SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

SI373: Why Trend Thrives When Inflation Returns ft. Yoav Git

What if markets move not by logic, but by pressure? In this conversation, Alan Dunne and Yoav Git trace the invisible currents behind price formation, namely how a single dollar of inflow can lift valuations fivefold, and why that distortion challenges everything the efficient market promised. From the slow mechanics of supply and demand to the moral hazards of policy and liquidity, the discussion follows money as it reshapes narrative. They revisit research that foresaw inflation’s return, and question why QIS indices so often fade in practice. Beneath it all lies a quiet question: what truly drives the modern market?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00:23 – Opening and agenda for the discussion

00:01:05 – Math education in the UK and XTX’s push to fund young talent

00:03:39 – Market performance recap for early November

00:04:49 – Reflections on volatility and fixed income trading conditions

00:05:13 – Introduction to the “Inelastic Markets Hypothesis”

00:05:53 – Supply, demand, and elasticity explained in market terms

00:10:30 – Instrumental variables and how economists measure elasticity

00:14:51 – The debate: if markets clear, how can flows move prices?

00:15:44 – Why equities are more inelastic than bonds

00:21:04 – Questioning the 5x effect and how...

Jaksot(900)

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

GM86: Everyone’s Watching the Fed. The Real Story’s Somewhere Else. ft. Louis Vincent-Gave

Louis-Vincent Gave returns with a blunt assessment of a global order fraying at key seams. Construction is stalling. Trade policy is adrift. Capital is retreating from the U.S. And yet, markets hum al...

20 Elo 202559min

SI361: The Four Faces of Trend Following ft. Richard Brennan

SI361: The Four Faces of Trend Following ft. Richard Brennan

Richard Brennan joins Niels for a conversation that redefines how trend following is understood. Behind the shared language lie four distinct archetypes - each built around a different purpose. Richar...

15 Elo 20251h 26min

UGO05: Volatility’s Blueprint: How Markets Really Move ft. Mandy Xu & Ed Tom

UGO05: Volatility’s Blueprint: How Markets Really Move ft. Mandy Xu & Ed Tom

From the first futures in 1848 to today’s zero-day options, Cem Karsan, Mandy Xu, and Ed Tom chart how derivatives have moved from the market’s periphery to its center of gravity. At the core is Cboe’...

13 Elo 202555min

SI360: The Fed, the Fiction, and the Fight for Control ft. Alan Dunne

SI360: The Fed, the Fiction, and the Fight for Control ft. Alan Dunne

When official data starts serving politics, markets lose their anchor. Alan Dunne and Niels examine the quiet shift unfolding as the U.S. edges closer to emerging market behavior - firing statistician...

9 Elo 20251h 5min

IL40: Why the Economy Feels Broken... Even When It’s Growing ft. Diane Coyle

IL40: Why the Economy Feels Broken... Even When It’s Growing ft. Diane Coyle

What if our most trusted economic statistic is pointing us in the wrong direction? Diane Coyle joins Kevin Coldiron to explore why GDP - long treated as a proxy for progress - now obscures more than i...

6 Elo 202556min

SI359: Trend Following in a World That Loves Bubbles ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI359: Trend Following in a World That Loves Bubbles ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Mark Rzepczynski joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation shaped by tension between surface calm and deeper dislocation. From copper’s sudden collapse to signs of stress in liquidity and leverag...

2 Elo 20251h 8min

GM85: What If the Real Risk Isn’t Recession — But Reinvention? ft. Steven Bell

GM85: What If the Real Risk Isn’t Recession — But Reinvention? ft. Steven Bell

Steven Bell has seen the macro machine from every angle - Treasury insider, hedge fund manager, and chief economist. In this wide-ranging conversation with Alan Dunne, he traces the quiet erosion of e...

30 Heinä 20251h 7min

SI358: Why the Best Trend Models Might Be the Simplest Ones ft. Tom Wrobel & Andrew Beer

SI358: Why the Best Trend Models Might Be the Simplest Ones ft. Tom Wrobel & Andrew Beer

Andrew Beer and Tom Wroble return to join Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a timely examination of how trend following is adapting, and why some say it may be losing its edge. Tom unpacks new research showin...

26 Heinä 20251h 13min

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