Stocks Start Year With Biggest Drop in 84 Years – Ep. 128

Stocks Start Year With Biggest Drop in 84 Years – Ep. 128


* The U.S. stock market opened the first trading day of 2016 with a bang, but not the type of bang the bulls were hoping for
* The Dow was down 276 points-it was down as much as 450 points in the last hour of trading
* In fact,we opened down 300 and change and we hung around the down 350 - 400, in fact down 276, at the close was about the best level of the day
* The NASDAQ closed down around 104
* The Dow Jones transports continues to get crushed - the weakest index on the day, down 156 points
* We're now down more than 20% from last year's high, officially in bear market territory in the Dow Jones transportation - and don't blame this on weak oil prices because transports benefit from weak oil prices
* This is all about weakness in the economy
* A lot of the carnage was blamed on China because China was down 7% overnight, the worst first day of the year in the history of Chinese stocks
* Supposedly the catalyst was a weaker than expected PMI in China - I don't believe for a second that the market was down 7% based on that report
* First, there were two PMI's released, and one was slightly better than estimates and the one that was slightly below came in at 48.2 vs. expectation of 49
* I think the Chinese market would have gone down regardless of the PMI numbers
* The irony of it is that our own recently-released Chicago PMI on New Year's Eve and our number was way worse than the Chinese number
* We were expecting 50, an improvement from 48.7 - instead we went down to 42.9
* Bad economic news in China creates a terrible response, but bad economic news in the U.S. and no one even cares!
* Why, because the Fed tells us everything is awesome and we can ignore all the evidence that the economy is far from awesome
* Singapore reported a 5.7% increase in GDP for its 4th quarter, yet that number is being discounted
* Yet no one wants to believe the good news from foreign governments, and no one believes bad news from the U.S. because the Fed's narrative is still out there
* We got more bad economic news today: We got another PMI manufacturing number expected to be 52.8, it came in at 51.2
* Even worse was the December ISM number - last month was 48.6 - it was expected to improve to 49.2- instead, it dropped to 48.2
* That's a bigger miss than China, yet no one here cared
* Also, construction spending was a huge miss: the consensus was for a gain of .7; instead we lost .4
* It gets worse, because last month the gain was expected to be a full point
* The numbers that came out today were so bad that the Atlanta Fed, who recently revised down its Q4 GDP forecast from 1.9 to 1.3 a week or so ago and today they went down to .7
* In my last podcast, I said that soon the Atlanta Fed is going to take their Q4 GDP estimate below 1 and that is just what they did
* We have a lot more bad economic data that is going to come out between now and the end of the month when we get the first estimate of Q4 GDP and there's a pretty good chance that it will be negative, which is halfway to a recession
* With a negative GDP in the 4th quarter, we have a better than 50/50 chance of having another negative GDP in the first quarter and that would put us officially in a recession
* Just in time for the Fed to raise interest rates again - Not!
* More people are coming to the same conclusion I have for a long time now, that the Fed had backed themselves into a corner and felt they had to raise rates regardless of the fact that the data didn't meet their criteria
* I knew that if the Fed raised interest rates that they would regret it because they would have to reverse their direction based on the weak economy combined with a weak market
* Interestingly, there has only been one year ending in "5", Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1075)

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

Peter Schiff discusses market sell-offs, stagflation, tariffs, gold vs. Bitcoin performance, Fed policies, economic shifts, government inefficiencies, and his legal battle over his bank's closure.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Go to https://linkedin.com/schiff to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply.Peter Schiff discusses recent stock market sell-offs, the impact of economic data pointing to stagflation, and the effects of tariffs. He highlights the divergences between gold and Bitcoin performances, emphasizing gold’s bullish trend and Bitcoin’s decline. Schiff explains the complications of stagflation for the Federal Reserve, economic repercussions of ongoing tariffs, and potential shifts in financial markets. He also touches on Trump's potential policy impacts and the inefficacies within government programs and unions. Schiff concludes with insights into his legal battle over his bank’s closure.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:54 Personal Update and Podcast Delay03:00 Stock Market Analysis05:22 Bitcoin vs. Gold14:16 Economic Data and Stagflation27:47 Tariffs and Market Impact32:49 Tariffs and Their Economic Impact33:39 Critique of Trump's Economic Advisors34:32 Globalization and Its Reversal35:19 Inflation and Domestic Money Supply37:54 Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations39:26 Impact of Car Tariffs44:17 Public Sector Unions and Government Spending52:01 Bitcoin and Government Financial Policies55:34 Personal Legal Battle and AI Analysis01:01:31 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Stagflation #Silver #BitcoinPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Mar 1h

