BOJ Goes Negative, 2 Down 1 To Go ! – Ep. 136

BOJ Goes Negative, 2 Down 1 To Go ! – Ep. 136


* First it was the ECB, and then it was the Bank of Japan, cutting interest rates overnight to -.1%
* That is the first time in this 20-year experiment of cheap money - I think they've been at zero, but they've never gone negative until just now
* One of the most ironic aspects of the move is that Kuroda, just 8 days ago told the Japanese Parliament that the Bank of Japan was not seriously considering negative interest rates, yet in a span of a week, they went from not considering it, to actually doing it!
* In fact, what Kuroda said is that, not only have they moved rates to negative, they may make them even more negative in the future, so no who knows how much more negative they will go
* He also hinted that they might expand their asset purchase program, their own Quantitative Easing
* That was enough to send global stock market rising, in fact, here in the U.S. the Dow Jones finished up almost 400 points - 396 points - the NASDAQ was up better than 100 points
* Obviously this is still a big down month, but not the worse January ever
* As I said from the beginning, 2 out of 3 ain't bad, but it won't work
* The Fed is going to have to join the rate-cutting party
* Right now the Fed is the lone hold-out among central banks and that is still helping the dollar
* The dollar was very strong today against the yen and also against the euro - the dollar index now almost back up to 100
* The QE currencies got clobbered
* The economic data in the U.S. is not good. We got the first estimate of Q4 GDP
* When the year began, everybody was looking for Q4 to be around 2 - 2.5%
* As all the horrible economic news poured in throughout the quarter, expectations gradually reduced so that by yesterday, the consensus for Q4 was just .9%
* We managed to come in below that at .7%
* I have been saying that by the time we get the final revision of this GDP number, we could be below zero. It doesn't take much to take an initial estimate of .7 to below zero and we still have more data on Q4 coming out, that will bear on this, and I think the data will be bad news
* The only way the government could manufacture a GDP of .7 was to pretend that the inflation rate was just .8, and of course, the Fed supposedly have this 2% target and they need to raise rates to get to 2%
* That means nominal GDP is only going up 1.5%, which means if the inflation rate is actually higher than 1.5%, then we are in a contraction
* In fact, I've pointed this out many times before, if we had an honest look at inflation in the GDP, I think it would reveal that the economy has been in recession for almost the entire recovery, which makes more sense to me, because this recovery feels a lot like a recession
* It's not like any other recovery we've ever experienced, and maybe that's because it's not a recovery - it's a recession
* I think the recession is going to get a whole lot worse, because of what's going on
* The way the media has been spinning this all day, even though they have reported that the GDP is .7, they are reporting that for the entire year, GDP grew by 2.4% for 2015.
* Just Google it yourself: any article on the U.S. economy and GDP states that the economy grew by 2.4% in 2015
* That's not true! The actual growth rate is 1.8%
* If the economy grew by 1.8%, why is the media spinning the story at 2.4%?
* Here's what's going on: if you just measure the increase in GDP from December 31, 2014 through December 31 2015, the increase is 1.8%. That is how to measure the GDP. It grew 1.8%.
* The government doesn't want to admit that because 1.8% is a pretty low number, the lowest it's been in 3 years, and why would the Fed wait for the lowest annual growth rate in 3 years to finally raise rates, in fact why did they wait for a quarter when it was... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1086)

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell’s hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell’s capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed’s coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump’s Pressure and Powell’s “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin’s Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel’s 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Aug 1h 1min

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Peter Schiff is joined by James Hickman, a.k.a. Simon Black of Sovereign Man, to discuss the U.S. debt crisis, the Federal Reserve’s future, and why America may be headed toward a sovereign debt and dollar collapse.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite.Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this special edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter welcomes longtime friend and entrepreneur James Hickman, best known by his pen name Simon Black. Together, they dive into the launch of their new joint project Schiff Sovereign, the growing U.S. debt disaster, and the Trump administration’s controversial plan to take control of the Federal Reserve.00:00 Introduction and Special Guest Announcement02:34 James Hickman: The Man Behind Simon Black04:01 The Birth of Schiff Sovereign05:27 Introducing James to the Audience09:01 The US Debt Crisis Unveiled14:25 Historical Context and Interest Rates21:21 The Fed's Role and Future Challenges25:41 Trump Administration's Plan for the Fed25:52 Money Heist: A Metaphor for the Fed30:03 Economic Data Manipulation30:59 Control of the Central Bank31:20 Unusual Resignation at the Fed32:35 Political Influence on the Fed34:24 Mortgage Fraud Scandal36:26 Implications of Rate Cuts36:58 Treasury Strategies and Debt Refinancing40:14 Stablecoins and the Genius Act49:46 Historical Context and Future Predictions50:25 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac01:02:43 Concluding Thoughts and Future PodcastsFollow @peterschiff  X: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #debtcrisis #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Aug 1h 4min

