PLA Purges and How Xi Rules with Jon Czin
ChinaTalk22 Loka 2025

PLA Purges and How Xi Rules with Jon Czin

Jon Czin spent years as a top China analyst at the CIA, served as China Director on Biden’s National Security Council, and now works at the Brookings Institution. We discuss what Xi’s fourth-term means for China’s top leadership and military, Taiwan, and the US. We cover: How Xi’s mafioso-style “decapitation strategy” has kept the PLA in line and why he’s purged more generals than Mao. Cognitive decline and how end-of-life thinking might be shaping Xi’s succession plans and Taiwan strategy. Tariffs, rare earths, and China’s appetite for pain vs. America’s. Beijing’s parochialism and its limits in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict. What intelligence work on China actually looks like and whether or not Xi’s era is duller than previous generations. Plus: who might succeed Xi, comparing the Politburo Standing Committee to a frat house, and why chips and TSMC matter much less in Xi’s Taiwan calculus than most think. Outtro Music: Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Second Breakfast:  Gaza, SOUTHCOM, AI Nuke Analogies Stink,  Generals Using AI (with M. Horowitz and L. Kahn!)

Second Breakfast: Gaza, SOUTHCOM, AI Nuke Analogies Stink, Generals Using AI (with M. Horowitz and L. Kahn!)

Guests today include Michael Horowitz (Penn now, in the Biden years was DAS for Force Development and Emerging Capabilities + Director of the Emerging Capabilities Policy Office) and Lauren Kahn (work...

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Tarun Chhabra on the Stakes of AI Competition

Tarun Chhabra on the Stakes of AI Competition

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15 Loka 20251h 7min

Anduril's Christian Brose on the Dangers of Unseriousness

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Chrisian Brose is the Chief Strategy Officer at Anduril Industries. He’s been at the forefront of the debate about how America needs to change in order to win a future war against a high-tech adversar...

13 Loka 20251h 29min

EMERGENCY POD: China's Rare Earth Export Controls

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Chris Miller (chip wars), Chris McGuire (10 year State Dpt vet, check out the past episode on the feed) and I discuss a big move by MOFCOM to squeeze Trump in advance of their APEC summit. Outtro ...

9 Loka 202557min

AI Hardware Net Assessment: Why Huawei Can't Beat Nvidia

AI Hardware Net Assessment: Why Huawei Can't Beat Nvidia

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8 Loka 20251h 28min

Second Breakfast: Putin's Drones, SecWar Patton, Wargaming, Finding Subs

Second Breakfast: Putin's Drones, SecWar Patton, Wargaming, Finding Subs

Bryan Clark, a former submariner now with the Hudson Institute, joins the show! Outtro speech: George C. Scott's rendition of Patton's speech Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adch...

6 Loka 20251h 1min

RAND's Jeff Alstott on How Facts Can Shape Tech Policymaking

RAND's Jeff Alstott on How Facts Can Shape Tech Policymaking

At long last, Jeff Alstott, the fairy godfather of DC AI policy, joins the show. He’s the founding director for RAND’s center for technology and security policy, TASP, worked at NSC, NSF and IARPA, an...

3 Loka 20251h 7min

Transistor Radio: Intel, Dylan Falls in Love, Nvidia Captures Dylan, Slop City (our dumbest show yet)

Transistor Radio: Intel, Dylan Falls in Love, Nvidia Captures Dylan, Slop City (our dumbest show yet)

for better or worse, the first ep on chinatalk feed I had to put an explicit tag on... Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

1 Loka 202551min

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