The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

As governments around the world try to predict the toll and duration of the coronavirus, they’re turning increasingly to a handful of forecasting models for answers. But many of the leading models differ drastically in their approach and methods. What do we need to know about these forecasts? And what are their limitations?


Guest: Jordan Ellenberg, mathematics professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.


Host: Lizzie O’Leary

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episoder(2345)

Bonus SchadenFriday: How a Lefty Journalist Stumbled Into an ICE Job

Bonus SchadenFriday: How a Lefty Journalist Stumbled Into an ICE Job

She just wanted to report on an ICE recruiting session. She didn’t expect to get a job offer.Guest: Laura Jedeed, journalist who wrote “You’ve Heard About Who ICE Is Recruiting. The Truth Is Far Worse...

16 Jan 5min

How and Why to Vaccinate Now

How and Why to Vaccinate Now

Where do you turn for vaccination advice for your kids—or yourself—when the government’s own recommendations can’t be trusted anymore?Guest: Dr. Lauren Hughes, board-certified pediatrician, science co...

16 Jan 35min

Would You Die To Stop ICE?

Would You Die To Stop ICE?

The Episcopal bishop of New Hampshire went viral for telling clergy to have their affairs in order as they prepare to defend the most vulnerable, at a prayer vigil for Renee Good. He says, “I’ve said ...

15 Jan 27min

Should Congress Defund ICE?

Should Congress Defund ICE?

Rep. Adam Smith is the ranking member of the House committee that’s supposed to have oversight on the Department of Defense—yes, that’s what he still calls it. But from strikes on Venezuela to ICE sur...

14 Jan 30min

The Case for a Blue Wave

The Case for a Blue Wave

Midterm elections are typically bad for the president’s party. Given how Trump’s second term is going, do the Democrats have a chance to do something historic?Guest: David Faris, politics professor a...

13 Jan 26min

Emperor Trump Wants Greenland

Emperor Trump Wants Greenland

Is Trump genuinely interested in expanding America’s borders or is this all just to further their mission of “looking tough online”? For the people surprised to suddenly find themselves on America’s b...

12 Jan 29min

How Grok Filled X With Deepfake Porn

How Grok Filled X With Deepfake Porn

To kick off the new year, users on X have been asking Grok to nudify people - and kids - at an astonishing rate. And X leadership is egging them on. Guest: Jason Koebler, founder of 404 Media and host...

11 Jan 33min

Betting on Venezuela

Betting on Venezuela

While the U.S. was busy capturing Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, someone online was  busy placing bets on prediction markets on the ouster. And these well-timed bets may have netted a still-anon...

9 Jan 24min

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