Currency Traders Still Buying Rate Hike Rhetoric – Ep. 85

Currency Traders Still Buying Rate Hike Rhetoric – Ep. 85


* The U.S. dollar started out this morning on the defensive
* Government released CPI numbers generated a sharp reversal across the board
* Gold sold off, but closed slightly down against the dollar
* April CPI up just .1% on the month; year over year prices dropped -.2%
* Lowest CPI since October 2009
* Core CPI (excludes food & energy) rose .3%
* Biggest monthly jump since March 2006
* News sent dollar up on anticipation that rate hike will be more likely
* Inflation benchmark is just as real as the 6-1/2% unemployment goal
* Traders still haven't figured out that if we ever approach the goal, it will be moved
* Biggest factor within the .3% rise in the Core was +.7% in health care costs
* Biggest increase since January 2007 - prior to Obamacare
* Rising costs will slow consumer spending, weakening the economy and undermining employment
* Yellen in a press conference today did not actually project a rate hike
* It's all about extend and pretend; actually postponing the rate hike will buy the Fed some time before launching QE4
* Increased inflation as the economy cools down means stagflation
* The media is spinning increased inflation as good news
* Bad economic news released yesterday:
* Unemployment numbers came out higher
* Fewer hires mean fewer fires
* Chicago Fed National Activities Index came in at -.15
* Three month moving average down to -.23
* MAY PMI expected to rise to 54.6 unexpectedly declined to 53.8 - lowest lever in 16 months
* Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index continued to slide from 43.5 to 42.4
* May Philadelphia Fed looked for a bounce back to 8; missed expectations with 6.7
* Missed expectations 5 out of the last 6 months
* Existing Home Sales expected improvement over March; dropped to 5.04 million
* Kansas City Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index missed expectations at -13; dropping for 5 consecutive months
* Economic data as bad as 2009 and inflation is getting worse
* Janet Yellen acknowledged underlying issues with unemployment number, mentioned discouraged and part-time workers
* Labor Force Participation Rate is not improving
* Low-skilled jobs in jeopardy with minimum wage hikes
* $15/hr fever will further hurts employment and erodes the tax base
* Higher minimum wage will transform workforce because employers will hire better workers for the higher wages
* Movement will substitute technology for labor costs
* Minimum wage hikes will undermine the economic recovery that Janet Yellen pretends is existing
* So she can continue to pretend that the Fed's monetary policy is working
* And she can pretend that they can actually raise interest rates
* In the unlikely event Yellen tests a rate hike, they will have to acknowledge that they were wrong
* The Fed can always blame the data for deciding not to raise rates and therefore save face
Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1086)

You Know the Bubble’s About to Pop When Jim Cramer Gives Germany Economic Advice – Ep. 36

You Know the Bubble’s About to Pop When Jim Cramer Gives Germany Economic Advice – Ep. 36

You Know the Bubble's About to Pop When Jim Cramer Gives Germany Economic Advice Ep. 36 * Oil and Russia viewed to be at the epicenter of this week's market chaos * Why is the oil price dropping? The market anticipates a drop in demand due to global recession * Winding down of QE triggering market instability * Economic data still pointing to weakness * Russia raised interest rates to 17% * Ruble crisis is a "dress rehearsal" for the dollar crisis * Our currency crisis will be worse because of our debt * Euro and Yen rallying * This morning gold was up, down, ended up * Volatility indicates changing trends * A recession in the U.S. means QE4 Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Des 201424min

Yellen’s Recovery is as real as George ‘s Beach House Ep. 35

Yellen’s Recovery is as real as George ‘s Beach House Ep. 35

Yellen's Recovery is as real as George Costanza's Hamptons Beach House Ep. 35 * Volatile Friday followed by Monday rally trend * The stock market has rallied very high very fast with little technical support. * The gold market had its best week relative to equities. * Only a dozen markets have beaten gold this year. * Rally started with Michigan Consumer Sentiment assisted by Dodd/Frank revisions. * The dollar was mixed at Friday close. * The oil market is indicative of the Fed's movements. * The Fed's history predicts continued to support for bubbles with additional QE, despite reports to the contrary. * QE4 will be bigger than previous QE's and will precipitate higher oil prices. * The pretense that QE is over has fueled the market, but QE4 will trigger the bursting of multiple bubbles. Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Des 201430min