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Peter Schiff discusses the Fed's unchanged interest rates, rising inflation, gold prices signaling monetary issues, and promotes gold and silver investments.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the recent FOMC announcement on interest rates remaining unchanged and critiques the Fed's dovish stance amid rising inflation. Schiff highlights the Fed's plan to slow quantitative tightening, rising gold prices as a warning of loose monetary policy, and calls for higher interest rates. He criticizes the Fed's handling of inflation expectations and the economic composition of job growth. Schiff also promotes gold and silver investments as protection against inflation.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:20 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Announcement02:15 Discussion on Quantitative Tightening05:59 Gold Prices and Market Signals12:27 Inflation Concerns and Monetary Policy19:16 Commercial Break and Sponsor Message20:36 Special Offers on Gold and Silver26:38 Analysis of Tariffs and Inflation30:38 Fed's Shift in Inflation Expectations31:14 Powell's Dismissal of Five-Year Inflation Concerns32:23 Consumer Sentiment and Price Levels33:49 Fed's Inflation Averaging Policy38:30 Government Jobs vs. Private Sector Jobs41:46 US National Debt and Borrowing Challenges49:18 Critique of Fed's Independence and Policy54:45 Investment Advice and Market Trends#FederalReserve #inflation #goldPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Mar 56min

Instead of Treasuries, Investors Are Buying Foreign Stocks - Ep 1017

Instead of Treasuries, Investors Are Buying Foreign Stocks - Ep 1017

Peter Schiff discusses market rallies, gold-silver divergence, investment strategies, inflation impacts, consumer sentiment, and criticizes U.S. monetary policies and government interventions.Head to https://lumen.me/gold for 20% off your purchase.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses the recent stock market rally and the historic rise in gold prices, highlighting the significant divergence between gold and silver performance. He advises investors to focus on precious metals, particularly silver, and gold mining stocks. Peter critiques the modern investment tendencies of young people towards cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, arguing for the wisdom of following central bankers who are turning to gold. He also delves into the latest inflation data and its market impact, along with a strong critique of government policies and their consequences on the economy. Additionally, Peter shares a recent FOIA production from his lawsuits against the government, revealing potential misconduct by IRS agents.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:34 Gold and Silver Market Analysis05:53 Investment Strategies and Insider Insights17:52 Inflation and Economic Indicators20:44 Consumer Sentiment and Political Commentary34:08 Tech Investment Trends and Market Shifts35:16 Performance of Various Funds in 202340:20 Contrarian Indicators and Market Predictions44:30 Debate on SEC and FDIC50:33 Legal Battles and Government Transparency01:03:39 Conclusion and Call to Action#Finance #StockMarket #InvestmentsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Mar 1h 4min

