Episode 162 - Haaland Gets Man City Back in the Title Race + Who’s Getting Relegated

Episode 162 - Haaland Gets Man City Back in the Title Race + Who’s Getting Relegated

On this episode of The Transfer Flow, Patrick and Ted break down a chaotic, high-quality clash at Anfield as Manchester City beat Liverpool in a game that felt like a season’s worth of drama packed into 90 minutes. We dig into what City got right, why Liverpool struggled to solve the press, and how a single moment of brilliance nearly changed the story again. From there, we zoom out to the title race and ask whether City are really back, what Arsenal should be focusing on down the stretch, and why controlling games in the Premier League feels harder than ever right now. Along the way, we talk Erling Haaland’s underrated all-around impact, elite goalkeeping across the league, and why nobody ever looks comfortable anymore. In the second half, we get into Newcastle’s worrying drop-off, Eddie Howe’s growing list of problems, and how squad depth (or the lack of it) is shaping seasons at both ends of the table. We also look at the relegation battle, West Ham’s faint hopes of a late escape, and why Forest fans should still be nervous. We wrap things up with listener questions, including a deep dive into “hot hand” theory in football, sweet spots for shooting, and what analytics can (and can’t) tell us about form, finishing streaks, and player development. Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10 Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 01:33 - Dominik Szoboszlai’s free kick 02:44 - The drama of Liverpool/Man City 04:04 - City’s first half 04:55 - Liverpool on their back foot 05:32 - The quality of players in this match 07:42 - You can’t go hard for 180 minutes every week 08:18 - Sideism for Liverpool? 08:45 - The impact of Haaland 10:53 - Gakpo and Ekitike for Liverpool 11:30 - Pep’s weirdness + Rayan Cherki 12:57 - Late game red card + Is the TItle Race on? 13:44 - City were much stronger in past seasons 14:02 - Eddie Howe and Newcastle 15:15 - Uncalled penalties 16:00 - Newcastle fan’s frustrations 17:10 - Managers need to do less, not more 18:46 - Howe overseeing transfers? 20:01 - Arsenal’s overpayment for depth to win a title 21:02 - Should Arsenal fans be concerned? 22:00 - The other end of the table + faith in Leeds? 23:20 - West Ham’s improvement 24:00 - Will West Ham save themselves? 25:20 - Paco Jemez + Comparing schedules 26:58 - Brentford are flying 27:47 - The Fulham vs Everton game 28:22 - Samuel Chukwueze 29:52 - The crazy goalkeeping in this game 31:22 - Impressive saves across the league 32:18 - Hot Hand Theory 33:45 - Sequencing 34:59 - Tracking shooting training data 36:06 - Creating better players 36:45 - Sweet Spots exist, Hot Hand isn’t provable for us 37:52 - When the streaky players fall off what do we change? 39:34 - Smaller margins across the league now 40:27 - Juventus are evil 41:24 - Will there be a goalkeeper bubble? 42:04 - TTF Conference tickets and a £25,000 talk? #manchestercity #liverpool #premierleague #arsenal #football #epl #soccer #eplnews #manchestercity #haaland #szoboszlai #salah #wirtz #pepguardiola #newcastle #westham #relegationbattle #foryou #fyp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Episoder(229)

Episode 218 - Champions League Takeaways: Arsenal Have a Gyökeres Problem

Episode 218 - Champions League Takeaways: Arsenal Have a Gyökeres Problem

The Champions League is back. Patrick and Hayden break down the opening round of the league phase. Real Madrid beat Inter Milan 2-1, but the performance raises real questions about their defensive co...

10 Sep 46min

Episode 217 - These 4 Teams Are the Only REAL Champions League Contenders

Episode 217 - These 4 Teams Are the Only REAL Champions League Contenders

The Champions League is back and the new format has thrown up total chaos, meaning almost anyone can go through. Patrick and Ted break down where the early betting value is, why Man United might have ...

7 Sep 51min

Episode 216 - Winners And Losers Of The Summer Transfer Window

Episode 216 - Winners And Losers Of The Summer Transfer Window

Patrick and Ted wrap up the entire summer transfer window, going club by club through who actually improved their squad, who overpaid, and who's already in trouble two games into the season. Chelse...

2 Sep 1h 12min

Episode 215 - What It ACTUALLY Takes for Promoted Sides to Stay in the EPL (Ft. Ali from NTT20)

Episode 215 - What It ACTUALLY Takes for Promoted Sides to Stay in the EPL (Ft. Ali from NTT20)

What does it actually take for a promoted team to survive in the Premier League? Ali Maxwell of the Not the Top 20 podcast joins the show for a special crossover episode looking at the entire English ...

26 Aug 51min

Episode 214 - Premier League Opening Weekend Overreactions

Episode 214 - Premier League Opening Weekend Overreactions

Ted joins with Neel this week for some early overreactions to Premier League opening weekend. Brentford dismantle Tottenham and expose real problems in De Zerby's build-up play, Aston Villa's summer s...

24 Aug 31min

Episode 213 - The ONLY Way Real Madrid Beat Barcelona This Season

Episode 213 - The ONLY Way Real Madrid Beat Barcelona This Season

Patrick and Neel run through the top four races in Spain and Italy for 2026/27. Can Real Madrid deliver a first title in three years, or does the whole race come down to how bad Barcelona's injury sit...

20 Aug 52min

Episode 212 - Predicting Every Team's Finish in the 2026/27 Premier League

Episode 212 - Predicting Every Team's Finish in the 2026/27 Premier League

Ted and Patrick rank the entire Premier League table from 1 to 20 ahead of the new season. They cover the relegation battle (Hull City, Sunderland, Coventry, Ipswich), a wide open mid-table (Fulham, N...

17 Aug 1h 16min

Episode 211 - Why This Player Should Be Wanted By Every Premier League Club

Episode 211 - Why This Player Should Be Wanted By Every Premier League Club

Patrick And Hayden talk Endrick's future at Real Madrid and why everyone should want to sign him. They dig into why this Johnson/McNeil swap deal actually works, while looking to links of Ndiaye to ...

13 Aug 52min

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