Iowa Polls and Prognosturbaturs Specious Speculations
Firing Lane3 Marras 2024

Iowa Polls and Prognosturbaturs Specious Speculations

In this episode Croaky dives into the recent Des Moines Register poll showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in Iowa, a surprising shift from Trump’s previous 18-point lead over Biden in June. We unpack the implications of this poll, breaking down its methodology, potential motivations behind the sample, and the symbolic appeal Harris might hold for some voters. While some claim this poll is an outlier or influenced, Croaky explains why Selzer & Co.’s reputation suggests otherwise, highlighting that it captures a momentary trend rather than a guaranteed outcome. This episode explores why we should approach polling data critically, especially close to Election Day, and reminds us that, at best, these forecasts offer educated guesses as a matter of sentiment in an unpredictable election landscape.

Jaksot(238)

Historical Revisionism:Attacks on the Pro-Life Movement

Historical Revisionism:Attacks on the Pro-Life Movement

in this episode of Firing Lane, Croaky debunk the myth that Donald Trump single-handedly overturned Roe v. Wade highlighting the decades, long effort of the pro-life movement that truly made the Dobbs...

30 Elo 202424min

Making A Statesman: Why We Need More Like Ron DeSantis

Making A Statesman: Why We Need More Like Ron DeSantis

In this episode of Firing Lane, Croaky delves into the concept of statesmanship, exploring what it truly means to be a statesman in today’s political landscape. Drawing on historical examples and the ...

29 Elo 20241h 54min

The Unlikely Return of Trump and The Republican Party’s Uncertain Future

The Unlikely Return of Trump and The Republican Party’s Uncertain Future

This episode theorizes what would happen if Trump happens to tweak out a victory in November. I discuss the concerns and likely negative affect it would have on conservatism. Though it would likely be...

28 Elo 20249min

The Cure We Deserve: Why Trump’s Exit Could Save Conservatism

The Cure We Deserve: Why Trump’s Exit Could Save Conservatism

I sometimes give the analogy that Trump is a cancer on the Republican Party. Here, I explain why and how we can make it through this difficult time.

28 Elo 20248min

The Fatal Folley of Attacking Kamala Harris From the Left

The Fatal Folley of Attacking Kamala Harris From the Left

With the news of Trump bringing Democrats into his campaign and potential administration, it begs the question, who is further left. At least on the issue of crime, it seems Trump may be committing po...

28 Elo 202412min

Populism's Paradox: When Trump Went Left

Populism's Paradox: When Trump Went Left

A recorded space discussing with people the current state of politics in the USA from 8/26/24. It drops out around the 20 min mark and restarts.

27 Elo 20241h 9min

Minority Report: Conservatisms Enduring Power in an Unpopular World

Minority Report: Conservatisms Enduring Power in an Unpopular World

In this Space to Episode: Croaky explains the concept of conservatism being a "minority" movement that appeals to populists, but in fact only we few, we happy few maintain it for subsequent generation...

27 Elo 20243h 4min

Who Cares? Croaky Does. Defending Conservatism with the Remnant

Who Cares? Croaky Does. Defending Conservatism with the Remnant

Article from 8/23/24. The Remnant

24 Elo 202410min

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