Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

In science, we often hear about new discoveries or theories that could change our way of thinking. In the business world, a start-up might promise a revolution in a specific industry, if it can get the right investments. So, when is it worth believing or betting on one of these new theories, and when is it a waste of time? In this episode of All Else Equal, Jules and Jonathan discuss how we can all use the principle of Occam’s Razor (the idea that the simplest theory is often the correct one) in many different areas of our life.

Helping them explain the real world practice of this is John Ioannidis, a professor of Medicine and Epidemiology at Stanford University. John was the first academic to question the practices of Theranos, the company co-founded by Elizabeth Holmes that claimed it would change medicine with its new method of testing blood. He criticized the lack of peer reviewed research of the company’s methods, while at the same time investors were making it a billion dollar company. John tells Jules and Jonathan about this experience, as well as how Occam’s Razor comes into play with a lot of scientific research.


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Find All Else Equal on the web: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/business-podcasts/all-else-equal-making-better-decisions


All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions Podcast is a production of Stanford Graduate School of Business and is produced by University FM.

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Episoder(93)

Ep28 Incentives and Externalities

Ep28 Incentives and Externalities

Humans respond to incentives, and so incentives predict behavior and sometimes the behavior can be detrimental. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions, hosts and finance professors...

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Ep27 "The Future of AI" with Michal Kosinski

Ep27 "The Future of AI" with Michal Kosinski

The speed at which AI is getting smarter is on everybody's mind these days. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions, hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsber...

31 Mai 202330min

Ep26 “Investigating Implausible Theories: The Case of COVID” with Matt Ridley

Ep26 “Investigating Implausible Theories: The Case of COVID” with Matt Ridley

When COVID-19 shut down the world economy in 2020 many wondered where it had begun and why the pandemic had even started in the first place. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions,...

17 Mai 202329min

Ep25 “Bubble Trouble” with Will Goetzmann

Ep25 “Bubble Trouble” with Will Goetzmann

Financial bubbles are episodes where the value of something (like stocks, tulips or cryptocurrency) shoots up very rapidly, but then peaks and comes crashing down. The problem has never been seeing th...

3 Mai 202328min

Ep24 “When Institutions Cry Wolf” with Jay Bhattacharya

Ep24 “When Institutions Cry Wolf” with Jay Bhattacharya

It takes a long time to build up credibility, but you can lose it in an instant. What would it take to justify lying to the public for their own good, and are the benefits worth the costs? In this epi...

12 Apr 202332min

Ep23 “When Banking Fails” with Amit Seru

Ep23 “When Banking Fails” with Amit Seru

The FDIC and Federal Reserve have recently intervened to stop another banking crisis. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions, hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules v...

24 Mar 202333min

Ep22 “How Do You Know If Your Marketing Dollars Are Working?” with Florian Zettelmeyer

Ep22 “How Do You Know If Your Marketing Dollars Are Working?” with Florian Zettelmeyer

Note: if you are hearing the wrong audio try redownloading the episode or listen here.What reach does marketing really have? In the murky waters of cause and effect marketers have to figure out where ...

15 Mar 202326min

Ep21 "Disentangling Causation and Correlation" with Guido Imbens

Ep21 "Disentangling Causation and Correlation" with Guido Imbens

It can be tempting to think one thing causes another because they happen in succession, but there’s a lot to unwrap in the idea of causality. In this episode of All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions...

1 Mar 202328min

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