BOJ Goes Negative, 2 Down 1 To Go ! – Ep. 136
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast30 Jan 2016

BOJ Goes Negative, 2 Down 1 To Go ! – Ep. 136


* First it was the ECB, and then it was the Bank of Japan, cutting interest rates overnight to -.1%
* That is the first time in this 20-year experiment of cheap money - I think they've been at zero, but they've never gone negative until just now
* One of the most ironic aspects of the move is that Kuroda, just 8 days ago told the Japanese Parliament that the Bank of Japan was not seriously considering negative interest rates, yet in a span of a week, they went from not considering it, to actually doing it!
* In fact, what Kuroda said is that, not only have they moved rates to negative, they may make them even more negative in the future, so no who knows how much more negative they will go
* He also hinted that they might expand their asset purchase program, their own Quantitative Easing
* That was enough to send global stock market rising, in fact, here in the U.S. the Dow Jones finished up almost 400 points - 396 points - the NASDAQ was up better than 100 points
* Obviously this is still a big down month, but not the worse January ever
* As I said from the beginning, 2 out of 3 ain't bad, but it won't work
* The Fed is going to have to join the rate-cutting party
* Right now the Fed is the lone hold-out among central banks and that is still helping the dollar
* The dollar was very strong today against the yen and also against the euro - the dollar index now almost back up to 100
* The QE currencies got clobbered
* The economic data in the U.S. is not good. We got the first estimate of Q4 GDP
* When the year began, everybody was looking for Q4 to be around 2 - 2.5%
* As all the horrible economic news poured in throughout the quarter, expectations gradually reduced so that by yesterday, the consensus for Q4 was just .9%
* We managed to come in below that at .7%
* I have been saying that by the time we get the final revision of this GDP number, we could be below zero. It doesn't take much to take an initial estimate of .7 to below zero and we still have more data on Q4 coming out, that will bear on this, and I think the data will be bad news
* The only way the government could manufacture a GDP of .7 was to pretend that the inflation rate was just .8, and of course, the Fed supposedly have this 2% target and they need to raise rates to get to 2%
* That means nominal GDP is only going up 1.5%, which means if the inflation rate is actually higher than 1.5%, then we are in a contraction
* In fact, I've pointed this out many times before, if we had an honest look at inflation in the GDP, I think it would reveal that the economy has been in recession for almost the entire recovery, which makes more sense to me, because this recovery feels a lot like a recession
* It's not like any other recovery we've ever experienced, and maybe that's because it's not a recovery - it's a recession
* I think the recession is going to get a whole lot worse, because of what's going on
* The way the media has been spinning this all day, even though they have reported that the GDP is .7, they are reporting that for the entire year, GDP grew by 2.4% for 2015.
* Just Google it yourself: any article on the U.S. economy and GDP states that the economy grew by 2.4% in 2015
* That's not true! The actual growth rate is 1.8%
* If the economy grew by 1.8%, why is the media spinning the story at 2.4%?
* Here's what's going on: if you just measure the increase in GDP from December 31, 2014 through December 31 2015, the increase is 1.8%. That is how to measure the GDP. It grew 1.8%.
* The government doesn't want to admit that because 1.8% is a pretty low number, the lowest it's been in 3 years, and why would the Fed wait for the lowest annual growth rate in 3 years to finally raise rates, in fact why did they wait for a quarter when it was... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1086)

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

Episode 5 Synopsis: * Debunking Ned Davis' predictions on gold * Chicago Fed president Charles Evans hints that the Fed can't raise interest rates * Alan Greenspan gives Fed a pass on CNBC * Brokerage houses hit by FINRA arbritation results * Eurozone low inflation 'scare' * Collapse in Fannie and Freddie stock * The numbers behind the weekly economic data Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Okt 20142h 24min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

Episode 4 Synopsis * Launch of the iPhone 6 * Surprising employment arbitration results * Housing market rolls over * Hotel minimum wage * World Bank head claims that QE works Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Sep 20142h 23min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3 Synopsis: * FOMC: Janet Yellen's official statement and her response to her Q&A, later in the day * Market reaction to Yellen's statement, and the "walk" vs the "talk". * The Ali Baba IPO * The breakdown in the price of Bitcoin * My crazy email exchange with CNBC's Joe Kernen * Scotland votes to remain in the UK Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Sep 20142h 4min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2 Synopsis * Economic Data - More weak data * Purchase applications index declined by 7.2% - biggest decline in 14 years * Treasury yields slightly up for the week * Retail sales up - Buying more or paying more? * auto purchases with cheap money * inflation not taken into account * Auto loans increasingly delinquent * Fed Policy * I'll admit to being wrong if the Fed raises interest rates back to normal and shrinks its balance sheet back to normal, as promised, and does not produce a financial crisis. * Interest Rates * Negative Interest Rates in Japan and in Switzerland * Inflation * Paul Krugman says we should be at 4% inflation and a minimum wage of $10.10 * Commentary on Henry Blodgett's inflation comments * Column from David K. Johnson on how corporations are getting rich by paying taxes * Employment * Jobless claims up, indicating a trend change * The Economy * Recognizing bubbles ahead of the crisis * Europe - Poll on Scottish independence * Social Issues: * The NBA in the hot seat for racism * Over-reaction to the Ray Rice story Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Sep 20142h 3min

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1  Synopsis: * Wall Street foolishly dismisses August's horrible Jobs Report * ECB cuts rates in misguided push for higher inflation. * "Shrink-flation," what is it and why those using the term still don't get it. * Implications of Switzerland's coming gold reserve vote . * Protesting Fast food workers determined to put themselves out of work. * Does Alibaba's biggest IPO in history shows portent more interest in foreign stocks? * Countrywide's Anthony Mozilo is not the real villain. * NY Fed concedes 25% of college grads wasted their time and money. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Sep 20141h 52min

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Happy Holidays!, Due to the holidays, Peter Schiff Show is airing best-of broadcasts. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Jan 201449min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
e24-podden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
rss-vass-knepp-show
utbytte
pengepodden-2
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
okonomiamatorene
rss-markedspuls-2
lederpodden
rss-sunn-okonomi
rss-fa-makro
rss-fri-kontantstrom