The Fed Can’t Save the Market or the Economy - Ep 1016

The Fed Can’t Save the Market or the Economy - Ep 1016

Peter discusses market drops, tariffs, AI and crypto trends, and recommends considering gold stocks and foreign markets over U.S. due to changing economic conditions.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses his perspective on recent market volatility, the implications of tariff changes announced by Trump, and the ongoing shifts in key financial assets. He highlights significant market drops, including a thousand-point dip in the Dow and a 30% decline in Bitcoin since late January. Peter sheds light on the potential 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and shares his concerns about the Trump administration's economic policies, particularly regarding tariffs on Canadian aluminum and steel. He criticizes the government's regulatory bodies and outlines the impact of weakening US dollar on global investments. Additionally, Peter emphasizes the importance of gold stocks as a hedge and predicts continued outperformance of foreign markets and commodities.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview02:14 Stock Market Analysis03:18 Impact of Tariffs and Trade Policies05:58 Cryptocurrency and Bitcoin Trends09:40 Gold and Foreign Markets20:12 Commercial Break21:35 Japanese Rate Hike and Global Impact31:35 Impact of Closing the US-Canada Border32:56 Canada's Alternative Markets33:37 American Consumers and Tariffs33:58 Personal Anecdote: Football Manufacturing35:46 Challenges of Rebuilding American Manufacturing37:07 Critique of Government Spending and Regulation39:38 The Role of the SEC and Financial Regulation43:12 Historical Perspective on Market Crashes50:04 The Future of the US Economy56:27 Investment Advice and Conclusion#stockmarket #cryptocurrency #inflationPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Mar 58min

US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015

US Stocks and Dollar Tank. What’s Next? - Ep 1015

Peter Schiff discusses market drops, tariff impacts, Trump's Bitcoin reserve, and advocates for foreign stocks and gold investments.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldStart your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter analyzes a turbulent week in financial markets, highlighting significant declines across major US indices such as the Dow, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000. He discusses the impact of weak economic data, rising bond yields, and currency movements, particularly in Germany and Japan. Peter also critiques the Trump administration's tariff policies and their misconceptions, emphasizing that tariffs harm American consumers rather than foreign economies. Additionally, he delves into the controversial establishment of a US Bitcoin reserve, interpreting it as a non-committal move. Peter concludes by advising listeners to invest in foreign markets, precious metals, and emerging markets for better returns.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:19 Market Overview and Financial Insights02:56 Stock Market Performance Analysis05:56 Global Economic Trends and Predictions12:31 Investment Strategies and Recommendations20:49 Jobs Data and Economic Indicators27:31 Tariffs and Cryptocurrency Discussion34:25 Impact of Tariffs on Canadian and US Economies34:59 Misconceptions About Tariffs and Economic Strength36:11 The Real Cost of Tariffs on American Consumers38:50 Challenges in Reviving US Manufacturing40:50 Political and Economic Realities of Tariffs46:32 Crypto Manipulation and Insider Trading50:19 Trump's Bitcoin Reserve Announcement55:48 Economic Predictions and Investment Advice01:03:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Gold #TrumpPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Mar 1h 1min

Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014

Trump’s Crypto Pump - Ep 1014

Peter Schiff exposes crypto market manipulations by Trump's team, critiques Social Security as a Ponzi scheme, and analyzes recent concerning economic data. #trump #bitcoin #cryptoSponsor Promotions- Stash: Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.- Shopify: Sign up for a $1/month trial at https://shopify.com/goldEpisode OverviewIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter dives into the recent surge in the cryptocurrency market and the alleged manipulation stemming from a post on Donald Trump's Truth Social account. He scrutinizes the drama surrounding Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, Ripple, and other altcoins, highlighting strategic timing and insider trading. Peter also discusses the anticipated, but non-existent, establishment of a US crypto reserve and the potential implications for the market. Shifting focus, Peter touches on various economic updates, including the massive US trade deficit, unemployment claims, GDP projections, and the real estate bear market. Furthermore, he criticizes the Social Security system, labeling it as a Ponzi scheme, while urging for major reforms. To cap it off, Peter reflects on his experience with media manipulation and his ongoing legal battles concerning his bank.---Chapters / Timestamps:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Crypto Market Analysis03:22 Trump's Crypto Reserve Announcement09:28 Critique of Government Involvement in Crypto22:04 Economic Data and Trade Deficit33:28 Job Market and Unemployment Concerns35:21 Housing Market Woes35:51 Manufacturing and Economic Indicators36:48 Personal Income and Spending37:27 Inflation and the Fed's Dilemma38:38 Zelensky's Visit and Media Critique43:31 Trump's Budget Ambitions45:56 Golden Visas and Tax Exemptions49:26 Joe Rogan and Elon Musk on Media and Social Security01:03:49 Gold and Silver Market Update01:05:37 Conclusion and Final Thoughts---Useful Links & Resources:Peter's Most Valuable Insights: https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsSchiff Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books---Call to Action:If you enjoyed this episode, please hit the like button, leave a comment with your thoughts, and subscribe for more in-depth analyses and market insights!---Connect with Peter Schiff:X / Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Mar 1h 3min

