Not All of the Polls Were Wrong

Not All of the Polls Were Wrong

In the lead-up to the 2020 election, Iowa polls had Biden and Trump running neck and neck to win the state’s 6 electoral votes. However, one poll in late October showed that Trump had taken a seven-point lead over Biden. Many political observers and Democrats dismissed it as an outlier, insisting that Iowa was up for grabs. On election night? Trump won Iowa by just over eight points.

How did Ann Selzer see this coming? And what does the “Outlier Queen” have to say about the state of her industry?

Guest: Ann Selzer, public opinion pollster and President of Selzer and Company.

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Episoder(2365)

The Gun Rights Case Headed to the Supreme Court

The Gun Rights Case Headed to the Supreme Court

Why it matters that the Supreme Court is taking on a gun rights case now, after keeping its powder dry for years.Guest: Mark Joseph Stern, who covers courts & the law for Slate.Tell us what you think ...

28 Jan 201916min

The Opposition Comes for Venezuela’s Maduro

The Opposition Comes for Venezuela’s Maduro

How Venezuelans reached a breaking point, and how a team of savvy politicians orchestrated the break. No one expected the greatest threat of a proxy war to come out of South America -- right?Guests: A...

25 Jan 201919min

Congress Does Something

Congress Does Something

The Senate is readying a vote on two bills to fund the government. The measures aren’t expected to pass, but they might signal the beginning of the end of the shutdown.Guest: Jim Newell, who covers Co...

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On today’s show, hosts April Glaser and Will Oremus discuss news news that the french government has fined Google close to $57 million for violating the new European privacy laws that went into effect...

23 Jan 201939min

Kamala Harris & the Rise of Progressive Prosecutors

Kamala Harris & the Rise of Progressive Prosecutors

More and more reform-minded district attorneys are taking office as self-avowed progressive prosecutors. Why don’t some advocates think Kamala Harris deserves the label?Guest: Lara Bazelon, associate ...

23 Jan 201921min

The Women Fleeing Saudi Arabia

The Women Fleeing Saudi Arabia

What Mohammed bin Salman’s rise to power has meant for women in Saudi Arabia. Guest: Journalist Sarah Aziza. Read her latest reporting in the New Yorker. Tell us what you think by leaving a review on ...

22 Jan 201919min

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Flips the Script

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Flips the Script

Why aren’t conservatives’ usual tricks working on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez? Guest: Slate writer Lili Loofbourow. Read her piece here. Tell us what you think by leaving a review on Apple Podcasts or se...

18 Jan 201920min

The L.A. Teachers' Strike

The L.A. Teachers' Strike

What makes the Los Angeles teachers’ strike different from the strikes that swept the country last year? In L.A., a robust charter school sector competes with the traditional public schools for funds....

17 Jan 201924min

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