Not All of the Polls Were Wrong

Not All of the Polls Were Wrong

In the lead-up to the 2020 election, Iowa polls had Biden and Trump running neck and neck to win the state’s 6 electoral votes. However, one poll in late October showed that Trump had taken a seven-point lead over Biden. Many political observers and Democrats dismissed it as an outlier, insisting that Iowa was up for grabs. On election night? Trump won Iowa by just over eight points.

How did Ann Selzer see this coming? And what does the “Outlier Queen” have to say about the state of her industry?

Guest: Ann Selzer, public opinion pollster and President of Selzer and Company.

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Episoder(2358)

The Surveillance State's Eyes at the U.S. Border

The Surveillance State's Eyes at the U.S. Border

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk to Dr. Guadalupe Correa-Cabrera, a professor of political science and policy at George Mason University and an expert on immigration and secur...

11 Jul 201829min

The Supreme Court in the Cyber Age

The Supreme Court in the Cyber Age

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk about the Facebook privacy scandal that won’t go away. They’ll also touch on some new data from our employer, Slate, that illustrates how Face...

4 Jul 201837min

Tech Workers Fight Back

Tech Workers Fight Back

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk about the midterm elections coming up in November -- and whether Silicon Valley companies are ready for the deluge of disinformation -- whethe...

27 Jun 201839min

Should Tech Companies Take a Stand Against Family Separation?

Should Tech Companies Take a Stand Against Family Separation?

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser discuss the horrifying story that’s on everyone’s minds this week: the Trump Administration’s policy of separating immigrant families crossing the ...

20 Jun 201827min

The Failed Promise of the Gig Economy

The Failed Promise of the Gig Economy

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus is joined by guest co-host Maya Kosoff from Vanity Fair. They discuss the electric scooters that are suddenly wreaking havoc on city streets—and why Silicon Valley ...

13 Jun 201835min

Naomi Klein on Disaster Capitalism in Puerto Rico.

Naomi Klein on Disaster Capitalism in Puerto Rico.

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk about how Microsoft is buying GitHub, Google is ending its Pentagon contract, and all the news from Apple’s developer conference on Monday—inc...

6 Jun 201842min

Bloody Money and Blind Investors

Bloody Money and Blind Investors

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk about GDPR, Europe’s sweeping new online privacy legislation that took effect last Friday. They explain why it triggered an avalanche of email...

30 Mai 201838min

Google’s Chokehold on the Web

Google’s Chokehold on the Web

On this week’s If Then, Will Oremus and April Glaser talk about about a privacy invasion that’s arguably scarier than Cambridge Analytica, and why it’s not getting nearly the same amount of attention....

23 Mai 201837min

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