Twin Deficits May Doom Stock Market Boom
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast6 Jan 2018

Twin Deficits May Doom Stock Market Boom

Schiffreport: January 5, 2018
Trump: We Will Win on Trade
Earlier this morning the government released the December Nonfarm payrolls report, AKA the Jobs Number. But rather than start with that, I want to talk about another number that was released at the exact same time. It unfortunately gets very little attention in the media, in fact nobody has really paid attention to this number since the late 1980's - early 1990's. Of course, I am talking about the trade deficit. In fact when Donald Trump ran for office, he actually made the trade deficit an issue in his campaign, which was quite rare. In fact, Donald Trump said that we were losing on trade and he was correct. He promised that if he was elected, we would be winning on trade.
Biggest Trade Deficit in almost Six Years
Well we just got the number for November, and it was the biggest trade deficit in almost 6 years. $50.5 billion. What's more important than that number, look beneath the surface of the number that's bad and it gets a lot worse. If you take out oil, and America is still a net importer of oil - but if you just focus on the rest of the trade deficit, it was an all time high.
Oil Headed Higher
The biggest monthly trade deficit ever. We finally broke the record that I believe was set when Bush was President. But think about this: oil prices were pretty low in 2017. We just started to rise, in fact we closed the year above $60/barrel for the first time in 4 years. So imagine how much higher these trade deficits are going to be if the price of oil returns to $80-$100, which it was earlier in the year when it dropped below $60/barrel. In fact, I think that's exactly where it's headed.
All-Time Record Low against the Yuan
Also, look at what's happening with the dollar. The dollar fell last year for the first time in 5 years. It was he largest annual decline in 14 years, measured against the dollar index. But look at the Chinese yuan. the dollar fell by the most against the yuan in 9 years. In fact, I think we're going to hit an all-time record low for the dollar against that currency next year.
Upward Pressure on an Already Rising U.S. Trade Deficit
If you remember, when the year began, all of the strategists on Wall Street were universally bullish on the dollar and bearish on everything including the Renminbi. A lot of people were shorting the Chinese currency. In fact, they were as bullish on the dollar back then as they are on the U.S. stock market right now. Of course, the markets did the opposite of what they expected. If oil prices keep rising, and the dollar keeps falling, that is going to put even more upward pressure on an already rising U.S. Trade Deficit. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1082)

All Roads Lead To Higher Inflation and Hard Landing - Ep 875

All Roads Lead To Higher Inflation and Hard Landing - Ep 875

· Strong week for the stock market and gold stocks.· ECB’s inflation goals were asinine.· The Fed will soon break its money losing record.· Debt is going to spiral out of control.· Big money is leaving crypto.· Markets don’t get that inflation isn’t coming down.Thanks Headspace. Try it free for 30 days at https://headspace.com/gold30dayThanks ClearComp. Book a demo at https://clearcomp.comJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Mar 202353min

Hotter Inflation Chills Stock Market- Ep 874

Hotter Inflation Chills Stock Market- Ep 874

· The inflation genie is impossible to put back in the bottle.· CPI and PPI are lagging for a number of reasons.· Beaten down stocks of 2022 enjoyed a short-lived dead cat bounce in 2023.· Consumer spending in January surged after a record decline in tax revenue.· The PCE is the most inaccurate way to measure inflation and it’s no coincidence that it’s also the Fed’s favorite way.· The progress the Fed claimed to have made against inflation is already lost.· The inverted yield curve is now even more inverted.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Cut your wireless bill to $15 a month at https://mintmobile.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Feb 202354min

The Fed Brought a Knife to an Inflation Gun Fight - Ep 873

The Fed Brought a Knife to an Inflation Gun Fight - Ep 873

· People who think that we've seen the worst of inflation are wrong. · Surge in credit card debt proves labor market is weak.· Ronald Reagan’s tax system was the closest we’ve been to a flat tax since 1913.· Presidents’ Day is about honoring George Washington, not Joe Biden.Thanks HelloFresh! Go to https://hellofresh.com/gold65 and use code gold65 for 65% off plus free shipping!Thanks ClearComp. Book a demo at https://clearcomp.com.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Feb 202348min

CPI Shows Disinflation Trend May Have Turned - Ep 872

CPI Shows Disinflation Trend May Have Turned - Ep 872

· Biden putting America in much more vulnerable position with continued selling of strategic oil reserves.· Replacing full-time jobs with part-time jobs is not a sign of a strong labor market.· The National Debt is the same thing as having a National Credit Card.· Politicians claiming to care about Social Security are voting to destroy the value of it.· Gold and silver will take off when investors realize inflation is not going back to 2%.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Feb 202337min

Neither Biden nor Powell Understands the State of the Union - Ep 871

Neither Biden nor Powell Understands the State of the Union - Ep 871

· As an American, Biden’s State of the Union was horrible.· Inflation Reduction Act will increase prices.· Republicans supporting Trump deficits paved the way for Biden deficits.· Biden is cutting Social Security through inflation.· Biden promises to save your pennies while stealing your dollars.· More savings reduces inflation through decreased demand and increased supply.Go to https://bambee.com and type in Peter Schiff under PODCAST when you sign upJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Feb 202343min

Risk-On, Economic Understanding Off - Ep 870

Risk-On, Economic Understanding Off - Ep 870

· Short covering fuels tech rally.· Good news on the economy is bad news for the market.· Fewer people have full-time jobs today than 10 months ago.· The media is racist.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldVisit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Feb 202348min

The Fed Can’t Fight What It Doesn’t Understand - Ep 869

The Fed Can’t Fight What It Doesn’t Understand - Ep 869

· As expected, the Fed did exactly what was expected.· Gold trades highest it’s been in almost a year.· Government causes inflation, not consumers.· Investors are seeing through the outliers when it comes to stronger economic data.· Congress acts shocked to discover fraud with PPP loans.Thanks Winmond. Visit https://winmond.com to inquire about purchase or a joint venture.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Feb 202340min

Government Worsens Every Problem It Tries to Solve - Ep 868

Government Worsens Every Problem It Tries to Solve - Ep 868

· Weakening dollar will worsen trade deficit.· Fed is nowhere near victory in inflation fight.· Google does not have a monopoly on advertising.· San Francisco wants to incentivize African Americans to commit drug crimes.Get $15 off at Nutrafol.com when you got to https://nutrafol.com/men and use promo code goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Jan 202354min

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