SI375: CTAs After the Walls Come Down ft. Rob Carver
Top Traders Unplugged22 Marras 2025

SI375: CTAs After the Walls Come Down ft. Rob Carver

Rob Carver returns for a conversation that quietly questions the foundations. Is trend following an edge - or just a reward for holding discomfort others can’t? From the role of skew in shaping outcomes to the blind spots in most robustness frameworks, Rob and Niels takes you through the mechanics with uncommon clarity. Listener questions open up the deeper layers: when volatility targeting helps, when it hurts, and why Sharpe Ratios can mislead. They end with a shift that may matter more than it seems: CalPERS moving to a Total Portfolio Approach. Not just a new framework - potentially a new lane for CTAs.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rob on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro and welcome to the Systematic Investor Series

00:23 - Catching up with Rob and a cold, sunny UK

01:35 - Is trend following an edge or a risk premium?

03:38 - Overcomplicating edges and the Cliff Asness perspective

04:30 - Renaissance’s bad month and how even legends struggle

09:25 - Managed futures ETFs, performance narratives, and media framing

11:22 - AI, Nvidia and what an “AI bubble” might mean for trends

13:10 - Trend barometer, current positioning and where returns come from

18:35 - George’s question: robustness testing, overfitting and multiple testing

25:45 - How often to re-fit models and when to leave parameters alone

27:44 - Frederik’s question: intraday versus end of day for medium term...

Jaksot(899)

IL44: From AI Hype to Transformative AGI ft. Aubrie Pagano

IL44: From AI Hype to Transformative AGI ft. Aubrie Pagano

In this Ideas Lab episode, Kevin Coldiron speaks with venture capitalist and former founder Aubrie Pagano about what stands between today’s AI hype and a truly transformative AGI economy. Rather than ...

31 Joulu 20251h 2min

SI380: Dispersion Is the Story This Year (Group Conversation Part 1)

SI380: Dispersion Is the Story This Year (Group Conversation Part 1)

Niels is joined by all 9 amazing co-hosts, to discuss a year that refused to behave. In part one of the annual "roundtable", Niels and the group map why 2025 produced such striking dispersion across t...

27 Joulu 20251h 12min

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

Moritz Siebert speaks with Doug King about what it really means to trade commodities through cycles, distortions, and stress. Drawing on decades at Cargill and more than twenty years running a commodi...

24 Joulu 202547min

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

20 Joulu 20251h 10min

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

In this conversation, the veneer of political continuity is stripped back to reveal a world drifting toward harder borders, sharper identities and a reshaping of power once thought unthinkable. Gary G...

17 Joulu 20251h 10min

SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it mea...

13 Joulu 20251h 2min

TTU151: What Comes After 60/40? Systematic Thinking, BlackRock Style ft. Jeff Rosenberg

TTU151: What Comes After 60/40? Systematic Thinking, BlackRock Style ft. Jeff Rosenberg

Niels and Alan sit down with BlackRock’s Jeff Rosenberg to examine how the post Covid shift from too little to too much inflation is reshaping portfolios. Jeff explains why bond and equity correlation...

10 Joulu 20251h 13min

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landsca...

6 Joulu 20251h 8min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rss-h-asselmoilanen
rahapuhetta
rss-rahamania
oppimisen-psykologia
pomojen-suusta
rss-lahtijat
rss-laakispodi
sijoituspodi
rss-porssipuhetta
rss-markkinointitrippi
rss-merja-mahkan-rahat
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-inderes