EMD095 - Strategic Positioning: Post-EIA Week

Welcome to Energy Markets Daily. Thursday, January 8, 2026 — Strategic Positioning. **CRUDE OIL:** WTI at $57.41, flat on the day. Brent at $60.85. EIA weekly showed crude inventories up 1.2 million barrels (vs -1.5M expected). Gasoline down 2.1 million. Refinery utilization 93.2%. The build confirms oversupply—IEA's 3.8 million bpd surplus thesis intact. OPEC+ Q1 freeze holding firm. Non-OPEC machine rolls on. Position: Short crude, $55 WTI target in sight. **NATURAL GAS:** $3.12, up 1.2%. EIA storage withdrawal -62 Bcf (vs -75 consensus). Inventories 2.1% above 5-year average. Warm Jan 8-14 forecast caps upside, but LNG exports smashed record 20.1 Bcf/d. Production 110.2 Bcf/d. EIA holds $4.00 2026 average. Position: Long gas—weather dip is the entry. **CHINA UPDATE:** Services PMI 52.0 confirmed slowdown, but stimulus pipeline active. 15th Five-Year Plan infrastructure spend watch. **CATALYST WATCH:** Fed minutes today. Late Jan cold potential. OPEC+ compliance Feb 1. **THE BOTTOM LINE:** EIA confirms crude glut. Gas storage beat supports structure. Decoupling sharpens—short crude, long gas. Trade data. **FINAL WORD:** Energy project needs capital? Connect to institutional/family office networks. energymarkets@protonmail.com. Subject: Energy Capital. This is Energy Markets Daily. Friday: Weekly Recap.

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Episoder(218)

Geopolitical Tensions Rising

Wednesday, January 8, 2026. WEEK 2 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil settled at $57.76, up $1.77 or 3.2%. Sharp rebound after two consecutive days of declines. Two-week high. Brent up 3.4% to $61.99. KEY ...

8 Jul 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Friday, July 3, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: ECUADOR. CURRENT PRODUCTION LEVELS: Ecuador's crude oil production averaged ~461,000-466,000 bbl/d Jan-Feb 2026. Daily lifts reported ~452,817-458,207 bbl/d...

3 Jul 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Thursday, July 2, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: BELARUS. PRODUCTION OVERVIEW: Belarus produced ~25,000 bbl/d early 2026 (well below historical avg 33,650 bbl/d since 1993). Production reached 30-year hi...

2 Jul 2min

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

1 Jul 3min

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Jun 2min

Doha Talks Resume

Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

29 Jun 2min

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Jun 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Jun 2min