The Great Rate Hike Hoax – Ep. 116

The Great Rate Hike Hoax – Ep. 116


* Here we go again; Janet Yellen was on Capitol Hill testifying about the banking system
* Forget about all her comments about how solvent the banking industry is - of course it's not
* The banking system is more vulnerable and more highly leveraged than before the bailout
* I am focusing on what she did or did not say about the Fed's intentions to raise rates in December and how the markets reacted
* Headlines following the testimony were about the probability that the Fed will raise rates in December
* The December meeting will be a live meeting with a rate hike on the table
* The official probability of a December rate hike rose from 50% to 60%
* When the Fed did not raise rates in October they removed language referencing concerns about international markets
* This was interpreted as a more hawkish stance on the part of the Fed
* The global economy was used as an excuse, but the Fed had no intention of raising rates in October
* In December when it doesn't raise rates, it'll use another excuse
* The markets wants to believe that the Fed will rates, and as soon as Yellen's comments were released, the dollar soared and gold tanked
* Let's look at what Janet Yellen actually said: first I am going to go to a Reuters story, Fed's Yellen sees possible December rate rise
* That's all it takes, just the mention of a possibility makes everybody jump to the conclusion it is going to happen
* Here's Yellen's quote directly from the artice:
* "What the committee has been expecting is that the economy will continue to grow at a pace that is sufficient to generate further improvements in the labor market and to return inflation to our 2 percent target over the medium term,"
* "If the incoming information supports that expectation then our statement indicates that December would be a live possibility."
* She is saying, if we get the improved data we're expecting
* The labor market has been weakening and the last two jobs numbers have been quite weak
* Yellen says it is possible if we get improvements we expect we will raise rates
* Anything is possible... it is more probable that she is not going to raise rates in December
* She actually says it's a long shot
* She's been saying this all year and it has not meant anything
* Reuters omitted from the article that Yellen followed up the above statement by reiterating that at this point, the Fed still has not made up its mind
* Another story from CNBC:Janet Yellen: December rate hike a 'live possibility'
* Here's a Yellen quote from this article:
* "Now no decision has been made on that and, what it will depend on, is the [Federal Open Market Committee's] assessment at the time. That assessment will be informed by all of the data that we collect between now and then,"
* This implies that they intend to collect data from now until the December meeting and make their decision on that data
* If the Fed does not know now, how different can the data be?
* If nothing is going to change, why not make a decision?
* Yellen's monetary policy is to pretend to raise rates and then not do it
* If you actually listen to what she is saying, it is far more probable that she won't raise rates, because thus far, we have not seen an improvement in the data she is tracking
* Even if the Fed sees improvements, they still might not raise rates
* Here's the one thing that Yellen is not doing: she does nothing to alter the false perception that a rate hike is likely
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Episoder(1075)

Wall Street Celebrates Low Inflation as Prices Soar - Ep 1003

Wall Street Celebrates Low Inflation as Prices Soar - Ep 1003

** Audio Fixed at 10:00 ** Biden’s farewell, Trump’s policies, market rally, inflation, commodity prices, and economic predictions.Get an extra 4 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldGet 25% off your subscription or try the app FREE for seven days at https://fitbod.me/goldPeter Schiff returns to his studio in Puerto Rico to cover a range of topics in this podcast. He reacts to Joe Biden's farewell address, discussing the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas and Biden's tenure. Schiff criticizes Biden's long career in government and questions the veracity of his accomplishments. The podcast also delves into recent market reactions to economic news, analyzing inflation reports, job statistics, and commodity price trends. Schiff highlights the challenges facing the U.S. economy under Trump's new term and stresses the importance of investing in gold and foreign stocks as a hedge against impending economic instability.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Back in the Studio: Winter Break is Over01:27 Biden's Farewell Address: Key Takeaways02:37 Critique of Biden's Presidency05:24 The Importance of Term Limits12:03 Inflation and Market Reactions14:05 Market Rally and Inflation Report Analysis22:33 Global Inflation Trends and Commodity Prices28:52 Investment Opportunities in Gold and Mining Stocks33:02 Empire State Manufacturing Index Plummets33:26 Stagflation and Trump's Economic Inheritance33:44 Producer Prices and Inflation Concerns35:05 Fed's Policy and Fiscal Stimulus Critique36:15 Jobs Report and Employment Quality39:07 Janet Yellen's Comments on Deficit Spending42:59 Trump's Tariff Plans and Economic Misconceptions51:00 California Wildfires: Economic Consequences59:49 Podcast Conclusion and Future Content#BidenFarewellAddress #inflation2025 #CaliforniaWildfiresPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Jan 58min