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Peter Schiff examines the surprising PPI surge, critiques economic data, and addresses the implications for inflation and the Fed's policies.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff dives into the latest economic data, revealing how a surprising PPI surge has dashed hopes for a September rate cut. He critiques the government’s misleading job numbers and discusses the implications of a growing budget deficit on the economy. Schiff also highlights the troubling trend of inflation, emphasizing the Fed's failure to act appropriately amidst worsening economic indicators. With insights on the gold and silver markets, he underscores the importance of understanding the true state of the economy, challenging the narratives promoted by politicians and the mainstream media. This episode is essential for anyone looking to grasp the reality of today’s financial landscape through Schiff’s candid analysis.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Hurricane Impact and Podcast Continuation01:37 Disappointing Economic Data Analysis02:55 Trump's Reaction to Job Numbers08:36 Inflation and Fed's Response16:53 Budget Deficit and Economic Comparison20:58 Tariffs and Legal Challenges27:56 Gold and Silver Market Insights33:52 Big Funds and Gold Stocks34:57 Gold Fund and Dividend Payers35:33 Global Investment Shifts37:04 Bank Receivership and Qenta Deal40:08 Qenta's Asset Handling Issues46:11 Legal Battles and Customer Rights53:11 Organizing Customer Lawsuits01:04:15 Final Thoughts and Call to Action#PPI #EconomicData #GoldMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Aug 1h 4min

How Trump Is Accelerating America’s Economic Decline - Ep 1035

How Trump Is Accelerating America’s Economic Decline - Ep 1035

Peter Schiff examines gold market dynamics, critiques Trump's economic policies, and discusses investment strategies amidst rising market trends.This episode is sponsored by HIMs. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deeply into the current dynamics of the gold market, highlighting the significant impact of tariffs and Trump's economic policies on gold and its stocks. Listeners will gain insights into the asymmetric opportunities within gold stocks, the performance of Bitcoin compared to gold, and the ongoing de-dollarization trend. Schiff emphasizes the importance of recognizing the risks and rewards in today's market, urging investors to consider their strategies carefully. With a focus on international markets and the future of U.S. manufacturing, this episode encapsulates Schiff's unyielding perspective on economic realities, making it a must-listen for those seeking to navigate the complexities of investment in a turbulent financial landscape.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:03:01 Gold Market Insights04:30 Impact of Tariffs on Gold08:30 Gold Stocks Performance11:14 Bitcoin vs. Gold14:24 Investment Strategies and Fund Performance19:49 US Dollar and International Markets24:20 Trump's Economic Policies31:19 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac History36:26 Government Takeover of Fannie and Freddie37:02 Trump's Plan for Fannie and Freddie38:11 The Implicit vs. Explicit Guarantee Debate39:48 The Case for Abolishing Fannie and Freddie43:55 Trump's Economic Policies and Their Impact44:57 The Future of US Manufacturing49:37 Investment Strategies and Market Trends53:21 Personal Investment Performance and Advice58:45 Upcoming Events and Final Thoughts#goldinvesting #economictrends #marketanalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Aug 1h 7min

Trump Fires BLS Commissioner, Agitates for Fed Mutiny - Ep 1034

Trump Fires BLS Commissioner, Agitates for Fed Mutiny - Ep 1034

Peter Schiff critiques the latest jobs report, dissects the implications of Trump's tariffs, and explores the weak labor market and economic realities.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the deceptive nature of recent job reports, highlighting how misleading statistics mask a weak labor market. He critiques the government's methodology in reporting job creation, emphasizing the significant downward revisions that undermine the perceived strength of the economy. Schiff discusses the implications of rising tariffs on consumer prices and how they contribute to stagflation, ultimately leading to a precarious economic outlook. As he analyzes the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates amidst these troubling indicators, Schiff reinforces his belief that the realities of the labor market and inflation are far more dire than official narratives suggest. Tune in for an insightful examination of the economic landscape through Schiff's candid lens.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction to the Jobs Report00:42 Historical Context of Economic Indicators01:22 Critique of Recent Job Reports03:32 Revisions and Market Reactions06:42 Current Jobs Report Analysis08:23 Unemployment Rate and Labor Market Realities10:59 Manufacturing Job Losses15:43 Trump's Reaction and Firing of Labor Department Head23:44 Economic Data and Market Implications26:50 Federal Reserve Meeting Insights29:47 Fed's Inflation Struggles and Policy Decisions31:22 Powell's Response to Interest Burden Concerns33:41 Impact of Tariffs on Inflation and Economy37:04 Rolex Tariffs and Consumer Behavior42:37 Trump's Influence on Fed and Rate Cuts55:30 Upcoming Appearances and Personal Updates#JobsReport #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Aug 1h

