Whit Ayres: Is Trump Inevitable? Do Any of the Other Republicans Have a Chance?

Whit Ayres: Is Trump Inevitable? Do Any of the Other Republicans Have a Chance?

Where do things stand in the Republican primary field? Is Trump inevitable, or could DeSantis or another candidate prevail? What do voters, donors, and party officials think of the prospects of a Trump v. Biden rematch as we head toward 2024?

To discuss these questions, we are joined again by veteran Republican pollster and strategist Whit Ayres. The broad contours of the race on the Republican side, by the numbers, have been remarkably stable since November—and at the same time the months ahead could be unusually unpredictable. According to Ayres, Trump must be considered the favorite to win the Republican nomination especially as Ron DeSantis, who had gained ground after his landslide victory in the Florida gubernatorial race, has faded in recent months. Nonetheless, Ayres contends that Trump’s nomination is far from a foregone conclusion. The current and possible criminal indictments of Trump could matter, and other possible Republicans could gain momentum. Ayres and Kristol consider the prospects of the various Republican candidates, discuss possible surprises over the next six months, as well as the question of Biden's renomination—and reflect on why 2024 may not follow familiar patterns of past elections.

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Episoder(321)

Harvey Mansfield on Rational Control and Liberalism

Harvey Mansfield on Rational Control and Liberalism

What makes Niccolò Machiavelli the founder of modern politics? How did liberal thinkers like Locke, Montesquieu, and the American founders modify Machiavelli’s inventions? How did later thinkers like ...

26 Jun 55min

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

“This election looks like a classic collision between the irresistible force and the immovable object. The irresistible force is the elevated share of Americans who disapprove of Trump’s performance a...

11 Jun 1h 5min

Aaron Friedberg on Fallout from the China Summit

Aaron Friedberg on Fallout from the China Summit

“China is aiming to enhance its power with respect to the United States in particular, and eventually to emerge as the dominant player in the international system, and it’s working towards that goal…....

20 Mai 48min

Phillips O’Brien on Ukraine v. Russia and the Future of Warfare

Phillips O’Brien on Ukraine v. Russia and the Future of Warfare

“The Ukrainians believe Putin’s now being faced with more dilemmas than they are.” So argues the distinguished historian and a leading analyst of the Ukraine War, Phillips O’Brien. Author of the indis...

8 Mai 1h 6min

A.B. Stoddard on Trump’s Psyche—and The Implications for 2028

A.B. Stoddard on Trump’s Psyche—and The Implications for 2028

“This branding binge [Trump] has been on: with everything he’s trying to have put his name on. To build the White House ballroom, the arch in front of Arlington Cemetery. And the war and military adve...

23 Apr 1h 4min

Mark Blitz on the Enduring Importance of Aristotle

Mark Blitz on the Enduring Importance of Aristotle

“What is human happiness? What is political excellence? What is speech, and rhetoric? It’s always important to remind ourselves of that. But especially when you have artificial intelligence, and all o...

9 Apr 56min

Aaron Friedberg on the Iran War and the View from Beijing

Aaron Friedberg on the Iran War and the View from Beijing

“It’s hard for me to see how [the war] ends in a way that enhances our position in the world generally—and, in particular, enhances our position with relation to the country that I still think is our ...

19 Mar 1h 20min

Doug Sosnik on What to Expect in 2026—and Why 2028 Will Be Different

Doug Sosnik on What to Expect in 2026—and Why 2028 Will Be Different

“Whatever happens in 2026, I think no one should take any interpretation of that as a precursor to what’s going to happen in 2028.” So argues Doug Sosnik, former political director for Bill Clinton a...

27 Feb 1h 12min

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