Soaring Commodity Prices Refute Inflation Forecasts - Ep 1002

Soaring Commodity Prices Refute Inflation Forecasts - Ep 1002

Discussing Trump's proposal to annex Canada, trade deficits, Biden's inflation handling, higher commodity prices, and challenges with U.S. economic policies.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode, Peter Schiff addresses the series of statements by Donald Trump regarding potential U.S. annexation of Canada and critiques the adverse impacts of Trump's and Biden's economic policies. Schiff delves into the U.S. trade deficit with Canada and Europe and the underlying economic inefficiencies that necessitate importing goods from these regions. Discussing the recent inflation surge and commodity prices hitting a 14-year high, he analyzes the Federal Reserve's missteps leading to rising consumer prices and the impact of U.S. debt, which has ballooned under successive presidencies. Schiff also covers government spending's role in driving inflation higher and touches on politically charged topics like steel production and trade sanctions. He emphasizes the ongoing structural imbalances, the role of government borrowing, and anticipates future impacts on the economy, urging a focus on precious metals and critical commodities for stability in turbulent times.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Canadian Politics02:07 Trump's Trade Deficit Claims04:10 Inflation and Economic Policies07:08 Commodity Prices Surge09:48 Interest Rates and Government Spending19:50 Technical Difficulties and Podcast Continuation21:41 National Debt and Future Predictions26:27 Economic Reality Check: Higher Rates and Recession26:55 Inflation Misconceptions and Market Mispricing27:25 Trump's Interest Rate Dilemma28:17 Commemorating 50 Years of Legal Gold Ownership30:18 Gold and Silver Investment Opportunities31:15 Currency Market Reactions and Tariff Talks33:50 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: The Trump Trade41:07 The Steel Industry and Economic Decline45:52 The Future of the U.S. Economy and Inflation50:55 Conclusion and Podcast Updates#Trump #Mexico #CanadaPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Jan 45min

Will 2025 Be the Year the Bubbles Finally Burst? - Ep 1001

Will 2025 Be the Year the Bubbles Finally Burst? - Ep 1001

Stock markets, gold's stability, inflation, and economic predictions.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldIn his latest podcast episode, Peter Schiff discusses significant movements within the economy, reacting to recent news in the market and politics. He begins by reflecting on his previous milestone podcast and wishes his listeners holiday greetings. Schiff provides in-depth analysis on the latest market trends, including the Dow's performance, the fluctuating gold and bond markets, and the Japanese government's bond yields. He critiques government spending policies, the inflationary impacts of rate cuts, and predicts a continuous rise in long-term treasury yields. Schiff also highlights the implications of a potential global financial shift, the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy, and the rising U.S. deficit. He concludes by warning of a looming economic crisis and the potential consequences for the U.S. dollar and global markets, while emphasizing the significance of investing wisely in these volatile times.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Holiday Greetings03:02 Market Overview and Stock Performance04:18 Gold and Bond Market Analysis07:05 Global Economic Trends and Predictions11:25 US Debt and Political Commentary15:43 Social Security Fairness Act21:20 Trade Deficit and Economic Concerns29:41 Bitcoin Reserve and USA Coin Proposal32:30 Bitcoin Bubble and Economic Distortions35:56 Economic Data and Market Reactions41:50 Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics46:39 Fed's Dilemma: Inflation vs. Recession54:36 Conclusion and Future Plans#inflation #cryptocurrency #stockmarketPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Des 202453min

