China’s Involution Trap | Michael Pettis on China's Excess Savings, Industrial Overcapacity, and Exporting of Deflation

China’s Involution Trap | Michael Pettis on China's Excess Savings, Industrial Overcapacity, and Exporting of Deflation

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: www.vaneck.com/REMXJack In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Michael Pettis, Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, to deconstruct the massive economic imbalances between China and the rest of the world. For decades, the global economy has relied on a specific mechanism: China suppresses domestic consumption to subsidize manufacturing, and the US runs massive deficits to absorb that excess supply. Pettis argues this model has reached its limit. They discuss the concept of "economic involution," why China’s shift from real estate bubbles to manufacturing bubbles is dangerous for Europe and the US, and why the current tariff regimes are merely shifting trade routes rather than solving the problem. If you want to understand why the trade deficit keeps growing despite political intervention, and what a "Great Rebalancing" actually looks like, this is a must-listen. Recorded on November 24, 2025. Trade Wars Are Class Wars book: https://www.amazon.com/Trade-Wars-Are-Class-International/dp/0300244177 Michael Pettis’ Work At Carnegie Endowment For International Peace: https://carnegieendowment.org/people/michael-pettis?lang=en Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Michael Pettis on Twitter https://x.com/michaelxpettis Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Episoder(248)

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-mat...

4 Mar 1h 1min

How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

1 Mar 1h 10min

“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

“A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

15 Feb 59min

The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Recorded in February 6th 2026, technical analyst Milton Berg returns to discuss his market outlook after correctly predictin...

10 Feb 2h 17min

Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

4 Feb 1h 6min

Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

3 Feb 1h 36min

Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End? | Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags

Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End? | Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-mat...

1 Feb 1h

Trump’s Hidden Mortgage Stimulus from Fannie & Freddie | Joseph Wang on GSEs, Kevin Warsh, Powell, and Dollar Hedging

Trump’s Hidden Mortgage Stimulus from Fannie & Freddie | Joseph Wang on GSEs, Kevin Warsh, Powell, and Dollar Hedging

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&utm_...

31 Jan 50min

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