Is Nov. Trump Victory More Likely Than Dec  Rate Hike? – Ep. 207

Is Nov. Trump Victory More Likely Than Dec Rate Hike? – Ep. 207


* Today the possibility of a Fed rate hike in December rose about 10 points
* We're now at about an 80% probability, at least the way the markets assess the odds
* That the Fed will raise rates in December after failing to raise rates today
* If you remember, after they didn't raise rates last time there was some probability of a November rate hike
* But by this morning, the probability of November had pretty much been reduced to about zero
* With everybody believing that the Fed would raise rates in December
* And now, as a result of their failure to hike in November
* The probability apparently is now higher based on the language of their non-hike
* This, despite the fact that there were only 2 dissenters when the Fed didn't raise interest rates the last time they met
* Three members voted to hike and six voted not to hike
* This time it was 7 to 2 in favor of not hiking
* So what happened between meetings that caused the one guy who wanted to hike rates last time to decide he doesn't want to hike rates now?
* Is it possible that some data came out over the course of those weeks that caused him to re-assess his feelings about the strength of the economy
* And if so, why is that member going to flip back to "hike" in December, after just flipping to "no hike"
* Is it pure politics?

Our Sponsors: * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1095)

Trump Will Replace Powell With an Even Bigger Moron - Ep 1031

Trump Will Replace Powell With an Even Bigger Moron - Ep 1031

Peter Schiff delves into the Middle East conflict's impact on markets, the Fed's shortcomings, and the implications of a declining dollar on the economy.00:00 Introduction and Apology for Absence01:04...

30 Jun 20251h 8min

Elon Musk Blows the Whistle - Ep 1030

Elon Musk Blows the Whistle - Ep 1030

Trump's economic policies, explores the weak labor market, and warns of impending inflationary pressures.Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.c...

9 Jun 202557min

Gold Bull In a Bitcoin Conference - Ep 1029

Gold Bull In a Bitcoin Conference - Ep 1029

Peter Schiff discusses his experiences at the Bitcoin 2025 conference, recent market trends, and critiques various economic policies, emphasizing the importance of prudent investment strategies and sk...

2 Jun 202553min

The Sell America Trade Gathers Momentum - Ep 1028

The Sell America Trade Gathers Momentum - Ep 1028

Peter Schiff discusses recent financial market turmoil, significant growth in precious metals, and critiques Trump's policies and actions.This episode is sponsored by Square. Get up to $200 off Square...

26 Mai 20251h 12min

Trade Truce Puts Budget Deficits In Focus - Ep 1027

Trade Truce Puts Budget Deficits In Focus - Ep 1027

Peter Schiff analyzes the stock market relief rally, criticizes Trump's trade policies and tariffs, and argues that the new tax bill and economic issues are not being properly addressed.This episode i...

16 Mai 20251h 1min

Another Fake Trump Trade Win - Ep 1026

Another Fake Trump Trade Win - Ep 1026

Peter Schiff rebukes Wall Street's false triumph over a China trade deal, dissects Trump's failed tariffs, and criticizes misguided drug pricing policies and questionable gifts from foreign nations.Si...

13 Mai 20251h 4min

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Peter Schiff analyzes the Federal Reserve's unchanged rates, critiques Trump's economic claims, and predicts the fallout from current trade policies.Sponsored by NetSuite. Download the CFO’s Guide to ...

8 Mai 20251h 4min

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Peter Schiff critiques the April stock market rally, U.S.-China trade war optimism, misleading economic indicators, and the ethical implications of the 'Executive Branch' social club.Sponsored by Stas...

3 Mai 20251h 6min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
e24-podden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
pengepodden-2
utbytte
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
pengesnakk
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
okonomiamatorene
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
lederpodden
finansredaksjonen
rss-markedspuls-2
flypodden
rss-finansforum-2
rss-kantsonen