Trump Calls Powell Too Dumb for “Easiest Job” - Ep 1033

Trump Calls Powell Too Dumb for “Easiest Job” - Ep 1033

Peter Schiff examines Trump’s misguided economic critiques, delves into inflation's impact, and challenges the Fed’s policies in this episode.Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the contentious relationship between former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Schiff highlights Trump’s pointed criticisms of Powell's economic policies, framing them within a broader historical context of interest rates and inflation. As Schiff navigates the complexities of government spending and its impacts on the economy, he emphasizes the inherent contradictions in Trump's past economic stances. Additionally, the episode touches on significant issues such as voting rights and the implications for future generations. With Schiff's keen analysis, listeners will gain a deeper understanding of the economic landscape and the policies that shape it, reinforcing his perspective on the pressing realities facing the nation.📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Headlines00:55 Trump's Criticism of Fed Chair Powell06:13 Historical Context of Interest Rates10:07 Trump's Hypocrisy on Economic Policies22:00 Inflation and the Fed's Response29:43 Critique of Government Spending and Policies32:47 Lowering the Voting Age in the UK33:44 Debating the Voting Age37:26 Historical Context of Voting Rights44:51 Crypto Week and Legislation46:17 Bitcoin and Stable Coins Analysis51:55 Precious Metals Market Update57:59 Conclusion and Call to Action#Trump #InterestRates #VotingRightsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Jul 57min

Investors Bet Tariff Man Chickens Out Again - 1032

Investors Bet Tariff Man Chickens Out Again - 1032

Peter Schiff examines the impact of Trump's tariffs on the economy, critiques government spending bills, and emphasizes the urgency of investing in precious metals.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the current state of the economy, focusing on the implications of recent trade deals and tariffs announced by the Trump administration. He highlights the detrimental effects of these tariffs on American consumers, arguing that they will lead to higher prices and increased inflation, ultimately hurting the very economy they aim to protect. Schiff also reflects on American exceptionalism, the significance of government policies on economic growth, and the troubling rise of socialist ideals in politics. Listeners will gain insight into the ongoing economic challenges and the misguided policies that threaten to undermine market stability. Tune in as Peter Schiff navigates through these pressing issues, providing his keen analysis and perspective on the future of the U.S. economy.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ifM-zmNWQiohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qd15JoUnEfE👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction01:23 Reflecting on American Exceptionalism03:59 Latino Wall Street Award06:32 Trade Deals and Tariffs Analysis19:22 Impact of Tariffs on the Economy25:20 Commercial Break27:36 Jobs Report and Economic Insights29:34 Government Jobs and Economic Impact30:01 Manufacturing and Tariffs30:52 Unemployment Rates and Labor Market31:43 The Budget Busting Bill33:33 Tax Cuts and Economic Consequences41:36 Democratic Policies and Socialism51:41 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions55:04 Podcast Conclusion and Future Plans#tariffs #economicimpact #investorinsightsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Jul 57min

Trump Will Replace Powell With an Even Bigger Moron - Ep 1031

Trump Will Replace Powell With an Even Bigger Moron - Ep 1031

Peter Schiff delves into the Middle East conflict's impact on markets, the Fed's shortcomings, and the implications of a declining dollar on the economy.00:00 Introduction and Apology for Absence01:04 Cruise Ship Experience and Real Estate Summit02:12 Unexpected Encounter with a Podcast Fan03:09 Recent Global Events: Middle East Conflict07:10 Financial Market Movements and Analysis13:08 Precious Metals and Currency Trends20:11 Federal Reserve and Economic Policies25:13 Powell's Testimony and National Debt Concerns37:39 Trump's Reaction to Fed's Rate Decisions39:09 Powell's Stance on the Dollar and Inflation43:13 Criticism of Budget Deficits and Fiscal Policy44:14 Trump's Economic Claims and Hypocrisy49:49 Fed's Role in Deficit Spending53:22 Student Loans and Government's Role01:01:15 Investment Advice on Gold and Silver01:06:59 Conclusion and Final Thoughts⭐️ Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟨 Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Jun 1h 8min

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