The Trump Crypto Bubble Already Burst - Ep 1013

The Trump Crypto Bubble Already Burst - Ep 1013

Peter Schiff covers market trends, inflation fears, Trump’s tariffs, crypto decline, and promotes his wife's music on Spotify.My wife's songs. https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8dPublic Rec - Upgrade your wardrobe instantly and save 20% off with the code GOLD at https://publicrec.com/peterSelectQuote - Get the RIGHT life insurance for YOU, for LESS, at https://selectquote.com/schiffPeter Schiff discusses the impact of stagflation on the US economy, significant market changes, and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market. He highlights falling consumer confidence, the influence of tariffs, and potential moves in gold and oil prices. Schiff also critiques Federal Reserve policies and addresses issues in the US automotive and trade industries. Lastly, he reflects on personal memories and shares updates on his and his wife's recent projects. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Market Overview01:10 US Treasury Market Rally01:52 Stagflation Concerns02:41 Consumer Confidence and Inflation04:33 Oil Prices and Economic Slowdown07:04 Bitcoin and Crypto Market Analysis14:17 Gold Market Insights21:36 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Strategy27:44 Personal Announcements and Reflections30:42 Promoting My Wife's Music31:21 Upcoming Song Release35:06 Silver Market Update36:06 Trade and Tariffs Discussion40:26 Understanding VAT and Tariffs53:36 Critique of Government Spending57:44 Conclusion#Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Feb 56min

Markets Tank as Stagflation Rears its Head - Ep 1012

Markets Tank as Stagflation Rears its Head - Ep 1012

Markets dropped sharply; Dow down 750 pts, S&P 1.7%, Nasdaq 2.2%. Rise in stagflation feared, weak economic data, high inflation. Gold stocks hit, despite gold's gains. Japanese inflation surge discussed. Remembering Irwin Schiff.Get 25% off your subscription or try the app FREE for seven days at https://fitbod.me/gold.LinkedIn.com/SCHIFF to post your job for free. Terms and conditions applyPeter provides a comprehensive analysis of the recent downturn in the U.S. stock markets, with notable losses across major indexes due to a Friday rout. He highlights the significant declines in the Dow Jones, S&P, NASDAQ, and particularly the Russell 2000, which has entered correction territory. Peter explains the broader implications of rising inflation expectations and deteriorating consumer confidence, the impact on existing home sales, and the worrying data from the PMI reports. He discusses the Federal Reserve's lack of strategy for stagflation and critiques their handling of inflation expectations. The episode also covers international economic concerns, including rising Japanese inflation and its effects on global markets. Peter emphasizes the potential of gold stocks despite recent declines and encourages investment in Euro Pacific's gold fund, detailing the strong earnings reports from gold mining companies. The segment concludes with a poignant tribute to his father, Irwin Schiff, highlighting his controversial stance on income tax enforcement and offering insights from Irwin's speeches and writings.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:59 Stock Market Performance Analysis03:01 Impact on Gold Stocks04:11 Stagflation Concerns and Fed's Response06:30 Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations11:58 Economic Data and Market Reactions17:32 Japanese Inflation and Global Implications25:06 Gold Stocks Performance and Investment Advice35:22 Election Fever in Germany36:26 Italy's Remodeling Program: A Case of Government Waste39:31 Germany's Political Landscape: A Deep Dive50:52 Remembering Irwin Schiff: A Personal Tribute56:21 The Federal Income Tax Debate01:04:23 Closing Thoughts and Market Predictions#StockMarket #Inflation #StagflationPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Feb 1h 3min

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