Australia's Economic Race: Capacity Constraints, Inflation Targets, and the Path Off the Rail | RBA Outlook

Australia's Economic Race: Capacity Constraints, Inflation Targets, and the Path Off the Rail | RBA Outlook

Delve into the Australian economic outlook with insights derived from the speech of Andrew Hauser, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). This episode explores the "unusual challenge" facing monetary policy, noting that the GDP recovery began with the highest level of capacity utilisation in over 40 years. We analyze the RBA's decision to maintain a restrictive policy stance until confidence is achieved that underlying inflation will settle sustainably at the 2–3 per cent target range.Learn about the three potential tracks the economy could take, framed by the Melbourne Cup metaphor:

1. Track A: Still ground to make up? (Policy easing may be necessary).

2. Track B: Boxed in on the rail? (Little scope for further policy easing due to capacity constraints).

3. Track C: Off to the races? (Escape through growing the economy’s supply capacity via productivity and investment).Understand why addressing weak growth in supply capacity and driving investment is crucial for Australia to avoid being "boxed in on the rail" and instead be "off to the races.

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Building Momentum: Australia’s Q1 Construction Surges in Housing and Renewables

Building Momentum: Australia’s Q1 Construction Surges in Housing and Renewables

In this episode, we unpack Westpac IQ’s latest report on Australia’s construction sector for Q1 2025. With overall activity holding steady and a 3.5% year-over-year growth, residential construction is...

28 Touko 202511min

Tariff Tensions: Trump's EU Threat and the Trade War Tightrope

Tariff Tensions: Trump's EU Threat and the Trade War Tightrope

In this episode, we dive into the rising tensions between the US and the European Union as former President Trump threatens a sweeping 50% tariff on EU goods. Drawing from ING Think’s latest economic ...

26 Touko 202513min

RBA Cuts & RBNZ Waits: Inflation, Budgets & Global Moves

RBA Cuts & RBNZ Waits: Inflation, Budgets & Global Moves

This week on *Westpac’s Australia & New Zealand Weekly*, we unpack the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut and what it signals about inflation and domestic demand. We also analyze New Zealand’...

26 Touko 202517min

Deindustrialization: Causes and Consequences

Deindustrialization: Causes and Consequences

In this episode, we unpack Paul Krugman’s take on deindustrialization in America. Challenging the popular blame placed on globalization and trade deficits, Krugman argues that the decline in manufactu...

24 Touko 20258min

Rates, Wages & the Gender Gap: Australia’s Economic Pulse

Rates, Wages & the Gender Gap: Australia’s Economic Pulse

This episode features highlights from *Dollars and Cents* by The Australia Institute, diving into recent economic developments in Australia. We explore the Reserve Bank's latest interest rate cut, dif...

23 Touko 202515min

Australian Wage Price Index Methodology

Australian Wage Price Index Methodology

In this episode, we take a closer look at the methodology behind the Australian Wage Price Index (WPI). Based on official guidance from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, we break down how wage data...

23 Touko 202520min

Cash Rate Down: How Global Tariffs Are Shaping Australia's Economy

Cash Rate Down: How Global Tariffs Are Shaping Australia's Economy

In this episode, we unpack the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 2025 monetary policy statement. With domestic activity tracking as expected and inflation gradually easing, the RBA has now turned its at...

22 Touko 202514min

Why Attention to Detail Matters in Economics? Career Conversations Series

Why Attention to Detail Matters in Economics? Career Conversations Series

In this episode, we spotlight the critical role of attention to detail in the world of economics. Through real-world examples and STAR method scenarios, we illustrate how meticulous data analysis, car...

21 Touko 20256min

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