Ukraine Negotiations: Prospects and Pitfalls of Peace
Brussels Sprouts19 Des 2025

Ukraine Negotiations: Prospects and Pitfalls of Peace

This week Brussels Sprouts breaks down the latest negotiations on Ukraine. American officials told reporters that they had resolved or closed gaps around 90 percent of their differences with Ukraine on a draft agreement to end the war. Territory and security guarantees remain the key sticking points. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said it would be impossible for Ukraine to give up territory that Russia has not taken on the battlefield, while Russia has not dropped its demands to control the territories it illegally annexed. On the security guarantees front, the United States and Europe sound optimistic that progress is being made. The latest plan seems to envision an 800,000-strong peacetime Ukrainian military, U.S.-provided intelligence and monitoring to track any attempts to breach the peace agreement, and a European-led multinational force that would be stationed in Ukraine but away from the front lines to bolster confidence. However, it is highly unlikely that Russia will agree to this plan or any plan that leaves Ukraine with a strong and capable military. In the meantime, the European Union continues to wrangle over whether it will use the frozen assets to finance a €210 billion loan to keep Ukraine financially solvent. To help us assess where negotiations stand and where they might go, Brussels Sprouts welcomes Jana Kobzova and Jennifer Kavanagh to the podcast. Jennifer Kavanagh is a senior fellow and director of military analysis at Defense Priorities.

Jana Kobzova is a senior fellow and codirector of the European Security Program at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

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Episoder(100)

Ukraine's Command Shake-Up: Fedorov Out, Drapatyi In

Ukraine's Command Shake-Up: Fedorov Out, Drapatyi In

On July 15th, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed now–former Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, one of the architects of Ukraine’s technological transformation on the battlefield. His ab...

24 Jul 52min

Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval: The View from Moscow

Forecasting the Future of the Axis of Upheaval: The View from Moscow

Today’s episode of Brussels Sprouts comes from a virtual panel discussion that the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) held on July 14 to mark the release of a report titled Forecasting the Futu...

17 Jul 1h 27min

Europe Stepping Up and the United States Stepping Back

Europe Stepping Up and the United States Stepping Back

This week, the Allies met for the NATO summit in Ankara, Türkiye, in what was billed as a summit of low expectations. President Donald Trump once again created headlines with public comments about Gre...

10 Jul 51min

Prospects for Ukraine and a Look Ahead to Ankara

Prospects for Ukraine and a Look Ahead to Ankara

The past month has featured a series of major transatlantic gatherings that together tell an important story about where the alliance is headed. At the NATO Foreign Ministers meeting in Sweden, allies...

26 Jun 50min

Getting the Brits Ready to Fight

Getting the Brits Ready to Fight

On June 22, United Kingdom (UK) prime minister Keir Starmer announced that he would resign as leader of the Labour Party and leave the premiership. Starmer had faced mounting pressure to hand the posi...

22 Jun 56min

Brussels Sprouts Live: Four Ambassadors Reimagine the Transatlantic Relationship

Brussels Sprouts Live: Four Ambassadors Reimagine the Transatlantic Relationship

Today's episode comes from the CNAS Annual Conference held last week in Washington, D.C. The theme of this year's conference was “New Rules,” and nowhere is that more evident than in the transatlantic...

17 Jun 25min

U.S. Posture Changes and the Future of European Defense Planning

U.S. Posture Changes and the Future of European Defense Planning

Over the last several weeks, European allies have been trying to interpret a steady stream of signals from Washington about the future of the U.S. military role in Europe, discussions we've covered on...

5 Jun 50min

Window of Opportunity? Deterrence and Moscow’s Calculus

Window of Opportunity? Deterrence and Moscow’s Calculus

In the last episode of Brussels Sprouts, we looked at the dizzying series of U.S. announcements about America’s military posture in Europe. Since then, new reporting has emerged. The Wall Street Journ...

29 Mai 54min

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