Whit Ayres: Is Trump Inevitable? Do Any of the Other Republicans Have a Chance?

Whit Ayres: Is Trump Inevitable? Do Any of the Other Republicans Have a Chance?

Where do things stand in the Republican primary field? Is Trump inevitable, or could DeSantis or another candidate prevail? What do voters, donors, and party officials think of the prospects of a Trump v. Biden rematch as we head toward 2024?

To discuss these questions, we are joined again by veteran Republican pollster and strategist Whit Ayres. The broad contours of the race on the Republican side, by the numbers, have been remarkably stable since November—and at the same time the months ahead could be unusually unpredictable. According to Ayres, Trump must be considered the favorite to win the Republican nomination especially as Ron DeSantis, who had gained ground after his landslide victory in the Florida gubernatorial race, has faded in recent months. Nonetheless, Ayres contends that Trump’s nomination is far from a foregone conclusion. The current and possible criminal indictments of Trump could matter, and other possible Republicans could gain momentum. Ayres and Kristol consider the prospects of the various Republican candidates, discuss possible surprises over the next six months, as well as the question of Biden's renomination—and reflect on why 2024 may not follow familiar patterns of past elections.

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Episoder(327)

Phillips O’Brien on Ukraine, Iran, and What’s Next

Phillips O’Brien on Ukraine, Iran, and What’s Next

Where do things stand in the wars in Ukraine and Iran? What are the implications of these wars for military technology, the future of warfare, and our highly fluid geopolitical environment?In this Con...

30 Sep 58min

David Axelrod on the 2026 Midterms: How Big a Wave?

David Axelrod on the 2026 Midterms: How Big a Wave?

We are less than seven weeks away from Election Day, and early voting already has begun in some states. To discuss where things stand and where American politics might go after the midterms, we are jo...

18 Sep 56min

Doug Sosnik on Two Different Elections: 2026 and 2028

Doug Sosnik on Two Different Elections: 2026 and 2028

"We're 60 days away from a completely different political environment. And I think people are underestimating how different it's going to be, and how volatile it's going to be without really any moori...

27 Aug 1h 7min

Eric Edelman: Trump and the American Military

Eric Edelman: Trump and the American Military

Where do things stand with the military in Trump’s Second Term? What are the consequences of a shortage of munitions in the conduct of the Iran War? What should we make of the firings of senior milita...

7 Aug 1h 6min

Don Kettl: The Trump Administration and the Politicization of the Civil Service

Don Kettl: The Trump Administration and the Politicization of the Civil Service

"Am I worried? A lot. Why? Because they’re not done yet. And it’s not just the president, but the efforts of those around him and on the outside supporting him who have a very huge and fundamental and...

24 Jul 1h 1min

Ryan Goodman: The Trump Administration, the Supreme Court, and the Rule of Law

Ryan Goodman: The Trump Administration, the Supreme Court, and the Rule of Law

A year and a half into the second Trump administration, is the Supreme Court meeting the moment? What are the broader implications of recent Court decisions and the conduct of lower courts? What might...

9 Jul 1h 2min

Harvey Mansfield on Rational Control and Liberalism

Harvey Mansfield on Rational Control and Liberalism

What makes Niccolò Machiavelli the founder of modern politics? How did liberal thinkers like Locke, Montesquieu, and the American founders modify Machiavelli’s inventions? How did later thinkers like ...

26 Jun 55min

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

“This election looks like a classic collision between the irresistible force and the immovable object. The irresistible force is the elevated share of Americans who disapprove of Trump’s performance a...

11 Jun 1h 5min

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