Can Europe Ever Trust the United States Again?

The Trump administration has repeatedly signaled its rejection of the values that have long underpinned EU-U.S. relations.

Rosa Balfour, Jan Techau, and Nathalie Tocci ask whether Brussels must now chart its own course.

Carnegie Europe will be addressing the toughest questions facing the EU in its new project “Europe Head-to-Head.” Follow our work for insights and discussions shaping the continent's future.

[00:00:00] Intro, [00:01:29] Is Europe Able to Divorce From the United States?, [00:16:15] Europe’s Military Industrial Complex, [00:19:42] Europe’s Competitiveness and Lack of Trust, [00:33:25] Is Trumpism a Structural Trend?, [00:46:26] The Future of EU-U.S. Relations.

Jan Techau, Nathalie Tocci, January 7, 2026, “Can Europe Trust the United States Again?,” Carnegie Europe.

Rosa Balfour, January 6, 2026, “The Cost of Europe’s Weak Venezuela Response,” Strategic Europe, Carnegie Europe.

Rosa Balfour, September 22, 2025, “The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0,” Carnegie Europe.

Rosa Balfour, April 30, 2025, “Europe Tried to Trump-Proof Itself. Now It’s Crafting a Plan B.,” Emissary, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Jan Techau, September 2025, “The Future of European Integration: A Threshold Moment of Hope,” Horizons Summer 2025, Issue No. 31, Center for International Relations and Sustainable Development.

Nathalie Tocci, January 13, 2026, “Breaking with a toxic partner: Why Trumpism may actually benefit Europe in the long run,” The Insider.

Nathalie Tocci, January 11, 2026, “Europe on high alert in the face of Trump’s strategic onslaught,” El País.

Nathalie Tocci, December 12, 2025, “How Europe Lost,” Foreign Affairs.

Nathalie Tocci, December 10, 2025, “Salvaging Global Order in the Post-American Era,” BKHS Magazine.

Nathalie Tocci, December 5, 2025, “Does Europe Finally Realize It’s Alone?,” Foreign Policy.

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Episoder(43)

Will Europe Ever Stand Up to Trump?

Since U.S. President Donald Trump has returned to the White House, several crises have affected the transatlantic relationship. Rym Momtaz, Rosa Balfour, and Stefan Lehne reflect on whether Europeans ...

20 Mai 36min

Can France Be Europe’s Nuclear Deterrent?

Emmanuel Macron's updated French nuclear doctrine represents an unprecedented effort by Paris to coordinate with European partners as U.S. security commitments decline. Rym Momtaz, Sophia Besch, and U...

22 Apr 30min

Is the Radical Right a Threat to Europe?

With key elections approaching across Europe, radical-right parties are poised to maintain and even expand their political influence. Rosa Balfour, Catherine Fieschi, and Cas Mudde explore whether a m...

31 Mar 1h 1min

What Is Europe Sacrificing in the Iran War?

The Iranian nuclear deal was the last issue where Europe could realistically claim to have diplomatic influence. Rym Momtaz, Pierre Vimont, and Maha Yahya debate whether the war in Iran has left Europ...

11 Mar 40min

Will Enlargement Make Europe Stronger?

The EU and its member states are weighing the costs and benefits of offering Ukraine a fast-track accession process, while also considering how to manage relations with other candidate countries. Rosa...

24 Feb 55min

Is 2026 a Turning Point for Armenia and Azerbaijan?

The peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, initialed in August 2025, represents a major turning point for the South Caucasus.Thomas de Waal, Zaur Shiriyev, and Areg Kochinyan discuss the role Euro...

11 Feb 24min

Is Europe Ready for AI-Driven War?

AI-powered technologies are transforming the nature of warfare, with profound implications for European security and the EU’s regulatory framework.Thomas de Waal, Raluca Csernatoni, and Jessica Dorsey...

14 Jan 32min