Citi's Dirk Willer on How You Know When the Bubble Is Over
Odd Lots15 Marras 2025

Citi's Dirk Willer on How You Know When the Bubble Is Over

According to Dirk Willer, the Global Head of Macro Strategy at Citigroup, we are definitely in bubble territory. Per his research, the stock market has been in a bubble since May. Unlike many people, whose definitions of bubbles are a bit more vague or a bit more based on sentiment, Dirk's work focuses on precise timing and price indicators that distinguish bubbles from mere booms. Furthermore, he argues that when the bubble first forms, the correct move historically is to buy into it and then just accept that you'll never nail the top perfectly. On this episode, we talk about his overall approach as well as the signs of when the bubble has come to an end. We also talk about current parallels to the dotcom bubble, why gold has had such a monster year, and the signs from the Treasury market that make the US look increasingly like an emerging market.

Read more:
Stock Bounce Wanes on Fed Angst as Bitcoin Plunges: Markets Wrap
Gold ‘Trading Like a Meme Stock’ Sets Up Miners as Levered Bet

Only Bloomberg - Business News, Stock Markets, Finance, Breaking & World News subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jaksot(1185)

What the Iran War Means for Dubai's Luxury Boom

What the Iran War Means for Dubai's Luxury Boom

Dubai has become a huge destination for the rich, with an influx of high-net-worth residents driving up property prices and boosting the UAE's tax revenues in recent years. And of course, Gulf countri...

23 Maalis 55min

Introducing: Leaders with Francine Lacqua

Introducing: Leaders with Francine Lacqua

What makes a leader successful? Francine Lacqua interviews top CEOs and global industry leaders for candid lessons on leadership, management, and the future of work.See omnystudio.com/listener for pri...

22 Maalis 1min

Here's Why The Iran War Is Prompting A Safe Haven Rethink

Here's Why The Iran War Is Prompting A Safe Haven Rethink

Here's Why is Bloomberg’s short explainer podcast, where we take one big news story and break it down in just a few minutes with help from our experts across the newsroom. We're dropping into your fee...

21 Maalis 12min

Greg Brew on Surging Energy and the 'Strategic Trap' of the War in Iran

Greg Brew on Surging Energy and the 'Strategic Trap' of the War in Iran

The war in Iran has already lasted longer than many people might have expected. There was an initial assumption, after oil prices started surging, that President Trump could just declare victory at an...

20 Maalis 53min

How War in Iran Will Squeeze America's Farmers Even Further

How War in Iran Will Squeeze America's Farmers Even Further

America’s farmers can’t seem to catch a break. Years of thin margins and rising costs have already stretched them to the limit. And now, war with Iran is making things even harder. The conflict is dri...

19 Maalis 47min

War in Iran Is Redrawing the Map for Natural Gas

War in Iran Is Redrawing the Map for Natural Gas

Mostly, the world has been watching the price of oil skyrocket amid the war in Iran and the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz. But there's more than just oil that comes out of the region. Qatar...

18 Maalis 44min

War in Iran is Chewing Through American Missile Stockpiles

War in Iran is Chewing Through American Missile Stockpiles

The war in Iran has been fought almost entirely in the skies, with both offensive missiles, as well as anti-missile defense systems. But the math is brutal. The war in Ukraine has already put a dent i...

16 Maalis 44min

What War in Iran Means for China's Teapot Oil Refineries

What War in Iran Means for China's Teapot Oil Refineries

In the wake of the war in Iran, oil prices have shot up for everyone. But not all oil is exactly equal. And, obviously, a lot of Iranian oil goes to China specifically. Furthermore, because Iran’s oil...

13 Maalis 43min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
hyva-paha-johtaminen
rss-lahtijat
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
rss-startup-ministerio
herrasmieshakkerit
rahapuhetta
lakicast
rss-porssipuhetta
asuntoasiaa-paivakirjat
rss-set-for-life-sijoita-ja-vaurastu
rss-viisas-raha-podi
rss-vaikuttavan-opettajan-vierella