Trump’s Iran Gamble: Operation Epic Fury and Death to the Dictator (feat. Eli Lake)

Trump’s Iran Gamble: Operation Epic Fury and Death to the Dictator (feat. Eli Lake)

The U.S. and Israel again struck deep inside Iran. The Supreme Leader is dead. The region is on edge. The question is no longer whether this is war — but how long will it last and what will be the impact.

The conflict has now spread far beyond Tehran’s borders: Hezbollah rockets have drawn Israel into full-blown engagements across Lebanon, Gulf states have condemned Iranian aggression as they reel from missile and drone salvos, and intelligence agencies warn of expanded retaliatory attacks against the United States and its allies.

On the streets and in the corridors of power, tectonic shifts are underway. Regional capitals brace for wider war, global energy markets react at threats to closing the Strait of Hormuz and attacks against oil infrastructure, and governments from Islamabad to London confront unrest and diplomatic peril.

The Iran Breakdown host Mark Dubowitz is joined by Eli Lake to assess the battlefield, the intelligence as we know it, and the stakes. Is the regime collapsing — or will it whether this confrontation as it has in the past? What comes next for the Iranian people, for Israel, for the region, and for the United States?

Eli's latest

The Breaking History podcast

March 2, 2026 | The Free Press | J.D. Vance’s Iran Dilemma

February 28, 2026 | The Free Press | Trump Keeps His Promise to Iran—and Takes a Big Gamble

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Episoder(65)

The Islamic Republic’s Revolutionary DNA (feat. Haviv Rettig Gur)

The Islamic Republic’s Revolutionary DNA (feat. Haviv Rettig Gur)

What makes the Islamic Republic of Iran different from a conventional regime seeking security, prosperity, and survival? Its ideological DNA fuses Maoist revolutionary thought, Frantz Fanon’s vision o...

14 Aug 56min

Subterranean Warfare: Can Pickaxe Mountain Be Destroyed? (feat. Yadin Soffer)

Subterranean Warfare: Can Pickaxe Mountain Be Destroyed? (feat. Yadin Soffer)

The next battlefield isn’t in the sky or at sea—it’s underground.The Islamic Republic, together with Hamas and Hezbollah, spent decades building a subterranean fortress: hundreds of miles of terror tu...

6 Aug 1h 3min

Pickaxe Mountain: Iran’s “Unbustable” Nuclear Bunker? (feat. Andrea Stricker)

Pickaxe Mountain: Iran’s “Unbustable” Nuclear Bunker? (feat. Andrea Stricker)

Iran isn’t dismantling its nuclear program—it’s burying it deeper underground.At the center of growing U.S. concern is Pickaxe Mountain, a massive underground complex that signals the regime has no in...

21 Jul 40min

The End of the Ceasefire as We Know It? (feat. Rich Goldberg)

The End of the Ceasefire as We Know It? (feat. Rich Goldberg)

The United States has launched a fresh wave of strikes against Iran, hitting roughly 90 targets along the country's coastline, as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz threaten to unravel a fragile cease...

10 Jul 51min

Lebanon: More than "a Piece of the Puzzle" (feat. Carine Hajjar)

Lebanon: More than "a Piece of the Puzzle" (feat. Carine Hajjar)

The Israel-Lebanon framework brokered by Secretary Rubio may be historic, but Hezbollah still hasn't disarmed. The deal ties Israeli withdrawal to the Lebanese army securing designated pilot zones — y...

1 Jul 48min

What Iranians Think About the US-Iran Deal (feat. Medhi Parpanchi)

What Iranians Think About the US-Iran Deal (feat. Medhi Parpanchi)

The 60-day MOU between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States may dominate headlines, but for 90 million Iranians it changes nothing. The agreement contains no mention of the Iranian peopl...

25 Jun 52min

Breaking Down the US-Iran MOU (feat. Robert Greenway)

Breaking Down the US-Iran MOU (feat. Robert Greenway)

President Trump has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Iran, opening a 60-day window to negotiate a final deal. The debate is fierce: does the US-Iran MOU go far enough? Iran's nuclear pr...

19 Jun 58min

What Does Winning In Iran Look Like? (feat. Marc Thiessen)

What Does Winning In Iran Look Like? (feat. Marc Thiessen)

The clock is ticking on the Islamic Republic — but what does finishing the job actually look like? With the regime battered, broken, and the pressure campaign at a critical inflection point, the U.S. ...

9 Jun 50min

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