen on a Surreal Jackson Hole in a Post-American World
The annual Jackson Hole symposium is, formally speaking, an academic conference. Economists and central bankers gather to discuss the most important, cutting edge ideas in monetary policy. But there w...
26 Elo 202557min
Tom Barkin on Why Central Banking Is on Hard Mode Now
According to Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Tom Barkin, much of the time central banking is straightforward. Sometimes it's clear that rate cuts are needed. Sometimes it's clear that rate hik...
25 Elo 202528min
Why Austan Goolsbee Is Still Concerned About Inflation
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee is still more concerned about the inflation side of the Fed's mandate than he is about the employment side. This is noteworthy because in general markets are expe...
23 Elo 202534min
Lots More on What Just Happened With the Fed at Jackson Hole
We're still at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, where we just heard Fed Chair Jerome Powell's big speech. The speech -- which opened the door to a Sept...
22 Elo 202518min