The Great Rate Cut Rug Pull  - Ep 1000

The Great Rate Cut Rug Pull - Ep 1000

Jerome Powell's rate cut, market drops, economic risks, inflation, and the future of the economy.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldFor 20% off your Momentous order, head to https://livemomentous.com and use code GOLD.Laughing Cats https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8dIn this milestone 1000th episode of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast, Peter broadcasts from an unconventional setup due to technical issues, as he covers a dramatic day in the markets. Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve announces a 25 basis points interest rate cut to meet market expectations, but the stock market reacts negatively with significant losses. Peter discusses the historic losing streak in the Dow, investor optimism around speculative assets, and the financial risks posed by an expensive market amidst rising inflation and interest rates. He critiques Jerome Powell’s perception of a strong U.S. economy and labor market, highlighting negative data revisions and continuing economic vulnerabilities. Peter also addresses the implications of rising U.S. deficits, government spending, and a surging dollar on global inflation. He predicts further turbulence for the housing and financial markets, the potential for a bear market, and the likelihood of resumed Fed easing measures. Schiff concludes with insights on gold and silver investments, market disconnects, and political dynamics impacting economic policies.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Sponsorships01:31 Market Overview02:35 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Cut03:00 Market Reactions and Historical Context05:40 Gold and Stock Market Analysis15:56 Commercial Break17:23 Economic Indicators and Current Account Deficit22:24 Global Economic Impact and Predictions34:43 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Update35:02 Bitcoin's Decline and MicroStrategy's Moves35:47 Congress and Social Security Spending36:32 Trump's Stance on Bitcoin38:31 Economic Indicators and Manufacturing Data39:28 Retail Sales and Consumer Debt40:46 Fed's Monetary Policy and Market Reactions43:41 Industrial Production and Economic Weakness45:17 Fed's Press Conference and Rate Cuts48:31 Future Economic Predictions and Market Strategies01:00:11 Closing Remarks and Personal Updates#FederalReserve #InterestRates #StockMarketAnalysisPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Des 202459min

Exploding Debt to Reignite Inflation - Ep 999

Exploding Debt to Reignite Inflation - Ep 999

Peter Schiff discusses rising inflation, U.S. fiscal deficit, and accuses J5 of conspiring against his bank for a publicity stunt.Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderPeter Schiff dives deep into the latest economic news, uncovering alarming inflation reports, the soaring U.S. budget deficit, and misguided fiscal responses. He critically analyzes political and media narratives about the U.S. economy, especially those surrounding recent elections and economic policies under both Trump and Biden administrations. Schiff reveals bombshell evidence of IRS and J5 collusion in the shutdown of his offshore bank, dissecting the motivations and consequences of such government overreach. He provides insights into the global economic impact, the future of inflation, and offers advice on safeguarding financial assets. As always, Peter's perspective is a stark contrast to mainstream economic discourse, shedding light on often overlooked truths.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters00:00 Introduction and Opening Statements00:53 Sponsorship Message: Lucy01:20 Market and Inflation Overview01:59 Fiscal Deficit Concerns08:35 Inflation Data Analysis13:44 Gold and Inflation Paradox23:21 Trump's Economic Policies and Critique29:56 Predicting Political Shifts and Economic Trends30:38 Debunking Inflation Myths32:35 The Impact of Tariffs and Historical Parallels37:38 Revealing the IRS Conspiracy39:55 Smoking Gun Evidence and Legal Battles47:26 The Aftermath and Media Manipulation01:02:23 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Des 20241h 1min

