The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

As governments around the world try to predict the toll and duration of the coronavirus, they’re turning increasingly to a handful of forecasting models for answers. But many of the leading models differ drastically in their approach and methods. What do we need to know about these forecasts? And what are their limitations?


Guest: Jordan Ellenberg, mathematics professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.


Host: Lizzie O’Leary

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episoder(2347)

How To Lose a Government Shutdown

How To Lose a Government Shutdown

It has been the longest government shutdown on record. Why did the Democrats choose this moment—right after elections proved how unpopular Donald Trump and his policies truly are—to cave in and end it...

11 Nov 202523min

Is Special Ed Getting Left Behind?

Is Special Ed Getting Left Behind?

Children with disabilities' place in public schools—though legally mandated—has often been tenuous at best. Now the Trump Administration is targeting the department that oversees special ed. What does...

10 Nov 202524min

Why Tesla Is Paying Elon a Trillion Bucks

Why Tesla Is Paying Elon a Trillion Bucks

Tesla shareholders just approved a trillion dollar (with a t!) pay package for Elon Musk. Is it enough incentive to keep him around the company and away from verbal spats with government officials? Be...

9 Nov 202527min

Bonus: SchadenFriday | Muslim, Millennial, Mr. Mayor Mamdani

Bonus: SchadenFriday | Muslim, Millennial, Mr. Mayor Mamdani

Well well well. Looks like being a truculent, aging sex pest who clearly hates the constituency he aspires to rule only works in national elections. In New York City, Zohran Mamdani overcame the longs...

7 Nov 20255min

The Nick Fuentes Problem

The Nick Fuentes Problem

Nick Fuentes—an openly antisemitic, openly racist, openly sexist type who once was persona non grata in all but the unseemliest of online spaces—sat down with former Fox News star Tucker Carlson this ...

7 Nov 202521min

Trump’s Tariffs Have a Constitution Problem

Trump’s Tariffs Have a Constitution Problem

Trump’s tariffs went before the Supreme Court this week and even the extremely accommodating Roberts court was having trouble seeing how the president’s vast and capricious application of tariffs is c...

6 Nov 202524min

The Andrew Formerly Known as a Prince

The Andrew Formerly Known as a Prince

How Virginia Giuffre’s accusations of a decade ago finally brought His Royal Highness Prince Andrew, Duke of York, down to simply Andrew.Guest: Imogen West-Knights, Slate contributing writer.Want more...

5 Nov 202522min

She Won the Election. The GOP Won’t Swear Her In.

She Won the Election. The GOP Won’t Swear Her In.

She won a special election on Sept. 23 but still hasn’t been sworn into the House of Representatives—even though new members have been sworn in during government shutdowns in the past. What explains S...

4 Nov 202523min

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