The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

As governments around the world try to predict the toll and duration of the coronavirus, they’re turning increasingly to a handful of forecasting models for answers. But many of the leading models differ drastically in their approach and methods. What do we need to know about these forecasts? And what are their limitations?


Guest: Jordan Ellenberg, mathematics professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.


Host: Lizzie O’Leary

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episoder(2363)

Rebroadcast: Dupes!

Rebroadcast: Dupes!

Note: This episode was originally published on July 27, 2025. There’s an entire economy devoted to seeing what products are trending—clothing, skin care, even Greek Islands—and delivering you a cheape...

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Decoder Ring | Cozy Autumn Mysteries

Decoder Ring | Cozy Autumn Mysteries

While the What Next team works their way from preparingfood to sleeping it off, enjoy this episode on fall’s flavorful favorites fromour friends at Decoder Ring. We’ll be back to regular programming o...

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Why You Can't Avoid Wicked

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With the release of Wicked: For Good, spectacle is back in theaters and back on the press circuit: Ariana Grande and Cynthia Erivo are again “holding space” along with each other’s individual fingers ...

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Could We Get Peace In Ukraine?

Could We Get Peace In Ukraine?

The Trump administration has announced a 28-point plan to end the war in Ukraine that involves ceding territory, giving up on joining NATO and reducing its military—in essence an extremely, even suspi...

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How Planned Parenthood Got Defunded

How Planned Parenthood Got Defunded

Between the drastic budget cuts and provisions in the Big Beautiful Bill, the Trump administration has found a way to drain Planned Parenthood and other reproductive health centers and cut off access ...

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The Surveillance Interstate

The Surveillance Interstate

Tracking a license plate across the country has never been easier, which is good news if your car has been stolen, but in an era of ICE and Border Patrol raids, these warrantless searches feel increas...

23 Nov 202527min

Bonus: SchadenFriday: Are You Fitter Than an ICE Applicant?

Bonus: SchadenFriday: Are You Fitter Than an ICE Applicant?

You can have enough ICE recruits or you can have standards for the shape that they’re in, but you can’t have both—this was just one lesson Donald Trump could have learned this week, in between hosting...

21 Nov 20255min

Crypto Keeps Criming

Crypto Keeps Criming

Trump promised to stop the “persecution” of the cryptocurrency industry. He did call off the SEC investigations that began under Biden, and pardoned Binance cofounder and ex-CEO Changpeng Zhao. But is...

21 Nov 202521min

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