Golf Betting Picks This Week | Valero Texas Open Breakdown with Brad Thomas | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep. 218)

Stephie Smalls is joined by CBS Sports golf analyst Brad Thomas to break down the Valero Texas Open with a full betting preview, including best bets, sleepers, and key course insights ahead of The Masters.

The episode opens with Brad announcing his move to CBS Sports, before diving into how to handicap TPC San Antonio. The discussion focuses heavily on ball striking, long iron play, and course fit, especially for players with a right-to-left shot shape. They also talk Masters futures, including value plays like Patrick Cantlay at 80-1 and Adam Scott at 100-1.

For Valero Texas Open betting picks, Brad gives out Thorbjørn Olesen as a first-round leader at 66-1 and a top-30 play, highlighting his consistency and spike-round potential. Hideki Matsuyama is discussed as a strong outright option around 25-1 due to elite ball striking at TPC courses. Other names discussed include Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, Keith Mitchell, and rising players trending in betting models.

Stephie adds plays like Keith Mitchell top 30 (+110) and Johnny Keefer top 20 (+230), leaning on course history and recent form. There’s also a debate on betting “public” golfers versus trusting the numbers.

To close the show, Producer Ryan joins for a Birthday edition of Extra Holes, bringing rapid-fire, funny lifestyle takes and wrapping the episode with classic Stephie Smalls Show chaos.

If you’re betting the Valero Texas Open or looking ahead to The Masters, this episode gives you sharp insights and actionable picks.

0:00 - Intro
0:56 - Brad Joins
1:19 - CBS Announcement
2:12 - Layoffs Talk
3:02 - Masters Preview
3:51 - Cantlay Future
4:03 - Adam Scott Future
5:03 - Max Homa Future
6:48 - Course Breakdown
8:37 - Spieth Talk
11:21 - Olesen Bet
12:50 - Keith Mitchell Bet
14:56 - Hideki Bet
16:57 - Rickie Fowler Bet
18:25 - Yelimir Nunez Bet
21:01 - Johnny Keefer Bet
23:26 - Russell Henley Bet
24:26 - National Title Talk
24:58 - Brad Outro
26:09 - Extra Holes Intro
26:34 - Feeling Older
27:26 - Birthday Plans
28:29 - Hottest Men List
31:52 - Adult Man List
35:37 - Birthday Wrap

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