The Irish Economy: still growing but slowing. Finance Minister for a day. UK big inflation surprise

Latest data and forecasts for the Irish economy suggest 'growing but slowing'

Unemployment is forecast to stay very low - essentially an economy at full employment

Unemployment in many countries is forecast to stay low, despite low or no growth. That's because labour markets have been puzzlingly tight for years. Are we just extrapolating the recent past and forgetting that unemployment could rise?

Bond markets expect rate cuts next year. They won't get thise without a rise in unemployment, which few, if any, forecasters expect.

Somebody is getting this wrong.

If I was Finance Minister for a day!

Surely realpolitik dictates less prudence now in exchange for more prudence post-election? The Central Bank & IFAC both call for prudence NOW, arguably handing the election to Sinn Fein - who will be anything but prudent with the public finances.

A big UK inflation surprise

Not such a big surprise: Sunak reveals himself to be a grubby climate change denier.

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