CCP Bureaucracies in War
ChinaTalk2 Marras 2025

CCP Bureaucracies in War

Why do leaders with vast expert bureaucracies at their fingertips make devastating foreign policy decisions? Tyler Jost, professor at Brown, joins ChinaTalk to discuss his first book, Bureaucracies at War, a fascinating analysis of miscalculation in international conflicts. As we travel from Mao’s role in border conflicts, to Deng’s blunder in Vietnam, to LBJ’s own Vietnam error, a tragic pattern emerges — leaders gradually isolating themselves from their own information gathering systems with catastrophic consequences. Today our conversation covers… How Mao’s early success undermined his long-term decision-making, The role of succession pressures in both Deng’s and LBJ’s actions in Vietnam, The bureaucratic mechanisms that lead to echo chambers, and how China’s siloed institutions affect Xi’s governance, The lingering question of succession in China, What we can learn from the institutional failures behind Vietnam and Iraq. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jaksot(517)

Second Breakfast: We Negotiate with Bombs, War by Brainrot

Second Breakfast: We Negotiate with Bombs, War by Brainrot

Full house with Bryan, Eric, Tony and Justin. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

25 Maalis 53min

Overfit is now ModelTalk! GPU Smuggling,  OpenAI Cooked? + Open Models, AI Writing

Overfit is now ModelTalk! GPU Smuggling, OpenAI Cooked? + Open Models, AI Writing

Nathan Lambert of https://www.interconnects.ai/ and Jasmine Sun of https://jasmi.news/ catch up. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

23 Maalis 41min

Second Breakfast: Taking Kharg Island, Terrorism, Grift

Second Breakfast: Taking Kharg Island, Terrorism, Grift

The administration is reportedly considering seizing Kharg Island, and the global economy is beginning to buckle under the pressure of disrupted energy flows. Eric Robinson is a lawyer now who worked...

20 Maalis 1h 18min

The Toymaker vs. the Tariffs

The Toymaker vs. the Tariffs

A century-old toy company has taken down Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs with a self-funded lawsuit. But how? Today’s guest is Rick Woldenberg, CEO of Learning Resources, creator of Spike the Fine Mot...

19 Maalis 33min

WarTalk: AI, Nukes, Iran and Autonomous War

WarTalk: AI, Nukes, Iran and Autonomous War

WarTalk launches! We chat with Pranay Vaddi (MIT, Sandia, formerly Biden NSC) and Chris McGuire (State, NSC, now CFR) about AI, nuclear command and control, deterrence, and how new military technologi...

16 Maalis 1h 59min

Iran: No Save Point

Iran: No Save Point

Two weeks into the US-Iran war, CENTCOM has struck 6,000 targets, but Hormuz is closed, oil is at $100 a barrel, the regime hasn’t fallen, and 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium sit somewhere un...

13 Maalis 1h 9min

Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Why it Sucks to Work in AI in China + Open Source with Kevin Xu

Kevin Xu of http://interconnected.blog/ and I did a liveshow on substack! We chat about why working in Chinese AI looks so much tougher than building in the West: less compute, lower upside, more po...

12 Maalis 50min

Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

Software Abundance for Government With Cognition's Russell Kaplan

Russell Kaplan, co-founder of Cognition — the company behind Devin — and previously at Scale AI and Tesla, joins the podcast to discuss what “software abundance” could mean for government. Our conver...

9 Maalis 56min

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