Graham Allison on the Risks of a US-China War
Odd Lots27 Nov 2025

Graham Allison on the Risks of a US-China War

The US and China are in a "Thucydides Trap," whereby the risk of war is heightened when an established power is threatened by a rapidly rising power. This is the framework that's been popularized by Graham Allison, the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at Harvard University. Professor Allison has been writing about China and the US-China relationship for decades. He's been focused on the growing odds of a violent conflict between the two powers. On this episode, he explains his work and the conditions that drive greater risk of armed conflict. He also tells us what both sides get wrong about each other, and what it will take to reduce the odds of military involvement.

More: Henry Wang on China's Role in the New Emerging World Order

Subscribe to the Odd Lots Newsletter
Join the conversation: discord.gg/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episoder(1184)

Ray Wang on How AI Is Causing DRAM Prices to Surge

Ray Wang on How AI Is Causing DRAM Prices to Surge

For years, DRAM -- or Dynamic Random Access Memory -- was kind of a sleepy, commoditized aspect of chip industry. Growth was steady, but modest, and prices just generally drifted lower. Suddenly all t...

16 Feb 45min

Why Adam Posen Thinks Inflation Will Surge Back to 4%

Why Adam Posen Thinks Inflation Will Surge Back to 4%

The future is always tough to predict, but generally when it comes to inflation, a lot of the debate is about how long it will take the Federal Reserve to get back to its 2% target. In other words, pe...

13 Feb 56min

New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets

New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets

We are rapidly entering a world in which there are odds on virtually everything. During the recent Super Bowl, the big prediction market platforms didn't just offer bets on the game itself, but also o...

12 Feb 49min

Ricardo Hausmann Explains How the Venezuelan Economy Collapsed

Ricardo Hausmann Explains How the Venezuelan Economy Collapsed

Ricardo Hausmann is a professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and the director of Harvard's Growth Lab. We've talked to him multiple times in the past about the necessary preconditions for economies t...

9 Feb 49min

Evolving Money: The Tokenization Tipping Point (Sponsored Content)

Evolving Money: The Tokenization Tipping Point (Sponsored Content)

In less than three years, the amount of tokenized real-world assets has grown eightfold, to more than $30 billion across equities, fixed income, private assets, real estate and more. And that’s just t...

8 Feb 22min

Lots More With Charlie McElligott on This Week's SaaSpocalypse

Lots More With Charlie McElligott on This Week's SaaSpocalypse

This week has been a pretty wild one in markets. Some of the most popular trades of recent years — like going long software, crypto, or gold — suddenly collapsed. Of course, there are plenty of things...

6 Feb 33min

How a Former Fed Vice-Chair Is thinking About the Next Fed Chair

How a Former Fed Vice-Chair Is thinking About the Next Fed Chair

The nomination of Kevin Warsh to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve obviously has big implications for markets. But it also comes with some interesting sociological questions too. What role does...

6 Feb 50min

This Is How The US Can Become a Player in Rare Earth Metals

This Is How The US Can Become a Player in Rare Earth Metals

China's dominance of the rare earths market is well known. This not only creates potential vulnerabilities for companies, should access to those rare earths ever get cut off, it also gives China signi...

5 Feb 41min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
e24-podden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
rss-markedspuls-2
lederpodden
pengesnakk
rss-pa-konto
liberal-halvtime
rss-fa-makro
rss-investering-gjort-enkelt
boligbobla