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, Bitcoin scrutiny, and Trump's political stance.Mint Mobile: Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Nutrafol: Get $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff discusses the significant rise in gold prices, noting that gold is nearing its all-time high in Australian dollars and other currencies while lagging in the U.S. dollar. He explains the underperformance of gold mining stocks and touches on labor costs in Australia. Peter also critiques current market sentiments, especially around Bitcoin, arguing against Michael Saylor's extreme advocacy and highlighting the potential risks of institutional investments in Bitcoin. Schiff then shifts gears to politics, offering a critical analysis of Donald Trump's economic policies, including misleading claims about inflation and tariffs. He also examines Trump's stance on entitlements and his approach to immigration reform. Concluding with poignant contrasts between the Daniel Penny and Luigi Mangione cases, Peter offers a compelling narrative on the current socio-political climate.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Gold's Meteoric Rise and Market Analysis02:51 Gold Mining Stocks and Market Sentiment05:33 Silver's Performance and Investment Advice08:02 Bitcoin's Market Dynamics and Institutional Investments09:43 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Critical Comparison11:48 Political Influence on Bitcoin and Economic Policies20:40 Trump's Economic Claims and Tariff Policies35:54 Trade Deficits and Misconceptions37:33 Trump's Deportation Stance39:31 Youth Vote and Political Naivety41:18 Trump's Infallibility Complex42:38 Entitlement Reform and Obamacare46:49 Healthcare Industry and Insurance54:22 Contrasting Murders: Luigi and Penny01:02:22 Podcast Wrap-Up and Upcoming Topics#GoldMarket #BitcoinInvesting #USPoliticsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Des 202459min

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Discusses market's record highs, job report boosts, consumer sentiment post-Trump election, Bitcoin surge, and upcoming economic challenges.- Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.co- Go to https://legalzoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off.Peter Schiff discusses the new record highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, the slight downturn in the Dow, and the significant jump in consumer sentiment post-election. Schiff emphasizes the discrepancy between consumer optimism about Trump's election and his own skepticism. He critiques Jerome Powell's inflation forecast and the reliability of job reports, highlighting an ironic spike and drop in Bitcoin prices. Schiff touches upon job market anomalies, rising consumer credit despite high interest rates, and the potential implications of political changes on the financial market. He concludes with a critical view on the feasibility of the proposed 3-3-3 economic plan and the broader economic implications of Trump’s policies and Bitcoin expectations.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Market Update02:45 Consumer Sentiment and Election Impact05:34 Jobs Report Analysis06:12 Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride07:25 Economic Data and Government Jobs16:28 Bitcoin and Government Policies31:03 The Impact of Bitcoin on the Economy33:08 Consumer Credit Numbers Analysis36:34 Job Cuts and Unemployment Data37:10 Trade Deficit Insights39:31 Scott Bessent's Economic Plan45:58 Challenges of Reducing Budget Deficits54:48 Oil Production Goals and Economic Realities59:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Trump #economyPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Des 202456min

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Discussion on US comments, import/export dynamics, reserve currency, major exports, economic data trends, and constitutional aspects of the exit tax.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold😹 🎶 New music video 'Jerk' by Laughing Cats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLpkHV5JvEAPeter Schiff addresses comments from his previous podcast about America's imports and elaborates on the nation's dependency on them. He explains the significant trade deficit and America's reliance on the dollar's reserve currency status, which allows for importing more than exporting. Schiff also provides insights into the economic repercussions of this imbalance, highlighting the country's major exports. The podcast discusses the federal financial burden, economic data releases, and the consequences of high interest rates on national debt. Schiff finishes with commentary on current events, including Biden's pardon of Hunter and Roger Ver's tax evasion case challenging the constitutionality of the exit tax.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Addressing Comments02:10 America's Import and Export Dynamics03:39 Top 10 American Exports17:02 Economic Data and Market Reactions27:08 Interview with Jerome Powell36:14 The Debt Bubble and Interest Rates38:27 Promotions and Announcements42:06 Biden's Pardon of Hunter44:48 Fraud and Legal Battles51:10 Roger Ver and the Exit Tax01:04:14 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#JPowell #Fed #EconomyPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Des 20241h 2min

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