SI372: QIS Unboxed: Rules, Wrappers, and Reality ft. Nick Baltas

SI372: QIS Unboxed: Rules, Wrappers, and Reality ft. Nick Baltas

As equity markets grind higher and trend strategies navigate sharp reversals, Moritz Siebert welcomes Nick Baltas of Goldman Sachs for a conversation that moves beyond performance to examine structure. Together they unpack the machinery of the $1.3 trillion QIS industry - from index design and client behavior to the subtle forces shaping capacity and crowding. They discuss how trading speed has become a key axis of dispersion, why volatility remains the hidden cost in systematic portfolios, and what resilience in markets might really be masking. This is not just about strategy. It’s about how products scale, and how ideas hold.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:23 - Moritz opens the show and introduces Nick

01:16 - Nick’s quick life update and setting the tone

02:45 - Market resilience vs. fragility in 2025

04:18 - Performance rundown: CTAs, trend, equities, bonds

06:10 - October reversals: metals and livestock giveback

07:32 - What’s working: equities, gold, copper; sugar shorts

08:58 - Trend speed, April V-shape, and dispersion

10:40 - Position exits, re-entries, and neutral zones

11:55 - How QIS differs and why it’s opaque from the outside

14:40 - How big is QIS? Asset class split and caveats

18:05 - Who uses QIS: from asset owners to hedge

Jaksot(900)

GM72: China's Market Rebound: From Chaos to Opportunity ft. Louis-Vincent Gave

GM72: China's Market Rebound: From Chaos to Opportunity ft. Louis-Vincent Gave

Alan Dunne welcomes back Louis-Vincent Gave of Gavekal in this episode to delve into the Chinese economic outlook and discuss the broader macro trends. Louis shares his thoughts on whether the Chinese...

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SI317: From Hurricanes to Hedge Strategies: The Hidden Common Factors ft. Richard Brennan

SI317: From Hurricanes to Hedge Strategies: The Hidden Common Factors ft. Richard Brennan

This episode dives deep into the intricacies of trend following strategies and their connection to complex adaptive systems. Richard Brennan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen explore how these systems respond...

12 Loka 20241h 8min

IL31: What Your Cashless Future Will Look Like ft. Richard Holden

IL31: What Your Cashless Future Will Look Like ft. Richard Holden

Our guest on this episode is Richard Holden, economics professor at the University of New South Wales Sydney author of a new book: Money in the 21st Century: Cheap, Mobile and Digital. Richard explain...

9 Loka 202458min

SI316: Solving the "How Much" Trend Following Question ft. Nick Baltas

SI316: Solving the "How Much" Trend Following Question ft. Nick Baltas

Today we tackle the most important questions arising from the evolving landscape of systematic investing, focusing on the changing dynamics of asset allocation in the current market environment. Nick ...

5 Loka 20241h 7min

ALO26: Managing a C$600 Billion State Pension Fund ft. Amy Flikerski

ALO26: Managing a C$600 Billion State Pension Fund ft. Amy Flikerski

Amy Flikerski, Head of External Portfolio Management at CPP Investments - the C$600bn Canadian state pension fund - joins Alan Dunne in this episode to discuss allocating capital to emerging and estab...

2 Loka 20241h 3min

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

SI315: Preparing for a Pivotal Time in Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

In this week’s episode, Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to discuss the interplay between market flows and global macro developments as we enter a pivotal time of year for markets. They explore the potenti...

28 Syys 20241h 4min

GM71: The Carry Risk Lurking in Your Portfolio ft. Kevin Coldiron

GM71: The Carry Risk Lurking in Your Portfolio ft. Kevin Coldiron

In this episode, I’m joined by Alan Dunne and Kevin Coldiron, a co-author of "The Rise of Carry", for an in-depth discussion on the recent unwinding of the Yen carry trade and a broader exploration of...

25 Syys 20241h 5min

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI314: Algo Anxiety... Can AI Resolve This? ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Together with Mark Rzepczynski we dive deep into the outlook for trend following and discuss what may drive trends in the coming years. We analyze the role that the Fed plays in the rise of carry trad...

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