Was the U.S. Oil Boom Just Another Fed Inflated Bubble and is it Contained? Ep. 34

Was the U.S. Oil Boom Just Another Fed Inflated Bubble and is it Contained? Ep. 34

Was the U.S. Oil Boom Just Another Fed Inflated Bubble and is it Contained? Ep. 34 * If oil goes down to $35/barrel we will not be able to produce oil for export at that price. * It is no accident that oil prices are dropping as the Fed is ending QE. * What are the implications for the U.S. Economy if the Oil Bubble bursts? * Good jobs in the industry sector will go away. * Oil sector business loans will default * Investors will lose money. * The fallout will be bigger than the dot com bubble. * If oil was a bubble fueled by cheap Fed money, what's next? * If the collapsing oil prices threaten recession, the Fed may launch QE4. * If the Fed does not launch QE4, other bubbles will be affected. Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Des 201419min

Much Ado About Nothing and Economic-Policy Truthers Ep. 33

Much Ado About Nothing and Economic-Policy Truthers Ep. 33

Much Ado About Nothing and Economic-Policy Truthers Ep. 33 * Catalyst for the rally was the Retail Sales Report * Cars represent the largest part of the gain * Any slight good news is overblown * Bad news is ignored * Economy is not driven by spending * Economy is driven by savings and production * Gold stable and up on the year against the dollar * Those who question the Government's numbers are being called "Truthers" Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Des 201423min

Tax Loss Selling in Bitcoin Ep. 32

Tax Loss Selling in Bitcoin Ep. 32

Tax Loss Selling in Bitcoin Ep.32 * In 2014 Bitcoin was the worst-performing financial asset * Spending bitcoins triggers a taxable event * Spending or selling at a loss also reflects on your taxes * This holiday season, harvest tax losses while shopping * Write-off could exceed value of gift * You can also buy bitcoins back at a savings from original cost if you wait 30 days * Buy Gold and Silver while harvesting tax loss Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Des 201420min

Fannie and Freddie Guarantee Bigger Losses

Fannie and Freddie Guarantee Bigger Losses

* U.S. Taxpayers will be forced to guarantee mortgages with 3% down * Qualifiers are low-income or have not owned a home for 3 years * Government is spinning this as "prudent" * Buyers have very little skin in the game * If real estate prices plummet, walking away is an easy choice Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Des 201412min

Does Market Volatility Portend a Change of Trend? Ep. 30

Does Market Volatility Portend a Change of Trend? Ep. 30

* Stock market roller coaster ride this week * Chinese market plummets * Forex markets: Yen rallies after 7-year low * The Swiss may discourage the EU against QE * Unwarranted U.S.optimism as negative data is ignored * Gold and Silver strong despite bad press * Gold outperforming the Russel 2000 * Deficit in Manufactured Goods hit all-time high * China reports record trade surplus Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Des 201420min

Draghi Said ECB Considered Buying Every Asset Except Gold: Ep. 29

Draghi Said ECB Considered Buying Every Asset Except Gold: Ep. 29

* What is the goal of the "Inflation Mandate? * What is the exact number of the mandate? * If the real mandate is "less than 2%" they're already there * The European economy is expecting another QE, but I don't expect it. * How they plan QE if they don't know what they are going to buy? * Draghi cites success of U.S. QE, but the Fed has not shrunk its balance sheet. * They discussed buying all assets except gold because this would highlight failure of QE Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Des 201425min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
e24-podden
dine-penger-pengeradet
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
rss-vass-knepp-show
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
pengepodden-2
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
utbytte
rss-markedspuls-2
lederpodden
okonomiamatorene
rss-sunn-okonomi
rss-impressions-2
rss-investering-gjort-enkelt