Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast15 Feb 2018

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1085)

Fed’s Credibility Is Transitory, Not Inflation – Ep 750

Fed’s Credibility Is Transitory, Not Inflation – Ep 750

* CPI data heavily contradicts Fed’s transitory inflation narrative. * Reagan was more popular during a recession than Biden is during this “booming” economy. * The government has too much money on the line not to lie about inflation. * Media’s bias taints their inflation reporting. * Federal Reserve can print money, but they can’t print stuff. * Biden’s Build Back Better plan would have even Keynes rolling in his grave. * Biden considers releasing US strategic oil reserves to China. * Consumer sentiment plunges. * Gold price surges. * Fed won’t try to fight inflation because it will reveal their weak position. * Fed’s policy: Speak loudly when you have no stick. * Falling dollar will be the next domino to fall. * Record number of Americans tell their employer to take job and shove it. * Bitcoin whales conning institutions and bribing politicians. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold Thanks https://avast.com! INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Nov 20211h 15min

Consumers on the Hook for Rising Producer Prices – Ep 749

Consumers on the Hook for Rising Producer Prices – Ep 749

* Supply shortages exacerbated by consumers reading the inflation writing on the wall. * Gas prices at the pump close to all time record highs in most of the country. * Dollar is being propped up by taper. * The crypto market has flipped the gold market. * Joe Biden looks to replace Jerome Powell with Lael Brainard. * Is Elon Musk sending a message to the government, or is he trying to sneak out of his overpriced Tesla stock? * Government should be financed through consumption, not income. Thanks Raycon!. For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 20% off your entire Raycon order. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Nov 20211h 7min

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

Gold’s Surprise Rally Shows Sellers Are Exhausted – Ep 748

* Press knows Biden doesn’t have the aptitude to even answer softball questions. * Record high stock market eyes blue skies ahead. * As Peloton bikes become overpriced clothes racks, Peloton stock becomes dirty laundry. * Gold may end up being the pin that pricks the Bitcoin bubble. * The IRS tricked the middle class. Get your new wireless plan for just $15 a month. https://mintmobile.com/gold Thanks Mack Weldon. For 20% off your first order, visit https://mackweldon.com/gold with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Nov 20211h 3min

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

Fed Finally Launches the Taper, Now What? – Ep 747

* Markets blessed Fed’s decision to begin tapering. * Jerome Powell says economy is healthy, but requires monetary policy of an economy in crisis. * Full employment is subjective and rarely achieved. * Powellnomics: It’s inappropriate to have interest rates above 0% in an economy that’s not at 100% employment. * Fed knows the economy is hanging by a threads, and that thread is 0% interest rates. * It doesn’t matter who the President of the United States is. What matters is who runs the Federal Reserve. * Dollar falling may be investors buying the rumor and selling the news. * No bad news in sight for gold, and no good news in sight for the dollar. * Don’t pick up pennies in front of steam rollers. * Zillow’s moronic house flipping business model caves. * Don’t confuse brains for a bull market or a bubble. * Taper is fully priced into gold and silver market. * Don’t jump onto a moving train; get on it before it leaves the station. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Nov 202155min

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

Shiba Inu Highlights Bitcoin’s Lack of Scarcity – Ep 746

* Nasdaq and S&P finish the week strong. * Robinhood closes the week near its all time low. * Newmont leads gold mining stocks lower. * Gold mines don’t lose missed earnings, they postpone them. * Crypto ships will rise and sink on the same tide of fear and greed. * Inflation is driving up labor costs. * Hypocrisy is the one thing all politicians have in common. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. It could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Okt 202156min

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

Markets Can’t Ignore Exploding Trade Deficits Forever – Ep 745

* US dollar would tank if traders understood implications of economic data. * Trade deficit continues to break records month after month. * Strong economies have trade surpluses; we have a bubble economy. * We’re only consuming and importing because we’re printing a currency the world still values. * Massive trade deficits aren’t a problem until they’re a crisis. * Government pretends rights are privileges so it can tax them. * Moral hazard and rampant fraud will ramp up childcare costs under new Biden plan. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Okt 202144min

Irrational Exuberance on Steroids – Ep 744

Irrational Exuberance on Steroids – Ep 744

* Elon Musk needs a rocket ship to find Tesla’s PE. * Bakkt Holdings rises on crypto partnership with MasterCard. * Jack Dorsey warns of imminent hyperinflation. * Stanley Druckenmiller doesn’t realize the Fed is the problem. * When politicians aim their weapons at the billionaires, they always hit the middle class the hardest. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Okt 202159min

Written off for Dead, Gold Comes Back to Life – Ep 743

Written off for Dead, Gold Comes Back to Life – Ep 743

* Netflix and Tesla stocks make all time highs. * Trump SPAC makes a splash. * Investors buying WeWork SPAC are putting lipstick on a pig. * Gold price gains on inflation news, which means bigger gains may be around the corner. * Oil price increases while oil production decreases. * Inflation in 2022 will eclipse inflation in 2021. * Weak economic indicators signal the opposite of a booming economy. * Inflation is the government’s silent partner. * America’s increased spending and reduced production will be paid for with inflation. * Bitcoin ETF flops. * Logan Paul and Peter Schiff is the collab we didn’t know we needed. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE fourteen-day trial and get full access to Shopify’s entire suite of features. Thanks Tru Niagen. Save 10% on your first purchase at https://truniagen.com/peter with code PETER INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Okt 20211h 1min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
e24-podden
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
finansredaksjonen
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
rss-vass-knepp-show
pengepodden-2
kommentarer-fra-aftenposten
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
okonomiamatorene
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
rss-sunn-okonomi
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
lederpodden
aksjepodden
shifter
rss-andelige-tanker-med-camillo