Risky Science Podcast

Risky Science Podcast

The Risky Science Podcast features conversations with scientists, insurers, investors, portfolio managers, and others about the evolving science of predicting and modeling risk across both natural and man-made perils.

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How Catastrophe Models Work and Where They Fall Short With Anil Vasagiri

How Catastrophe Models Work and Where They Fall Short With Anil Vasagiri

This episode is part of a series of live conversations recorded at Climate Tech Connect 2026 in Washington, D.C.Anil Vasagiri, Head of Risk Data Solutions at Swiss Re is a rare combination of technica...

22 Huhti 27min

Why Mixing Catastrophes With Prediction Markets Is More Dangerous Than It Looks With Jamie Pietruska

Why Mixing Catastrophes With Prediction Markets Is More Dangerous Than It Looks With Jamie Pietruska

The LA wildfires burned more than a hundred thousand acres. They destroyed thousands of homes. And while they were still burning, people were placing bets on them.Not insurers. Not reinsurers. Not cat...

15 Huhti 48min

AI, Models, and the Limits of Climate Assumptions with Sarah Kapnick

AI, Models, and the Limits of Climate Assumptions with Sarah Kapnick

We sit down with Dr. Sarah Kapnick at Climate Tech Connect in Washington, D.C. in a conversation covers the time-horizon problem at the heart of climate finance, what the PG&E bankruptcy revealed abou...

13 Huhti 27min

Can Models Still Work When Everything Changes at Once? With Christiane Baumeister

Can Models Still Work When Everything Changes at Once? With Christiane Baumeister

This week  I speak with Dr. Christiane Baumeister, a professor at the University of Notre Dame. Her research focuses on global oil market dynamics — disentangling the supply and demand forces that dri...

1 Huhti 52min

(Preview) China's Growing Risk Data Moat and the US Brain Drain With Hui Su

(Preview) China's Growing Risk Data Moat and the US Brain Drain With Hui Su

A conversation with Dr. Hui Su, a professor at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and one of the leading researchers working at the intersection of satellite data, artificial intellige...

25 Maalis 5min

Confidence as a Service With Eric Winsberg

Confidence as a Service With Eric Winsberg

We speak with  Eric Winsberg: a philosopher of science at Cambridge and the University of South Florida, who has thought hard about what happens when models move from the lab into the world and into p...

18 Maalis 1h

(Preview) The $232 Billion Storm No One Is Pricing With Moody's Chris Lafakis

(Preview) The $232 Billion Storm No One Is Pricing With Moody's Chris Lafakis

Chris Lafakis and his team did the first analysis to combine Moody's catastrophe modeling infrastructure with a full macroeconomic model. The results are eye opening.This is a preview of the Risky Sci...

11 Maalis 10min

How Hurricane Risk Really Gets Priced with Dr. Ben Collier

How Hurricane Risk Really Gets Priced with Dr. Ben Collier

Dr. Ben Collier, a professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, and his fellow researchers published a recent paper that uses twenty years of Florida data to trace a direct line from cat model re...

4 Maalis 55min

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